eth, btc, tao & historical NFTs. Mooncat lover crypto sleuth. 3rd cycle 🔁🔁🔁

Eth, France
Joined February 2021
hoard.eth retweeted
Replying to @Evan_ss6
Ok, I just put together a proper effort post here, so hopefully you read it, but the TL;DR is that TAO hits all the notes you mentioned above. You want a coin that's essential to an AI business, where that business generates real-world value and that value drives back to the coin itself. That's Bittensor. I am going to assume you don't know much about Bittensor beyond the "AI Bitcoin" moniker and start with a brief origin story, since I think it's important and helps illuminate where "AI Bitcoin" came from. The interesting thing about Bitcoin for the Bittensor story is that it figured out how to use a token to bootstrap a decentralized compute network, owned by nobody and accessible to everyone, that to this day is the largest computing network on Earth. Bittensor's founders are AI researchers. They knew how important compute was going to be for building AI, and they set out to build the same thing for intelligence: a decentralized intelligence network, owned by nobody and accessible to everyone. Just as Bitcoin could coordinate a disparate group of people to fight centralized control of money, perhaps a new primitive, Bittensor, could be designed to fight the coming centralized control of intelligence. So they abstracted the Bitcoin incentive system (i.e., spend energy securing the network by solving SHA-256 hashes, get paid in BTC) so it could be applied to a whole new set of problems, all aimed at one goal: mining for intelligence. Mining SHA-256 today on Bitcoin is incredibly difficult, but as a system it's simple and objective. Mining for intelligence is orders of magnitude more complex. It's subjective, so it has to be scored on a gradient (study: Yuma Consensus), and there are multiple components that all need to be mined (compute, data, algorithms, etc.). That's where subnets come in. Each one tackles a piece of the problem. (1) Outside revenue + value to the tokens: It took years and a lot of iteration, but Bittensor is now doing exactly what it set out to do. It's mining intelligence. Compute/inference: ~5 subnets are coordinating GPUs around the world to serve raw compute and inference into the open market. Customers range from retail to enterprise, with the crypto abstracted away entirely. Estimates vary, but I put this group at ~$40-50MM aggregate ARR and scaling fast (for context, think ~200% QoQ and ~50% MoM growth). Training: two subnets are doing SOTA decentralized pre-training right now (SN3 and SN9). SN9 just wrapped up a 100B-parameter run with the highest MFU reported for a distributed pipeline-parallel run. SN3's current run is a 110B-parameter model, the largest decentralized pre-train ever attempted. These teams are past proof of concept and working on scale. And SN120 Affine is post-training Chinese OSS models at SOTA levels. Applied AI: a whole set of subnets incentivize miners to build verticalized models that power real products. Score for computer vision. RedTeam and Bitsec for cybersecurity. Minos for genomics. Yanez for identity and fraud. Trishool for alignment. Vidaio for video compression. I'm missing plenty more. These are real products being used in the wild by enterprises. I'd put this category at $10-20MM ARR, also scaling quickly. For context, 12 months ago I'd have said ARR across the entire network was under $5MM. The TAMs here are massive, and the blue-chip subnets are exiting the pre-revenue stage and entering the scaling-revenue stage right now. Critically, these teams are taking that revenue and buying/burning their tokens. Not because they're altruistic. Because the network makes it the only rational move. Two reasons for this: (1) A subnet pays its miners in its own token, a fixed number of tokens per block. So the only way to grow the supply side (more GPUs, better models, more output) is for the token to go up. If you're a compute subnet and want more capacity, you take your revenue, cover miner COGS plus some margin, and buy your token. Buy pressure on your token becomes a derivative of your compute bill. The token is the production budget. (2) And the chain runs the same game one level up. Subnets compete against one another in a fight for daily $TAO emissions, and the scoreboard is the price of each subnet's alpha token (a clever way to let the broader market instruct the protocol on how to allocate its resources). The winners get a bigger share, and for mature subnets that TAO goes straight into buying their own token off the pool. Fall too far in the ranks and you not only lose out on emissions, you risk being deregistered. So you might astutely point out that revenues < emissions today. That is true, but the trend is our friend. Bittensor is essentially running the Uber playbook, which I would argue a cryptocurrency is tailor-made to do. Use the token, rather than VC funding, to bootstrap supply before the demand exists. Once supply is there, demand scales and the flywheel kicks in: demand up → revenue up → buy+burns → alpha price up → miner rewards up → more/better supply → repeat. The early alpha buyers were the pre-revenue seed/Series A investors. Now we're entering the revenue/scaling era. Although revenue isn't yet covering emissions, as discussed above, it is growing. Meanwhile, the supply side is in its first halving cycle. TAO had its first halving last December, alpha halvings are coming in 2027/28, and the subsidy shrinks on schedule as revenue takes over. I am not speculating here either - a couple of subnets already bring in more from customers than they pay out to miners. Important to mention: to buy and burn its alpha token, a team has to buy TAO first and stake it into the pool that pairs TAO against its token. Every alpha burned leaves TAO behind in the pool. ~2M TAO already sits in those pools, and every subnet token can only trade against TAO. So subnet revenue = TAO buy pressure, mechanically. Speculative investing in subnets = TAO buy pressure. Subnet/miner/validator registrations = TAO buy pressure. Taken to its logical end... TAO is literally an index of all 128 subnets, or in other words, an index of 128 AI startups building on crypto rails. (2) It's cypherpunk: TAO also represents the right ethos for crypto x AI. It leverages a novel crypto primitive to bootstrap networks that coalesce edge compute and edge talent from around the world, coordinate them to produce the real inputs to intelligence (compute, data, algos, etc.), and serve them to anyone, anywhere. A network that serves open, permissionless, decentralized, uncensored intelligence. A true alternative to centralized labs and governments. And because it harnesses the world's edge compute and talent, it can scale in ways the fiat companies just can't. (3) You're still early: The top 3 compute subnets are ~$100MM market caps. The next two are $30-60MM. Promising subnets in other categories are sitting at $10-20MM. There are 128 subnets today and there'll be 256+ down the road. Maybe many more in the future. Bad teams get deregistered and new ones take their place. As the ecosystem grows, so do miner and owner rewards, which pulls in more teams and better talent. There will be fantastic teams launching subnets a year from now that you can buy at $5-10MM or less. CT isn't woke to this. 99% have not bridged over to the native Bittensor chain to participate in this ecosystem. Cross-chain bridges are only just going live. In my mind, this screams opportunity. And that's before you get to TAO itself, the L1/index/launchpad under all of it, sitting at ~$3B. That's comically low. Its 1:1 comp is ETH at ~$327B. 100x with size is viable here. Will follow up with some longer-form sources to check out.
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hoard.eth retweeted
It's so wild how ETH goes up a bunch which leads to altcoins going up a lot which leads to ETH pulling back a tiny bit which leads to altcoins going back to zero Pretty clear that there is a sticky bid for ETH, probably wisest to stick to that if you're not an excellent trader
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hoard.eth retweeted
$ETH market cap $256B. The stablecoins running on it = $322B up 10x in 5 years, headed to $2T by 2030. The tokenized real world assets settling on it are $65B, which are up 245x since 2020, headed to $10T by 2030. The infrastructure is worth less than what runs on it. Also the ETH/BTC ratio is at a 5 year low. Either the thesis is wrong or the price is. I am betting on the latter. Any strong opinions out there based on existing/projected data/facts? $ETH
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You are withdrawing crypto money and putting it into stocks I am withdrawing stock money and putting it into crypto We are not the same
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hoard.eth retweeted
Pretty cool idea. First time getting excited about somETHing in a while.
Unipeg 🦄 $uPEG // unipeg.art/ A new kind of on-chain object. Not an NFT. Not a token in the conventional sense. Built on @Uniswap v4 hooks. The name will make sense by the end. 0x44b28991B167582F18BA0259e0173176ca125505 🧵//🦄
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hoard.eth retweeted
nobody accidentally swaps $50M into a pool with $36K of liquidity lol. fresh wallet, $50.4M from Binance, zero slippage protection, routed through the jankiest Sushiswap path possible. and then an MEV bot just happens to flash borrow $29M from Morpho in the same block and pocket $9.9M? cmon. 0xngmi called this exact play a year ago - construct a deliberately terrible swap, let a friendly bot extract the value, dirty money comes out the other side as "legit MEV profit." $154K per AAVE isn't a fat finger. it's a laundering fee
JUST IN: Trader accidentally swaps $50 million $USDT for $36,000 $AAVE on Ethereum.
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Couldn’t find a video summarising why crypto is down bad the past year so made one myself
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The start of Yuga and the development of BAYC was funded by a few months of my salary, some of Wylie’s last bits of savings, and about 15k we made rescuing lunar felines and finding them new homes on the blockchain Will always have a soft spot for the kittens Prob one of the most fun days in crypto was when we all discovered that latent smart contract and were trying to figure out how to get them fucking cats off the moon asap. Was partly the inspiration behind some of the more egalitarian mechanics of the BAYC mint (flat price, 1 ape = 1 ape). Remember thinking we just gotta make it feel as magical as when we found the cats.
Replying to @CryptoGarga
I'm curious if you, garga, own the first appearance of fully onchain art on ethereum called MoonCats? The cats that are all unique and independent since 2017. Cause in a Blockchain fact the true provenance of mooncats are onchain DNA when punks were just incremental IDs. I'm really curious, if we even understand each other? Does onchain matter or not?
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Replying to @whale_alert
Binance has swapped 2B USDt on Tron for 2B USDt on ETH
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hoard.eth retweeted
1/ I believe digital ownership is going to be a fundamental aspect of society in the future, including gaming. I think NFTs will be a central part of that future I'm excited I was able to complete my collection of one of the very first game incorporating NFTs, @SpellsofGenesis
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hoard.eth retweeted
Still plenty of time to go lower but boy would it be cool if I snagged the bottom.
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MoonCats 😻 keeping the momentum and looking strong Up +14% today - the biggest gainer among the top 50 collections 📈 Will the 0.42-0.45 resistance finally break this time? 👀
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MoonCat #16256 has been named CatGPT. Tx: etherscan.io/tx/0xb060454410…
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🧵 THREAD: The MoonCats Rediscovery - A Crypto-Archaeological Miracle On March 12, 2021, the NFT world witnessed something unprecedented: a 2017 project with revolutionary proof-of-work minting was "rediscovered" after 992 days of dormancy. This is the technical deep dive. 👇
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When the global financial system runs on Ethereum, fully on-chain projects like MoonCats (launched in August 2017) will be recognized as digital antiquities from the genesis era of decentralized culture. And you can buy one rn for like 0.15 ETH, smfh 🤣
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it’s not just about the price it’s the staggering number of people who wrote off Ethereum and ETH as irrelevant, dead. or Ethereum was relevant but ETH somehow was not like 75% of my feed or more at the worst of it crazy times and now it’s December 2020 again and y’all gonna learn the hard way
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6000 days. 6000 songs. A story that almost broke me: The $3 million I made and lost. My $1.1 million tax bill. The Autoglyph that saved me This is SONG A DAY #6000 🌩️CRYPTO TAX NIGHTMARE🌩️ The journey continues below👇
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hoard.eth retweeted
OpenSea has evolved. Beta complete. Full token universe unlocked. New rewards program live. Welcome to the new OpenSea — the best place to discover, own, and trade anything onchain.
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Most coins are just retesting their breakouts, but $UNI is setting up a clean inverted head and shoulders, and looks ready for a breakout. Back in 2020, Uniswap went crazy. And with $ETH picking up again, I got a feeling $UNI is about to run it back. Classic DeFi setup.
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The $TAO / @opentensor token is very interesting. Question: why would any company build their own data center when they can build any AI model for 1/100 the price using the $TAO subnets? With fixed supply of 21m tokens plus increasing demand for AI, this token seems like a no-brainer. Not to mention the staking possibilities using the subnets. Also, arb possibilities trading the subnets.
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