Our 2026 Midterm Election Night Megastream will begin at 6P ET on November 3, exclusively on YouTube. In 2024, our stream was viewed 5.5M times, rivaling CBS, MSNBC, and the Associated Press. We also outperformed Ben Shapiro, Patrick Bet David, and Jon Stewart. Make sure you tune in this year to watch the midterms unfold in real time, with balanced and straight-to-the-point analysis. Link: youtube.com/live/yrQabgj-c8s…

🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Pete Ricketts is projected to win against independent candidate Dan Osborn in the Nebraska Senate race. Nebraska - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Pete Ricketts* 78.3% ⬜️Dan Osborn 21.7% Projected Margin: 🟥R+4.7 Republicans have not lost a U.S. Senate election in Nebraska since 2006. George Norris remains the last independent to win a Senate race in the state, having done so in 1936. Osborn challenged incumbent Senator Deb Fischer in the regular 2024 Senate election, losing by a relatively narrow margin. In contrast, Ricketts, who was initially appointed to the Senate following Ben Sasse's resignation, won the concurrent special election by more than 25%, outperforming even President Donald Trump's roughly 20-point victory margin in the state. Despite Osborn's more aggressive campaigning, including appearing on Mr. Beat's (@beatmastermatt) YouTube channel, Nebraska's redness combined with Ricketts's statewide popularity when he was governor would likely give him the edge in this election. Forcast via @Pollsmax.

🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Pete Ricketts is leading independent candidate Dan Osborn by 2 points in the Nebraska Senate race. Nebraska - 2026 Senate 🟥Pete Ricketts* 49% (+2) ⬜️Dan Osborn 47% See all NE Senate polls @Pollsmax. Republicans have not lost a Senate election in Nebraska since 2006, and the last independent to win a Senate election in the state was George Norris in 1936. Osborn, a former labor union leader, challenged incumbent Deb Fischer in the regular 2024 Senate election, losing by a surprisingly narrow margin in a state where Ricketts had won the concurrent special election by more than 25 percentage points. Ricketts was initially appointed to the Senate following the resignation of Ben Sasse and subsequently won the 2024 special election to serve the remainder of Sasse's term, securing a victory margin that exceeded even Trump's roughly 20-point margin in the state. Impact Research (D) | October 20, 2026 | 600 LV

🚨HOT DIGGITY DOG: Three-term incumbent Jim Risch is on track to win his re-election in an absolute landslide in this year's Idaho Senate election against independent Todd Achilles. Idaho - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Jim Risch* >99.9% ⬜️Todd Achilles <0.1% Projected Margin: 🟥R+31.3 Republicans have not lost a U.S. Senate election in Idaho since 1978. President Donald Trump carried the state in 2024 by a margin of 36.5 percentage points. Risch was first elected to the Senate in 2008 before winning re-election in 2014 and 2020, defeating his opponents by double-digit margins in all three contests. Idaho's reliably Republican voting history remains a significant advantage for Risch, even with Achilles appearing on the ballot as an independent. At 83 years old, Risch is the oldest incumbent senator seeking re-election this November. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨TRULY PEAK: According to PEAK Insights, incumbent Jim Risch is on track to win his fourth term in Idaho's Senate race against Todd Achilles by a STAGGERING 27%. Idaho - 2026 Senate 🟥Jim Risch* 54% (+27) ⬜️Todd Achilles 27% See all ID Senate polls @Pollsmax. Republicans have not lost a Senate race in Idaho since 1978. President Donald Trump won the state in 2024 by a margin of 36.5%. Risch was first elected in 2008, before being re-elected in 2014 and 2020. He's the oldest incumbent senator running for re-election this November, at 83 years old. Peak Insights (R) | October 15, 2026 | 800 LV

🚨RED WIN: Ken Paxton is projected to win against James Talarico in the Texas Senate election. Texas - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Ken Paxton 55.8% 🟦James Talarico 44.2% Projected Margin: 🟥R+1 Paxton, the state's attorney general, defeated incumbent Senator John Cornyn by a wide margin in the Republican primary runoff, after securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. Democrats have not won a U.S. Senate election in Texas since 1988. Much like Ted Cruz in 2018, Paxton could still benefit from Texas's traditionally Republican lean, giving him an electoral advantage despite unfavorable polling lately. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨RED WIN: Incumbent Greg Abbott is expected to win re-election to his fourth term in the Texas governor's election against Gina Hinojosa. Texas - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Greg Abbott* 81.9% 🟦Gina Hinojosa 18.1% Projected Margin: 🟥R+6 If he is re-elected and serves until the end of his fourth term, Abbott will become the state's longest-serving governor, topping his predecessor Rick Perry. Texas has not elected a Democrat for a governor since 1990. The Lone Star State elected President Donald Trump in 2024 by almost 14%, and Abbott himself won his third term in 2022 by 11%. With all of this in mind, he is definitely likely to be the victor again. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Greg Abbott is ahead of Gina Hinojosa by 5 points in the Texas governor's election. Texas - 2026 Governor 🟥Greg Abbott* 52.5% (+5) 🟦Gina Hinojosa 47.5% See all TX Governor polls @Pollsmax. Texas has not elected a Democrat for a governor since 1990. The Lone Star State elected President Donald Trump in 2024 by almost 14%. Abbott previously won re-election in 2022 by 11 points. If he is re-elected and serves until the end of his fourth term, Abbott will become the state's longest-serving governor, topping his predecessor Rick Perry. ActiVote | October 21, 2026 | 400 LV

The mainstream media and polling have been so incredibly wrong the last couple of years. But Kalshi cuts through all the biased reporting, so we can actually see what real people believe will happen.

🚨PACK IT UP BOYS: For the TENTH time, Rick Jackson has led against Keisha Lance Bottoms for the Georgia governor's race. Georgia - 2026 Governor 🟥Rick Jackson 51.5% (+3) 🟦Keisha Lance Bottoms 48.5% See all GA Governor polls @Pollsmax. Georgia has not elected a Democrat for governor since 1988, and Bottoms has not led in a poll since AUGUST. She is also SIGNIFICANTLY behind fundraising and campaign spending compared to Jackson, and it seems like Jackson will continue to easing his way to victory in just a few weeks. ActiVote | October 20, 2026 | 400 LV

🚨GOP SWEEP: Barry Moore is set for a landslide victory in the Alabama Senate race against Everett Wess. Alabama - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Barry Moore 98.9% 🟦Everett Wess 1.1% Projected Margin: 🟥R+23.3 Moore, who ran basically unopposed in the primary, is pretty much guaranteed to succeed retiring senator Tommy Tuberville, whom the latter is running in the concurrent gubernatorial election instead. Alabama is a state that voted for Donald Trump by more than 30 points in 2024, and Moore, according to @Pollsmax, is set to win by a lesser yet still significant margin. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨BREAKING: Barry Moore's odds to victory absolutely TRUMP over Everett Wess's for the Alabama Senate race. Alabama - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Barry Moore 98% 🟦Everett Wess 2% Alabama is a ruby-red state that voted for Donald Trump by more than 30 points in 2024, and Moore, who ran basically unopposed in the primary, is pretty much guaranteed to succeed retiring senator Tommy Tuberville, who will also basically be crowned governor this November as well. Odds via @Kalshi.

🚨BREAKING: Barry Moore leads Everett Wess by 15 points in the Alabama Senate race. Alabama - 2026 Senate 🟥Barry Moore 50% (+15) 🟦Everett Wess 35% See all AL Senate polls @Pollsmax. Alabama is a state that voted for Donald Trump by more than 30 points, and has one of the reddest Cook PVIs in the country. Because of this, Moore is pretty much guaranteed to succeed retiring senator Tommy Tuberville, whom the latter is running in the concurrent gubernatorial election instead. Cygnal | October 17, 2026 | 500 LV

🚨BREAKING: Alan Wilson trumps Jermaine Johnson in terms of their chances to win the South Carolina governor's race. South Carolina - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Alan Wilson 94% 🟦Jermaine Johnson 7% South Carolina, a ruby-red state in the South, has not voted for a Democrat as governor since 1998, and that trend will probably not stop anytime soon, seeing that the state voted for President Trump in 2024 by a margin of almost 18 points. Odds via @Kalshi.

🚨FLAWLESS GOP VICTORY: Alan Wilson is guaranteed to win against Jermaine Johnson in the South Carolina governor's election. South Carolina - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Alan Wilson 97.9% 🟦Jermaine Johnson 2.1% Projected Margin: 🟥R+19.4 Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Carolina since 1998. South Carolina, a deep-red state in the South, voted for President Trump in 2024 by a large margin of almost 18 points, so that red streak will seemingly continue for the time-being. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨BREAKING: Alan Wilson leads Jermaine Johnson in the South Carolina governor's race by in a LARGE margin of 16 points. South Carolina - 2026 Governor 🟥Alan Wilson 52.5% (+16) 🟦Jermaine Johnson 36.5% See all SC Governor polls @Pollsmax. Wilson defeated lieutenant governor Pamela Evette in the Republican primary runoff after President Trump announced his support for both Wilson and Evette. Before the runoff, Evette was the only one endorsed by Trump. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in South Carolina since 1998. South Carolina, a ruby-red state in the South, voted for Trump in 2024 by a similar margin of almost 18 points. Trafalgar Group (R) | October 18, 2026 | 1095 LV

🚨BREAKING: Kurt Alme has high odds going into the Montana Senate election, being at the frontrunner ahead of independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead. Montana - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Kurt Alme 92% ⬜️Seth Bodnar 8% With the opposition vote split between Bodnar and Bankhead, Alme is projected to be the automatic favorite in this race. However, even if one of the candidates dropped out, Alme would still be very likely to win, with Montana's status as a deep red state. (Trump won the state in 2024 by almost 20%) Odds via @Kalshi.

🚨BREAKING: Kurt Alme is already projected to win the Montana Senate election against independent runner-up Seth Bodnar and Democratic third-placer Alani Bankhead. Montana - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Kurt Alme 96.9% ⬜️Seth Bodnar 3.1% Projected Margin: 🟥R+14.5 This is the first open Senate election in Montana since 1976. With the opposition vote split between Bodnar and Bankhead, Alme is projected to be the automatic favorite in this race. Even if one of the candidates dropped out, Alme would still be very likely to win, with Montana's status as a deep red state. (Trump won the state in 2024 by almost 20%) Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨BREAKING: Kurt Alme leads Seth Bodnar by an INCREASED margin of 16 points in the Montana Senate election. Montana - 2026 Senate 🟥Kurt Alme 45.6% (+16.2) ⬜️Seth Bodnar 29.4% See all MT Senate polls @Pollsmax. With the opposition vote split between Bodnar and Democratic candidate Alani Bankhead, Alme is projected to be the automatic favorite in this race, especially with Montana's status as a deep red state. (Trump won the state in 2024 by almost 20%) This is the first open Senate election in Montana since 1976. Quantus | October 18, 2026 | 686 LV

🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Senator Tommy Tuberville has GARGANTUAN odds going into the Alabama governor's race against former Senator Doug Jones. Alabama - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Tommy Tuberville 94% 🟦Doug Jones 6% Jones is most notable for winning the 2017 Alabama special Senate election against Roy Moore in a close upset. However, he easily lost against Tuberville in the 2020 Senate race, and it is looking that way too for this year. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Alabama since 1998. This is a very rare instance of two candidate rematching in a governor's race after facing off each in a previous Senate race. Odds via @Kalshi.

🚨CLEAN RED SWEEP: Incumbent Senator Tommy Tuberville is pretty much guaranteed to win the Alabama governor's race against former Senator Doug Jones. Alabama - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Tommy Tuberville 98.7% 🟦Doug Jones 1.3% Projected Margin:🟥R+27 Jones is most notable for winning the 2017 Alabama special Senate election against Roy Moore in a close upset. However, he easily lost against Tuberville in the 2020 Senate race, and it is looking that way too for this year. Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election in Alabama since 1998. This is a very rare instance of two candidate rematching in a governor's race after facing off each in a previous Senate race. Forecast via @Pollsmax.