🐧 Waddle

The next 15 days. A simple day-by-day prediction. Bookmark this. Trump just lost the House and the Senate. His own vice president said it plainly: “We lost because of this war.” Netanyahu also lost his majority in Israel. His side still doesn’t have enough seats to control the government. Both leaders have been weakened by this war. They have less to lose now and fewer reasons to hold back. Next 48 hours: The U.S. military already has a 3-day strike plan ready. Three aircraft carriers are in the area. Trump said, “We are ready to go.” I don’t believe the claim that there are “no plans for immediate action.” Days 3–4 First strikes hit Iran’s missile bases, drone factories, IRGC command centers, and energy sites. Iran hits back at U.S. bases, Saudi oil facilities, and UAE refineries. Oil jumps overnight from about $102 to $150 a barrel. Days 5–7 They go after “Pickaxe Mountain,” the deep underground site near Natanz. Trump has already named this place. Regular bombs probably can’t destroy it, which is why people are talking about using a nuclear weapon. Iranian TV has started telling its 90 million people what to do if they see a bright flash. Days 8–10 Iran still has 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%. That’s enough material for roughly 10 nuclear bombs. Some Iranian lawmakers want to push enrichment up to 90%. Iran shuts down the Strait of Hormuz. The Houthis block the Red Sea. Two major oil routes are cut off at the same time. Oil hits $200 a barrel. Days 11–13 Gas prices in the U.S. go over $8 a gallon. Airlines cut flights. Trucks stop moving. Japan, South Korea, and India start running out of fuel. The stock market goes from a correction to a full crash. Days 14–15 The new Congress tries to cut off war funding (even though they don’t officially take power until January). Netanyahu stays in office as a “wartime prime minister.” Leaders don’t usually get replaced in the middle of a war. There are only two outcomes for that uranium: it gets destroyed, or it gets turned into bombs. There is no third option. They lost the elections. Now they have to win this war before January. This is my read of the situation. Every step above is based on plans, targets, or statements that have already been made. Bookmark this and check back around November 25 to see how close it was. Some sources are calling this week “the calm before negotiations.” I’ll keep posting what I see without spinning it either way. Share this with anyone who thinks the war is about to cool off.