Now: @AFGENational Past: @UAW, @ActiveRetirees, @Teamsters, Campaigns. TX State Alum. Opinions mine. Forza Milan! 🔴⚫️ #USMNT 🇺🇸 #DTID
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Joined June 2008
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Eric Heggie retweeted
CRYSTAL BALL: With a week left, 5 statewide rating changes:
#FLSen: Safe R -> Likely R
#NCSen: Leans D -> Likely D
#SCSen: Likely R -> Leans R
#AZGov: Leans D -> Likely D
#VTGov: Likely R -> Leans R
Plus 16 changes in the House.
From @kkondik and me: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
Eric Heggie retweeted
The data to me says that if anything the issue of Israel is helpful to El-Sayed in Michigan.
He does better among voters who say it's extremely impt to their vote than overall.
Most Mich voters & indies want military aid ended or reduced to Israel.
AIPAC is deeply unpopular.
Eric Heggie retweeted
Can you hear the music?
Florida early voting update:
Early in-person turnout among Republicans has fallen off a cliff.
At R+0.4, the total early vote in the state is about as blue as 2018, 5 points higher than this point in 2022, and 10 points higher than in 2024.
gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-ea…
Eric Heggie retweeted
Just for the record:
Our final poll of 2024 had Slotkin up 3.7 percentage points, importantly with a significant 6.7% still undecided. detroitnews.com/story/news/p…
This poll has El-Sayed up 6.3 points, with only 3.6% undecided. detroitnews.com/story/news/p…
Eric Heggie retweeted
Florida early voting update:
Early in-person turnout among Republicans has fallen off a cliff.
At R+0.4, the total early vote in the state is about as blue as 2018, 5 points higher than this point in 2022, and 10 points higher than in 2024.
gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-ea…
Eric Heggie retweeted
News: the NRCC is making its first coordinated buy with Rep John McGuire (R) in #VA05
This is a Trump+12 seat where McGuire faces ex-Rep Tom Perriello (D)
Eric Heggie retweeted
OUR 44th president. Let's finish what he started and guarantee healthcare for every American. 🇺🇸
Eric Heggie retweeted
"Do you worry [Abdul El-Sayed] is a bit too left wing to win in Michigan?"
Michigan voter "At this point what do we have to worry about? Anything but what we have. We're on our way to hell so at this point socialist, socialise, social, dont matter to me, lower my cost of living"
Eric Heggie retweeted
The top 15 Senate and top 15 House races seeing the most ad spending in the final week of the midterms -- via @AdImpact_Pol
Eric Heggie retweeted
Three Rs in NJ
- Tom Kean, who Republicans think is going to lose no matter what.
- Chris Smith, who has been in office since 1981. Tied for longest-serving lawmaker in the House.
- Jeff Van Drew, who was first elected as a Democrat in 2018 and joined the GOP during Trump's first term.
A new poll shows Democrats with a generic 23-point lead in New Jersey congressional races, while MAGA is plunging.
newjerseyglobe.com/polling/f…
Eric Heggie retweeted
Smart story from @jsscppr politico.com/news/2026/10/27…
Eric Heggie retweeted
A new poll shows Democrats with a generic 23-point lead in New Jersey congressional races, while MAGA is plunging.
newjerseyglobe.com/polling/f…
Eric Heggie retweeted
D+25 shifts in New Jersey IPEV
D+15-20 shifts in Nevada IPEV
D+10-15 shifts in Florida IPEV
yet LV screens show GOP movement?
Marist poll of Maine (10/22-25):
SENATE:
Likely Voters:
🔵 49% Troy Jackson
🔴 47% Susan Collins
🟡 1% Other
⚪️ 3% Undecided
Registered Voters:
🔵 53% Troy Jackson
🔴 44% Susan Collins
🟡 <1% Other
⚪️ 2% Undecided
—
GOVERNOR:
Likely Voters:
🔵 44% Hannah Pingree
🔴 44% Bobby Charles
🟡 6% Rick Bennett
⚪️ 6% Undecided
Registered Voters:
🔵 51% Hannah Pingree
🔴 40% Bobby Charles
🟡 7% Rick Bennett
⚪️ 2% Undecided
Eric Heggie retweeted
Late Clark mail dump of 5,500 ballots comes in nearly 3-to-1 for Dems, who now lead by 24,395 ballots statewide, or 5.5 percent.
I am starting to see blue people...
The early voting blog is updated.
More mail may be coming, but Dems have added 2,000 ballots to their lead from Sunday -- it's now 22,500, or 5.1 percent.
GOP skittishness must be growing. Almost Groundhog Day-like sameness to the daily numbers.
thenevadaindependent.com/art…
Eric Heggie retweeted
Exactly right
And when Obama came back to IL in Oct 2014, it was a sign that the Dem base needed to be juiced
Wasn’t enough - Pat Quinn lost the next month
What I wrote at the time —
Mr. Obama made only a halfhearted attempt at denying that his return home to the Chicago area was aimed at rallying Democrats. “I’m not going to tell you who to vote for, although I suppose it’s kind of implied,” he said to laughter.
Eric Heggie retweeted
Democratic advertisers have outspent Republicans every week in #KSSen since September 1.
For the final full week before Election Day, Democrats hold a $5.9M advantage in ad reservations.
Read more in our new blog: adimpact.com/blogs/battlegro…
