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WHEN THE MARKET PLAN IS RIGHT, THE SETUPS GET EASIER
Yesterday was one of those days where the bigger market view did most of the heavy lifting.
We stayed aligned with the plan, and the setups followed.
$BTC short hit TP
$BTC long hit full TP
$W long hit TP1
$HUMA long hit TP2
Several trades, both directions, all built around the same thing:
read the market first, then execute the setup.
That is why we do not just post random entries inside Telegram.
We track the broader structure, key levels, likely liquidity paths, then look for trades that fit that view.
When the market plan is clear, the probability of finding cleaner entries gets much higher.
Yesterday was a good example of that process working in real time.
Limit Short $BTC #CRYPTOPB68
Entry 1: 81679.1
Entry 2: 81925.0
TP: 81298.5 - 80951.6 - 80239.6 - 79549.5 - 78388.8
SL: 82400.0
Educational & Risk Disclaimer: This position is for paper trading and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice
If applied to live trading, you are fully responsible for your own risk management, leverage, and position sizing. Trading involves risk of loss, and oversized positions may result in significant or total loss of your trading capital
⚠️ IMPORTANT NEWS THIS WEEK
🔴 Thu, Oct 29
• Fed Interest Rate Decision
• FOMC Statement & Press Conference
• Advance GDP q/q
• Core PCE Price Index m/m
Expect high volatility across USD, gold and crypto
⚠️ Avoid chasing the initial move and wait for price confirmation
A GOOD TRADING GROUP IS BUILT BY GOOD TRADERS
Signals are only one part of what makes a trading community valuable.
Inside Evening Trader, the discussion room is where members share their own setups, executions, market views, mistakes, ideas, and sometimes completely different angles from ours.
And during difficult market conditions, that matters even more.
When volatility gets messy and conviction gets tested, having other serious traders around helps you stay sharp, compare views, and avoid trading inside your own bubble.
One of the best parts is that some of the strongest traders in the group are completely anonymous.
No big following.
No personal brand.
Just real experience and good execution.
There are always people you can learn something from.
That is the kind of group we want to keep building:
good signals, good discussions, and good traders learning from each other.
Shoutout to everyone contributing inside ETG.
Join Evening Trader 👇
t.me/+7bPex2Gq9pxkMDhl
THE CROWD IS MUCH MORE AFRAID AT THE SAME BTC PRICE
You may not have noticed this.
The Fear & Greed Index has dropped from this year’s high of 82 to around 42.
But $BTC is now trading at almost the same price as when the index was at 82.
So what does that tell us?
If the indicator is reflecting market psychology correctly, then traders are being tested more by time and fear than by price itself.
The Oct 10 crash, the repeated fear around $80K, and traders sitting in cash waiting for a “better entry” have all built pressure over time.
Sometimes that fear only needs one deeper sweep to peak.
And from my experience, when sentiment gets much worse while price stays relatively stable, that is often where opportunity starts to appear.
Long CMP ethereum:0xc4441c2be5d8fa8126822b9929ca0b81ea0de38e #CRYPTOPB67
Entry 1: 0.010900
Entry 2: 0.010235
TP: 0.011669 - 0.012662 - 0.014210
SL: 0.009270
Educational & Risk Disclaimer: This position is for paper trading and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice
If applied to live trading, you are fully responsible for your own risk management, leverage, and position sizing. Trading involves risk of loss, and oversized positions may result in significant or total loss of your trading capital
IS THE ETHEREUM FOUNDATION SELLING $ETH?
A whale wallet associated with the Ethereum Foundation just became active again after around 7 months of inactivity.
Over the past hour, it swapped a total of:
2,784.99 $ETH → ~$6.42M USDS
Wallet:
0x5CBC6299faB3320E7758ac97fd4CA45E5B722059
The timing is worth watching as $ETH has just lost its recent support alongside BTC weakness.
However, this does not necessarily look like a full exit.
The wallet still holds roughly:
15K $ETH (~$34.6M)
So for now, this may simply be partial de-risking rather than broad distribution.
Still, after such a long period of inactivity, the wallet becoming active again is definitely worth monitoring.
$CAP IS RUNNING AGAIN AFTER ANOTHER BRUTAL SHAKEOUT
$CAP is pushing higher again after another deep drawdown.
And the most important part?
All the fresh wallets we tracked are still holding.
This is exactly the type of behavior I keep seeing across Binance Alpha runners.
The move is rarely clean.
They shake out weak hands, sweep long liquidity, make the chart look broken, attract aggressive shorts, then squeeze supply before the real price expansion continues.
The structure often looks like:
brutal shakeout → long-liquidity sweep → short trap → supply dries up → real price push
As long as the accumulator wallets keep holding and supply stays off exchanges, the $CAP thesis is still alive.
The chart can look ugly while the underlying supply structure remains bullish.
THE BEST SIGNALS ARE OFTEN BORING BEFORE THEY WORK
$CAP IS UP +162% SINCE THE LAST SIGNAL
The Binance Alpha lowcap thesis played out well here.
Since the previous analysis, $CAP has expanded roughly +162%.
And the interesting part is that on-chain flow is still supporting the move.
Fresh wallets continue pulling $CAP off exchanges:
35.215M $CAP (~$3.13M)
0x8362b988fb12b1Be64272C04Ea170a1df0911aA6
5M $CAP (~$465K)
0x99eB0b66Cdf0B4e18a1E4598DdE214e249ee548E
2.597M $CAP (~$229K)
0xc69F4432c429fcF3E033BE387A0326Ab219A34c1
That is another 42.8M $CAP+ moving away from CEX liquidity.
The move is already large, but as long as these wallets keep absorbing supply instead of distributing it back to exchanges, the $CAP thesis is still alive.
That is the kind of process we focus on inside Telegram.
Not just:
“this coin looks bullish”
But:
why this token → what is happening on-chain → where the setup is → what confirms it → what invalidates it
Because the edge is usually not in seeing the move after it happens.
It is in recognizing the structure before the crowd does.
$CAP is just one example.
Inside Telegram, we track these setups earlier, update them as the flow changes, and turn the thesis into an actual trade plan.
X shows you the result.
Telegram shows you the process before the result.
Join Evening Trader 👇
bit.ly/4d13s8V
26/10/2026 BTC Update 💰
✅ BTC Macro: W1 closed below 80k3 support, confirming the Big M pattern targeting 75k - 76k —> Expecting further downside toward 75k - 76k
🎯 Short-Term Plan: Continuation down to 78,977.86 | 78,389.93 - 78,025.00 —> Looking for a fake pump into 80,354.49 - 80,872.81 | 81,745.78 - 82,127.70 before a sharp selloff to 76k8
🎯 Bearish Targets:
• TP1: 78389.93
• TP2: 76800.00
• TP3: 75350.00
⚠️ Monday US Session is high-risk for fakeouts and 2-way liquidity sweeps. Trade with caution!
✍️ For personal technical analysis only. NFA
DISCIPLINE BEATS FOMO
When BTC pushed back toward the $85K–$86K area, sentiment quickly turned excited again.
That is usually where discipline matters most.
Instead of chasing the bounce, we stuck to the plan.
The resistance zone was already mapped out, the setup was discussed with members, and the short was taken based on the system, not the mood of the timeline.
Result:
$BTC short hit TP3 for +2.34R
The point is not that every fade works.
It is that having a clear plan before the move helps you ignore the crowd when emotions start taking over.
Inside Evening Trader, we focus on exactly that:
market plan → key levels → setup → execution → risk management
Less FOMO.
More structure.
Long CMP $VELVET #CRYPTOPB66
Entry 1: 0.06070
Entry 1: 0.05600
TP: 0.06508 - 0.06939 - 0.07731
SL: 0.05230
Educational & Risk Disclaimer: This position is for paper trading and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice
If applied to live trading, you are fully responsible for your own risk management, leverage, and position sizing. Trading involves risk of loss, and oversized positions may result in significant or total loss of your trading capital
WINTERMUTE IS STILL QUIETLY ACCUMULATING $BTC
Wintermute-linked flow has been steadily accumulating $BTC since the beginning of the month.
Even during yesterday’s pullback, the buying did not stop.
One tracked wallet cluster now holds roughly:
9.458K $BTC (~$774M)
Wallet:
bc1qx6dstdgvvze6a03qtcwkus8rjkww8n4dsn5h3gdhnq33gp4jch5s9hackz
Short-term corrections can shake out leverage and reset positioning, but they should not distract from what larger players are doing underneath.
If institutional-sized wallets keep absorbing BTC during weakness, the bigger cycle thesis remains intact.
Don’t let short-term shakeouts make you lose sight of the larger trend.
$BTW MAY STILL HAVE ONE MORE CRIME PUMP LEFT
I still think the real big-short target for $BTW is much lower, around the $0.28–$0.15 liquidity zone.
But I don’t think this is the best place to chase the short yet.
The current pullbacks are being bought very quickly.
That looks very different from the Aug 19 crash, when price flushed straight through into the large long-liquidation zone.
This structure looks much closer to late September:
violent chop, fast recoveries, shorts getting comfortable.
That makes me think $BTW could still have one more crime pump / short squeeze before the real breakdown happens.
The on-chain flow supports that idea too.
Fresh wallets are still withdrawing $BTW from exchanges, and the wallet we tracked before continues to hold its accumulated supply.
So my current thesis is:
shake out / trap shorts first → final expansion → then look for the real move toward $0.28–$0.15
Be careful chasing $BTW shorts too early here.
$AAVE MAY BE FOLLOWING THE PLAYBOOK $HYPE PROVED
One of the strongest parts of the $HYPE thesis has always been simple:
real usage → protocol revenue → token buybacks
Now $AAVE appears to be moving further in the same direction.
Aave already uses protocol revenue to buy AAVE from the market, and @StaniKulechov recently said a token burn is being considered for Aavenomics 3.0, potentially making the value-accrual loop even stronger.
More importantly, the underlying business is still growing.
Aave currently has roughly:
$32.2B deposits
$12.5B outstanding loans
$87M+ revenue in 2026 YTD
Aave V4 is also scaling quickly. Deposits crossed $1B in September, while active loans have continued climbing since then.
That is the part that matters.
Buybacks alone are not enough.
But when a protocol has real product growth, real revenue, and a mechanism that redirects part of that value back toward the token, the thesis becomes much more interesting.
$HYPE showed how powerful that flywheel can become.
$AAVE may be trying to build its own version of it.
Scalp Long CMP $WLD #CRYPTOPB6
Entry: 0.5580
TP: 0.5787 - 0.6041 - 0.6444
SL: 0.5178
Educational & Risk Disclaimer: This position is for paper trading and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice
If applied to live trading, you are fully responsible for your own risk management, leverage, and position sizing. Trading involves risk of loss, and oversized positions may result in significant or total loss of your trading capital
hedera-hashgraph:native #CRYPTOPB60 almost hit TP1 +0.5R
Scalp Short CMP hedera-hashgraph:native #CRYPTOPB60
Entry: 0.08245
TP: 0.07800 - 0.07187
SL: 0.09110
Educational & Risk Disclaimer: This position is for paper trading and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice
If applied to live trading, you are fully responsible for your own risk management, leverage, and position sizing. Trading involves risk of loss, and oversized positions may result in significant or total loss of your trading capital
$BTC #CRYPTOPB63 hit TP3 +2.34R 💥💥
Join Evening Trader 👇
t.me/+7bPex2Gq9pxkMDhl