JCFD trades retweeted
I actually think this is finally the run for $TEM
Out of this chop weโve been in basically since IPO
>Fundamentally itโs finally flipping profitable
> Theyโre only becoming more attractive to companies that want to use AI to create drugs faster
> They can grow at this rate for a decade if not DECADES in my opinion
> They still havenโt expanded out of cancer nearly as much as I expect
Lot of levers to pull
Lot of accumulation has already happened
JCFD trades retweeted
Everyone keeps yelling 1999.
Here's the number that says we're not there yet.
โ
BofA's bubble gauge: only 18 stocks in the S&P 500 are over the bubble line.
โ
At the dot-com peaks it was 50 to 100.
โ
Those 18 are 3.2% of the index. Back then: 20% to 40%.
โก๏ธ The froth is in pockets, not everywhere. Tech as a whole is still under the line.
โก๏ธ History check: in the '90s boom, long rates rose 2 full points and the Fed hiked. Stocks kept climbing anyway.
๐ This rocketship has way more gas in it than people realize. For now.
๐ I'm bullish.
โก๏ธ My two canaries: the labor market, and revenue at OpenAI and Anthropic. Both are still singing.
๐จ "Not there yet" is not "never". When a canary stops singing, this changes fast.
JCFD trades retweeted
$NFLX Just one more RSI divergence and it's off to the races.
Look at the last three times...
Why not a 4th time here?
JCFD trades retweeted
Breaking: Situational Awareness increased its stake in a 159 year old company by 49% last quarter
Everything you need to know about Leopold's position:
โข 2,027,451 shares, worth $28,587,059
โข Added 673,551 shares from Q4 2025
โข One of the smallest positions in the fund
Founded 1867, it makes industrial boilers and power generation equipment, now pushing into AI data center power through its FastPower program
The company is Babcock & Wilcox $BW
Why it's one to watch:
โข Needham initiated coverage August 31st with a Buy rating and $20 price target
โข Backlog is $2.6 billion
โข The stock is down 66% from its peak in May
JCFD trades retweeted
$ARM
One of these many chip stocks well off its ATHs and now consolidating for a break out higher. This is an interesting play here with one the upper trendline breaks a fast move towards 300 is due. Wait for the upper trendline break and we see 265 fast. 265 break is 292 and let's round off the PT to 300.
PT: 300
JCFD trades retweeted
Reminder to stop overthinking what stocks to buy
Breaking: Nancy Pelosi just filed up to ~13.5M worth of new stock trades
Including buying up to $12M of Bloom Energy $BE
Major Buys Include:
โข Bought 15,000 shares of Bloom Energy $BE
โข Bought 10,000 shares of Intel $INTC
She bought new call options:
โข Bought up to $5M of $BE leaps
โข Bought up to $500K of $INTC leaps
JCFD trades retweeted
Another chart that looks primed for a recovery. $INTC has a serious chance at making new all-time highs within 1.5-2 months.
Don't underestimate how nice this one moves when it gets going
JCFD trades retweeted
Great $PENG thesis
JCFD trades retweeted
You can only hold a basketball down underwater for so long $QCOM
New episode: Austin and Vik break down Qualcomm's Investor Day - HBC, Alphawave, Modular, more
โข 2/3 of revenue from data center, auto, and IoT by 2029, not handsets
โข HBC stacks LPDDR on the logic die, not beside it: 2,000 lanes become 100,000
โข Disaggregation lets latecomers slot a decode rack beside Nvidia
โข Alphawave is like QCOM's Mellanox; Modular (Chris Lattner) is its CUDA
โข C1000 CPU wins Meta, but ships ~2 yrs into a CPU shortage
Chapters:
0:00 Communications? That's just the start
4:08 Inside $QCOM investor day
9:16 Can Qualcomm build a data center business?
13:09 Disaggregated inference opens the door
17:57 High Bandwidth Compute: memory on the XPU
30:29 "No advanced packaging" just moves the problem
36:20 The roadmap, Alphawave, and Modular
46:00 The C1000 CPU and the agentic shortage
50:40 Cars as token generators, the $1T robotics bet
57:32 The memory market: MOAR
Get more of Austin and Vik daily, free!
Sign up: semidoped.com/
Connect with Vik and Austin:
Vik's Paid Substack: viksnewsletter.com Austin's Paid Substack: chipstrat.com
@austinsemis @vikramskr
JCFD trades retweeted
Getting a nice pump this week running into earnings.
Can't wait for it. $PENG
$PENG reports next Tuesday and it is going to be an interesting one.
The reason I like the setup is simple. Back on June 1 management said they expect both revenue and EPS to come in at the high end of full year guidance, pointing to agentic AI demand.
You do not pre announce high end numbers a month before a print unless the quarter is going well.
Then there is the track record. Penguin has beaten EPS six quarters in a row, and last quarter was not even close. They put up $0.52 against $0.37 expected and beat on revenue too.
So between the demand they are describing and how they have executed every quarter, I think a beat and raise is very much in play.
Integrated Memory grew 63% last quarter, they were just named Dell's Americas AI Partner of the Year, and analysts have been lifting targets right into the print.
The one honest thing to keep in mind is that management already told everyone they are tracking to the high end, so a chunk of the good news may already be in the stock. And there is a CFO change happening in the background. So it is not a free lunch.
But the mix of pre-signaled strength, a long beat streak, and real AI demand is exactly what I want to be holding into a report.
JCFD trades retweeted
$QCOM | Mizuho Securities ๐๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐๐ on ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ to $๐๐๐ from $๐๐๐, maintains ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐
