François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf) header
François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf) profile picture

François Geerolf #EN

@FGeerolf

Economist at Sciences Po-OFCE, former @UCLA. Research Affiliate @cepr_org. French: @FrancoisGeerolf

 Paris, France
econ.ucla.edu/fgeerolf/
Joined August 2009
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Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)Photo by François Geerolf #EN (@FGeerolf)
François Geerolf #EN retweeted
Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) profile picture
Science Is Strategic
@scienceisstrat115 Jun 2024
Europe 🇪🇺 is way behind in tech 💻
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Yann LeCun (@ylecun) profile pictureYann LeCun
@ylecun15 Jun 2024
Where are European companies?
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Ralph Schoellhammer (@Raphfel) profile picture
Ralph Schoellhammer
@Raphfel16 Jun 2024
There has been a quiet uptick in Russian gas imports since Q3 2023. The Europeans are circumventing their own sanctions.
Image from Ralph Schoellhammer (@Raphfel)
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Andrew Chen (@achenfinance) profile picture
Andrew Chen
@achenfinance10 May 2024
Prediction does not imply understanding. But does understanding imply prediction? That seems to be an implication of falsifiable theories.
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Isabella M Weber (@IsabellaMWeber) profile picture
Isabella M Weber
@IsabellaMWeber7 Feb 2024
Germany’s growth outlook is worst of all OECD countries except for Milei’s Argentina. The energy shock has been downplayed by prominent economists. It is now eroding the industrial core. Add fiscal tightening and you have the perfect storm.
Image from Isabella M Weber (@IsabellaMWeber)
Image from Isabella M Weber (@IsabellaMWeber)
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Robin Brooks (@robin_j_brooks) profile picture
Robin Brooks
@robin_j_brooks7 Feb 2024
This is German industrial production. The reason Germany avoided recession in 2022, when Russia first invaded Ukraine, is luck: supply chains started working again, giving a one-off boost to car production. That's over and now there is contraction with no end in sight...
Image from Robin Brooks (@robin_j_brooks)
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Dario Perkins (@darioperkins) profile picture
Dario Perkins
@darioperkins7 Feb 2024
what is the point of these models?teapawt.net/NicolasGoetzman/status…
Nicolas Goetzmann (@NicolasGoetzman) profile pictureNicolas Goetzmann
@NicolasGoetzman7 Feb 2024
ECB - Estimates of R* for the euro area "While estimates of euro area r* vary widely across a suite of models, the median estimate has risen by about 30 basis points compared with levels prevailing in mid-2019, before the onset of the pandemic" ecb.europa.eu/pub/economic-b…
Image from Nicolas Goetzmann (@NicolasGoetzman)
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Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) profile picture
Javier Blas
@JavierBlas7 Feb 2024
CHART OF THE DAY: The end of the German industrial might. Industrial output fell across the board in Dec, with a sharp drop in the energy-intensive sector (red line). Annual data now shows that German chemical production plunged to a 28-year low. ICYMY: bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Image from Javier Blas (@JavierBlas)
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Arin Dube (@arindube) profile picture
Arin Dube
@arindube11 Jan 2024
There's a long history of people (Andrew Mellon during Great Depression) who thought liquidationism* was the path to dynamism. If anything, the opposite. The GFC, for example, led to a demise in dynamism, which only recovered after running the economy hot following Covid.
Arin Dube (@arindube) profile pictureArin Dube
@arindube11 Jan 2024
We're in the midst of a historic rise in dynamism in the US economy, with new business creation showing a major upturn. For more:whitehouse.gov/cea/written-m…
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Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) profile picture
Paul Krugman
@paulkrugman11 Jan 2024
Now that we have CPI, we have real wages for end-2023; Arin Dube has done the math. Up substantially, both over the year and relative to pre-pandemic, for most workers 1/
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The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) profile picture
The Spectator Index
@spectatorindex12 Jan 2024
Best universities in the world, 2024. 1. 🇺🇸 MIT 2. 🇬🇧 Cambridge 3. 🇬🇧 Oxford 4. 🇺🇸 Harvard 5. 🇺🇸 Stanford 6. 🇬🇧 Imperial College London 7. 🇨🇭 ETH Zurich 8. 🇸🇬 National University of Singapore 9. 🇬🇧 UCL 10. 🇺🇸 University of California, Berkeley (QS World Uni Rankings)
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Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary) profile picture
Fermat's Library
@fermatslibrary12 Jan 2024
Which is greater 1000¹⁰⁰¹ or 1001¹⁰⁰⁰?
Image from Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary)
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Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) profile picture
Paul Krugman
@paulkrugman12 Jan 2024
Given that everyone knows that BLS shelter indexes lag far behind market rents, surprising that we don't hear more about HICP, which excludes owners' equivalent rent. It's been saying for a while that inflation is under control
Image from Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman)
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Claudia Sahm (@Claudia_Sahm) profile picture
Claudia Sahm
@Claudia_Sahm8 Jan 2024
The Phillips Curve
Flame (炎) (@yanti8ve) profile pictureFlame (炎)@yanti8ve12 Oct 2023
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Stanley Pignal (@spignal) profile picture
Stanley Pignal@spignal8 Jan 2024
54% of French 18- to 24-year-olds would be tempted to move to another country due to the political/economic situation (and 30% of the population overall) Places they fancy emigrating to: Canada, America, Germany.
Image from Stanley Pignal (@spignal)
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Claudia Sahm (@Claudia_Sahm) profile picture
Claudia Sahm
@Claudia_Sahm6 Jan 2024
“Most people think the Federal Reserve is a national forest out West.” ~ Alan Blinder, former Vice Chair Fed. Agree.
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Sebastian Dullien (@SDullien) profile picture
Sebastian Dullien@SDullien29 Dec 2023
Ich freue mich sehr, dass @derspiegel das @IMKFlash & mich zum "Prognostiker des Jahres 2023" für die 🇩🇪 Wirtschaft gekürt hat. Niemand sonst habe BIP+Details so genau vorhergesagt wie wir, so @ThomasFricke10 Danke an mein tolles Team für die gute Arbeit! spiegel.de/wirtschaft/sozial…
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Florian Ederer (@florianederer) profile picture
Florian Ederer
@florianederer23 Dec 2023
Robert Solow: “I’m glad there is no Milton Friedman anywhere [...] today. Milton Friedmans are bad for economics and bad for society. Fruitless debates with talented (near-)extremists waste a lot of everyone’s time that could have been spent more constructively.”
Image from Florian Ederer (@florianederer)
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Beatrice Cherrier (@Undercoverhist) profile picture
Beatrice Cherrier@Undercoverhist22 Dec 2023
It's time to say it again econ textbook present selected *ideas* as if they were obvious, w/o underlying rationale or context Reading past econ work + history tells you context, modeling motives (society's demands, tractability, data availability...), practices, and debates
Florian Ederer (@florianederer) profile pictureFlorian Ederer
@florianederer22 Dec 2023
It's time to say it again: There is no need to read the classics because the textbook treatments of their ideas are perfectly sufficient. Have you ever met a physicist who said that you should read Newton's Philosophiæ Naturalis Principia Mathematica?
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George Selgin (@GeorgeSelgin) profile picture
George Selgin@GeorgeSelgin16 Dec 2023
Calling his ideas flawed or dangerous is one thing; but the demonization of Keynes by libertarians and conservatives is silly.
DutchLibertarian (@LibertarianDuty) profile pictureDutchLibertarian
@LibertarianDuty15 Dec 2023
Javier Milei on John Maynard Keynes: "He was a criminal"
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Dani Rodrik (@rodrikdani) profile picture
Dani Rodrik
@rodrikdani16 Dec 2023
Not to be missed
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