Public appearances by North American railroad executives used to focus on debating the endless headwinds facing the industry, but I didn't expect them to focus their talks on politics now too. Keith Creel was absolutely on fire a few days ago. $CP
"As we look at what the engines that we sold between 2019 to 2021 to between 2022 to 2025, 2026, the pricing is about 30% higher on a shop visit basis." $GE
"We are really proud of the GEnx platform. Our installed base will double between 2024 and 2030. We've got more than 2,000 engines in backlog today on GEnx. Our win rate on the platform has been more than 95% if you go back all the way from 2022." $GE
"If you look longer term, LEAP is going to be at least 2x the profit of CFM56, just based on the installed base growth, even if we do nothing else." $GE
"When you talk about retention, most people naturally say someone is leaving you for price. That's not the case in this industry. Sometimes they go to an OEM or to a service provider. Very rarely is it price. It is all about things you control and service quality". $OTIS
Interesting ETF. No doubt about it. $TOLL
Most takes on the new $RACE Ferrari Luce feel wrong to me — and I say this as someone who also finds it hard to look at. But I wonder how much of the criticism comes from the fact that 99.9% of us will never afford one, which probably makes our opinion on it the least useful thing in the room. Ferrari's real customer is a collector. Someone for whom €550k is not a stretch, who already owns several Ferraris, and who regularly pays multiples of that for limited editions they haven't even seen in full. I also find it interesting that you almost never see fintwit tear apart a new Hermès collection or a L'Oréal perfume launch. But a car drops and suddenly everyone's a critic. Cars seem to trigger something — particularly among men — that other products don't. My read is that Ferrari isn't planning to flood the market with these. Scarcity is the whole logic. Investing well means seeing through the customer's eyes, not our own. I'm still figuring that out. What I find particularly striking is that a lot of the loudest criticism seems to come from the $TSLA investing community — which is a strange place for it to originate. Because if there's one group that should understand that a product doesn't need to appeal to you personally to sell well, it's them. The Cybertruck is probably the ugliest pickup ever built, IMO. Any European or Asian observer would have written it off immediately. And yet it sold. You'd think that experience would make people a little more humble about predicting what other people's customers will or won't buy.
Apparently Montezemolo weighed in on the Luce today. It reminded me of when Jane Birkin publicly asked $RMS.PA Hermès to remove her name from the Birkin bag over the crocodile farm controversy. It was a big deal at the time. Hermès is still Hermès and most people don't remember it happened. People have short memories, which honestly makes this whole game a lot more interesting to play. Businesses evolve, make mistakes, adapt and come out stronger. Not saying anything new here, I know.
FERRARI SEES STRONG LUCE EV DEMAND
Ferrari said Middle East sales rebounded in Q2, recovering shipments lost during the Q1 conflict.
Management said customer interest in the new Luce EV is strong across all regions, with orders progressing well. Ferrari also reported higher-than-expected contributions from vehicle personalisation, supporting second-quarter results.
Finding Moats Investment Research retweeted
New post: "Charging for What Cannot Be Replicated"
- 80%+ of EBITDA from monopolistic assets, no alternative for the customer.
- 60%+ EBITDA margins, pricing power above inflation.
- Family-controlled, 15%+ CAGR over 20 years.
- Major investments not yet in the numbers.
New post: "Charging for What Cannot Be Replicated"
- 80%+ of EBITDA from monopolistic assets, no alternative for the customer.
- 60%+ EBITDA margins, pricing power above inflation.
- Family-controlled, 15%+ CAGR over 20 years.
- Major investments not yet in the numbers.
Compounding is the eighth wonder of the world — until you realize most of the people you love now won't be there when you finally have what you once chased so hard.
Don't confuse success with money. Life is far more than that — most of us figure that out eventually, one way or another.
Tonight we're saying goodbye to our cat. He's been with us for 12 years — since my wife and I got together. There's no amount of money in the world that buys back time with the people — and animals — who made you who you are.
Enjoy your family. Cherish the people around you while everyone still has their health. We're here by accident. That's the whole thing.
New post out.
"Switching Costs in Critical Infrastructure and a Misread Narrative"
Find it in the usual place.
Ferrovial $FER bought into Budimex in 2000. The Polish contractor now leads its domestic market, trades in Warsaw $BDX.WA, and has returned 20x. Its market cap is today ~10% of Ferrovial's. Quietly one of the better acquisitions of that decade, IMO.
Budimex builds roads, bridges, and hydraulic infrastructure. Full railroad projects — platforms, stations, track laying, turnouts. Gas pipelines, waste-to-energy plants, water treatment stations, and flue gas desulfurization systems. A full-cycle infrastructure contractor in one of Europe's fastest-growing construction markets. Don't hear much about this one.
"Ferrari CEO Says First EV Is Racking Up Orders Despite Criticism" $RACE share.google/TroIqnXdai9soPe…
Most takes on the new $RACE Ferrari Luce feel wrong to me — and I say this as someone who also finds it hard to look at. But I wonder how much of the criticism comes from the fact that 99.9% of us will never afford one, which probably makes our opinion on it the least useful thing in the room. Ferrari's real customer is a collector. Someone for whom €550k is not a stretch, who already owns several Ferraris, and who regularly pays multiples of that for limited editions they haven't even seen in full. I also find it interesting that you almost never see fintwit tear apart a new Hermès collection or a L'Oréal perfume launch. But a car drops and suddenly everyone's a critic. Cars seem to trigger something — particularly among men — that other products don't. My read is that Ferrari isn't planning to flood the market with these. Scarcity is the whole logic. Investing well means seeing through the customer's eyes, not our own. I'm still figuring that out. What I find particularly striking is that a lot of the loudest criticism seems to come from the $TSLA investing community — which is a strange place for it to originate. Because if there's one group that should understand that a product doesn't need to appeal to you personally to sell well, it's them. The Cybertruck is probably the ugliest pickup ever built, IMO. Any European or Asian observer would have written it off immediately. And yet it sold. You'd think that experience would make people a little more humble about predicting what other people's customers will or won't buy.












