Data-driven news and analysis from @ABC News’s 538.
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Joined January 2014
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FiveThirtyEight retweeted
You can really see the national conversation on race shift from liberal frames in 2020-21 to conservative ones, like "DEI," today. abcnews.go.com/538/national-…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Don’t be surprised that Republicans in Congress aren’t pushing back against Trump.
It’s not the same Republicans as were in Congress in 2017. abcnews.go.com/538/gop-trump…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
At first blush, polls show Americans support Trump's mass deportations. But support actually varies a LOT based on how the question is asked. abcnews.go.com/538/americans…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Trump took an unprecedented amount of executive action on his first day.
Which were popular and which were unpopular? abcnews.go.com/538/americans…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
A lot of people are worried about "the end of American democracy" under Trump.
But what would that actually look like? Think less canceling the 2028 election, more intolerance of dissent. abcnews.go.com/538/trump-can…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Interesting piece from @thegreatrapids: Biden actually appointed more judges than Trump! abcnews.go.com/538/biden-res…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
The Los Angeles wildfires are already among the worst ever—and they're not even over yet. abcnews.go.com/538/los-angel…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
It's the best year to be an election nerd: The odd year following a presidential. @geoffreyvs takes you on a tour of all the races to watch in 2025: abcnews.go.com/538/key-elect…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
What will Joe Biden's legacy be? We discussed it at 538: abcnews.go.com/538/history-r…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
I took a look why, when push comes to shove, we can expect the Senate GOP to confirm most — if not all — of Trump's Cabinet nominees. Votes against nominees are up, but almost entirely from the opposing party:
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep. Donald Trump gained ground in every state and most counties compared to 2020.
abcnews.go.com/538/americas-…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Trump could have the most failed Cabinet nominations to start a presidency.
The record is 3, and Gaetz was the earliest Cabinet withdrawal in modern history.
Chart by @kemarriner:
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Democrats' loss in the 2024 election was part of a broader pattern: Incumbent parties have been losing elections everywhere. abcnews.go.com/538/democrats…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Yes, Republicans won the House. But they're in for a messy next two years. My analysis: abcnews.go.com/538/republica…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
538 is still live-blogging all the undecided races! So far today, we have an update on when to expect a House projection and an analysis of the remaining vote in #AZsen. abcnews.go.com/538/live-upda…
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Spent a lot of time (running on fumes and ☕️) talking about the results yesterday. Here are some of my thoughts...
I got asked what Democrats would need to do to come back from this loss. To answer that question, I think you first need to look at global trends.
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
“The outcome of this election is not what we wanted, not what we fought for, not what we voted for. But hear me when I say … the light of America’s promise will always burn bright as long as we never give up," Kamala Harris says in concession speech. trib.al/dfKLxYN
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
“Some people may be surprised, but actually the polls were in many ways leading us in this direction.”
538’s @galendruke joins @KyraPhillips to discuss election exit polling.
FiveThirtyEight retweeted
Donald Trump is projected to win Michigan, ABC News reports.
trib.al/NYKyHb3
