Macroeconomic forecasting, models, data & research. Home of the GDP Dynamics Nowcast. Formerly Relearning Economics. https://teapawt.net/t.co/mm0etyN1iE
New York, USA
Joined January 2023
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🚨The GDP Dynamics Q4 GDP nowcast has fallen to just 0.6%, down from 0.9%.
Business investment took the biggest hit, while housing construction continues to weaken.
Is the US economy heading for a sharp slowdown?
Full article in the post below.👇
The October Monthly Minsky Report is out.
A comprehensive assessment of financial stability, examining debt, credit, asset prices, income distribution, and other systemic dynamics largely ignored by conventional economic models.
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Latest members only weekly update is out for the GDP Dynamics Nowcast.
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The first GDP Dynamics nowcast for Q4 2026 is out.
Real GDP growth is projected at just 0.9% annualized.
Still early, with much more data to come, see article in the next post below.👇
Weekly update for members only. Doing a breakdown of of the advanced first estimate of US Real GDP released today by the BEA.
See the video link in the next post below.👇
GDP Dynamics retweeted
Despite strength in several areas of the US economy, rising household debt-servicing burdens alongside falling home prices are concerning.
I wouldn't call it the straw that breaks the camel's back, but it's a trend worth watching closely in the coming quarters.
Next Post Links:
The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains at 3.4% annualized growth ahead of tomorrow's official BEA release.
Full breakdown and analysis in the article below.
🚨 GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP Nowcast Update
Our estimate of US real GDP growth has increased from 3.2% to 3.4% SAAR.
The BEA releases its advance GDP estimate Thursday.
Full analysis and charts in the article below 👇
The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized as of October 26.
Consumer spending and business investment continue to support growth, while net exports remain a significant drag.
Just 3 days until the official GDP release.
Full article below 👇
GDP Dynamics retweeted
We've launched The Minsky Report @GDPDynamics
The Minsky Report has been launch at: gdpdynamics.com/minsky
A free dashboard is available for all, and a in depth monthly report for paid subscribers at: members.gdpdynamics.com
The Minsky Report has been launch at: gdpdynamics.com/minsky
A free dashboard is available for all, and a in depth monthly report for paid subscribers at: members.gdpdynamics.com
GDP Dynamics retweeted
Going live in 20 minute with @ProfSteveKeen for a Q&A session. You can participate in the live chat!
youtube.com/live/qKRR_DEEmFU…
Latest Nowcast Weekly Update for Members only.
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