Analyzing the world so you can understand it | Independent research lab | Toward peaceful solutions

Philippines
Joined July 2011
🇨🇦 Canada is betting $24 billion on becoming an LNG giant. The expansion of its Kitimat terminal will double capacity to 28 million tonnes a year as war and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz increase demand for alternative suppliers. 🧵
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🇺🇸 The US is reopening talks with 🇲🇲 Myanmar’s military-backed leadership after the 2021 coup. Washington wants to tackle scam centers and may seek alternatives to 🇨🇳 China’s rare earth dominance. Can it pursue those interests without legitimizing the junta? 🧵
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🇬🇾 Guyana’s opposition leader Azruddin Mohamed is due back in court on October 21 as the United States seeks his extradition on financial crime charges. The case puts a political rivalry under pressure because Mohamed is President Irfaan Ali’s main opponent. 🧵
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🇨🇳 “You are now on the list.” China’s Embassy in Manila directed that menacing message at nine 🇵🇭 lawmakers after they called for its ambassador’s expulsion. Marcos must now decide whether keeping diplomatic ties smooth is worth the political cost at home. 🧵
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🇺🇦 Ukraine’s future could be discussed by 🇺🇸 Trump, 🇷🇺 Putin and 🇨🇳 Xi, without Ukraine at the table. Putin reportedly wants a new Yalta, where major powers negotiate spheres of influence. Who gets to decide another country’s future? 🧵
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🇮🇩 Indonesia’s disaster agency is under investigation over $8.2 million in contracts as wildfires burn roughly 2 million hectares. The agency chief was replaced after his brother was arrested in the corruption probe. How deep does Indonesia's incompetence go? 🧵
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🇵🇭 Prosecutors dropped 3 of 4 impeachment charges against VP Sara Duterte to speed up her trial. Now they’re betting everything on alleged unexplained wealth of $13 million. If the remaining charge fails, could their shortcut help her 2028 presidential bid? 🧵
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🇲🇾 Malaysia has banned civil servants from using 🇮🇱 Waze on official duty over espionage fears. How does data pose a security risk and what can governments do about it? 🧵
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🇧🇳 Brunei is wealthy from oil, yet some of its educated young people are reportedly heading to Australia to pick fruit illegally. Australian farm work can pay a month’s typical Bruneian income in about a week. What does that say about Brunei’s jobs crisis? 🧵
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🇨🇳 China bought 48% of 🇧🇷 Brazil’s beef exports by volume in 2025. Now, shipments above Brazil’s annual quota face a 67% tariff, forcing exporters to find new buyers or pay more to keep selling to their biggest customer. How easily can Brazil replace that demand? 🧵
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