Global Macro Focused Strategist & Trader;Former Equity Head of a Dutch Bank;cross asset experience in EM+Developed Markets;Market Wizard Anthony Saliba's ex TA
New York City
Joined October 2009
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Exclusive subscriber posts with deeper market commentary, additional context behind selected public posts, and more of what I’m watching across equities, rates, currencies, commodities and global macro.
For informational and educational purposes only. Not individualized investment advice, a trade-alert service or a copy-trading service.
teapawt.net/GlobalMacroZen/creator…
Level dance $SPX
GlobalMacroZen retweeted
Bond market gave the real response to Warsh; this may adversely affect the overnight equity trading in Asia & in Europe; in a perfect world we close at $SPX 7700 or lower(which may not happen today) or at least see that level or lower within 24 hours...
and we got the $SPX 7700 & lower too
$SPX traded 7706.5; when I posted this yesterday market was way up, you can get more insight about what I am doing, if you choose to be a subscriber, have a great day
teapawt.net/GlobalMacroZen/creator…
$SPX traded 7706.5; when I posted this yesterday market was way up, you can get more insight about what I am doing, if you choose to be a subscriber, have a great day
teapawt.net/GlobalMacroZen/creator…
GlobalMacroZen retweeted
So far perfect test of the $SPX levels up & down, after Warsh it will shape up; to me this FOMC should be sell now before the elections & sleep better but you never know; semis are still strong
Upside was 560; traded 565 $MSFT came somewhat down with the capex...; market gets nervous; this may also fizzle..
$MSFT earnings are after the close; this is a vulnerable chart & stock is trading negative(important before earnings); just from the technical standpoint I would stay away from this one even though they may beat who knows; downside is 460 & upside is 560(just my opinion); Capex/FCF remarks will be important
$GOOGL is murdered, downside target was 294 (it may go back there & higher; now at 287) ; traded 285, once again Capex/FCF remarks & margins were the key for the down move...
$GOOGL earnings are after the close, interesting chart, today it's positive so far(not bad before the report), 363/64 is the upside, 294/300 is the downside, no strong opinions on this one but good firm, Capex/FCF remarks will be important
Second or multiple passports are important sometimes:-)
Sometimes a second citizenship is critical.
Flávio Bolsonaro left Brazil on his Italian passport.
He got it in 2023, thanks to ancestors who left the Veneto and Tuscany over a century ago.
Under today's rules, he wouldn't qualify.
Since 2025, Italy only recognises you by descent if a parent or grandparent was Italian. The Constitutional Court confirmed it this spring.
Tens of millions of Brazilians have Italian roots. For most of them, that door is now shut.
All doors close, sooner or later. That's why it's important to seek more optionality while you still can.
ALT Map of Italian emigration to Brazil: Veneto, Lombardy, Campania and Calabria to São Paulo and southern Brazil, with a generation ladder for Italian citizenship by descent