Ronin (@Guvstad) header
Ronin (@Guvstad) profile picture

Markets, crypto & psychology. Thinking in liquidity…. signal over noise -ex Cambridge Uni, ex Morgan Stanley, ex HF, ex communicated

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Joined June 2024
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Macro, AI, and Crypto: Turning the Cycle open.substack.com/pub/guvsta…
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Everything @VulcanForged about to get real big. $PYR
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Ronin retweeted
usually would buy more $PYR because of dip, but I dont buy anymore and I warn everyone to buy that @vulcanforged $PYR because it is only @jomoxs55 @jamiethomsonvf that sell and dumps on you to buy for 10 thousands $ christmas trees from harrods and ferrari cars
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Life is a series of logins…
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$CIFR: Actions speak louder than words. Mike @mikealfred is obviously more bullish on $CIFR than $IREN
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Ronin retweeted
$IREN - Moved up to first place right now, closely followed by $CIFR, as I think both charts are moving very well for a possible addition to my portfolio. We know $IREN has proven support at $35, and that it has a tendency to throw a wick down toward $30 at times, but also that those wicks get eaten up very quickly. > so there are two layers to play here, with an exit if $30 is lost on a daily or weekly close. The upside is stacked at $45, $50, and $55, making this a swing trade that could very well be worth a shot.
$IREN - Testing the momentum cloud once again and retracing back into the support zone that ranges from roughly $40 to $36. Will bulls show up here again? Possibly. But with the stock ranging sideways and not breaking down or out, I'm sitting on my hands until we get a real breakout that sticks. That's the moment we leave the range and can prepare for a next move. The only order I'm setting is around $30. If we happen to wick down there, like we've done a couple of times in the last 10 months, I'm willing to step in more or less blindly. But until that happens, let the chart prove itself before stepping in.
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$CIFR is almost at its yearly low. It doesn’t mean it can’t go lower, algos are doing their job. But it doesn’t need CapEx to buy GPUs, it’s a landlord with Amazon and Fluidstack as tenants, and is backed by Google. It looks attractive at these levels
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NEOCLOUD REVENUE: $25B IN 2026 TO ~$300B BY 2031 William Blair’s case is a 10x market in five years due to inference, agentic workloads, and enterprise AI. “The top neoclouds, $CRWV, $NBIS, $IREN, & Nscale, have already amassed ~$275 billion in customer commitments.”
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Ronin retweeted
Also bought $CIFR today. Almost down 60% from highs with compute bottlenecked. Eyeing up one more neocloud but can wait.
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Ronin retweeted
$CIFR - Somewhat hanging in the balance here, as that $14.18 needs to be defended to avoid activating the magnet toward $13. Last time we touched down around the $14 support, bulls stepped up and we got an almost 40% reversal into $19. That can happen again, but bulls need to step in again to make it happen. Skylit heatmaps show that under $15 the magnet sits at $13, and that the $25 and $30 targets are real but only get into the action with a break and hold (acceptance) above $18. All in all, this is going to be a big winner is what I see, but we need the entry to be solid first. Could be happening soon though, $13 is highly on watch.
$CIFR - Now my dear friend Atlas has this one cooked up with an entry at $15.50 and a stop at $15, lining up the targets at $25 and $30. That makes this probably the setup I have the highest on watch right now, just because Atlas is a stellar champ, and if he's cooking up something with risk so defined that I only lose a bit but have the option to gain a lot, hell yes I'm taking it. Losing $15 means we see $13, so there's that as well.
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WELLS FARGO REMAINS BULLISH ON AI/HPC DATA CENTER STOCKS INTO Q3 $CIFR: $25 PT, OVERWEIGHT Sees Cipher with the largest qualified pipeline among the HPC/AI players, which could translate into significant upside as more pipeline assets are converted into contracted deals. $WULF: $30 PT, OVERWEIGHT Highlighted TeraWulf likely having enough cash on hand to fund the equity portion of both the Hawesville & Muskie, eliminating near-term needs to access the equity markets. Also favored low-latency access to key East Coast interconnection hubs. $HUT: $175 PT, OVERWEIGHT Sees Hut 8 as a an innovative, vertically integrated power and data center operating platform, with a high-quality base of contracted capacity that is primarily anchored by direct investment-grade credits (>70% of its contracted NOI). $APLD: $50 PT, OVERWEIGHT Seen as a leader in the space with a high-quality book of investment-grade tenants, a proven design and construction track record, and an industry-leading market position in North Dakota. $CORZ: $28 PT, OVERWEIGHT Notes that Core Scientific remains the furthest along in the sector in delivering and operating data center capacity for end customers. Labeled as the industry-leader in converting announced deals to operating MWs, although meaningful concentration with CoreWeave.
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UBS coverage initiation on $CIFR (9/22) included a Black Pearl satellite image from July 2026: They said said the image aligns with recent management commentary that initial Phase I capacity was delivered in August, about 2 months ahead of schedule. Forward looking: "By the end of September, Cipher is expected to deliver the full 35 MW in data hall #1 and 15 MW for network hall #1. Remaining capacity in Phase I, consisting of data halls 2 and 3 totaling 70 MW, is moving through MEP fit-out with targeted delivery at the end of October and November."
UBS believes $CIFR can double its contracted lease portfolio and become a scaled data center platform: "We believe the company has demonstrated strong progression across its successive lease announcements with an estimated $12-14M per MW of equity value creation in recent deals." • Remaining power pipeline is ~6x the current leased footprint, but Texas regulatory timing is the wild card. • UBS estimates ~350 MW IT available across three sites in 2027 are likely for lease announcements as hyperscaler pre-leasing typically starts around 18 months before delivery. • Batch Zero disclosures are a first step toward getting the market to underwrite expansion that gets little to no valuation credit as of today. Source: UBS Initiation of Coverage AI Infrastructure (9/22/2026)
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There's not many names as interesting as $CIFR. 2027 is when the magic happens. It's all explained below and it's free. You just need to read it and decide for yourself.
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Ronin retweeted
$CIFR - Atlas 🌍 As long as that $15.5 zone keeps getting defended, this is looking like a solid swing from the Atlas map, with $28 as the target for the coming 6 months. > that's a potential 76% swing play, with risk clearly defined.
$CIFR (weekly) - The breakout was a bull trap — bulls couldn't hold onto the cloud, and we lost it again. With the cloud back above our heads, the path of least resistance is downward, toward that $14-ish level. Invalidation comes with a break and hold above the momentum cloud, aka the reclaim.
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Team, we can’t control the day-to-day moves in $CIFR , but I have never been more excited about what’s coming. Thank you for your patience, and apologies for the bumps. I promise we are doing everything we can to reward your support, and the future is bright.
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$CIFR Ok team, we are making money on this position 📈 We are still SUPER early, we will make a lot on this one as $CIFR looks bullish to me 🚀 Make sure you are in my group to follow my every move on this position - stocktradermax.whop.site/
NEW LONG POSITION 🚨📈 Here is a free one for you all to follow, I have just gone long $CIFR buying off the $15 floor/support 🎯 This is a great zone to be a buyer of $CIFR shares, I own it, my team own it and you can follow me closer by joining my team - stocktradermax.whop.site/ I expect a strong rally in the upcoming weeks for $CIFR, We are at a strong floor which is a great position to be a buyer on 📈 Lets make some profits together team 🤝🏼
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NEW LONG POSITION 🚨📈 Here is a free one for you all to follow, I have just gone long $CIFR buying off the $15 floor/support 🎯 This is a great zone to be a buyer of $CIFR shares, I own it, my team own it and you can follow me closer by joining my team - stocktradermax.whop.site/ I expect a strong rally in the upcoming weeks for $CIFR, We are at a strong floor which is a great position to be a buyer on 📈 Lets make some profits together team 🤝🏼
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RECENT AI PRICE TARGETS & COVERAGE: $IREN: B. Riley reiterated BUY and lowered PT from $96 to $91 $CIFR: Wells Fargo reiterated BUY and $25 PT $CIFR: H.C. Wainwright reiterated BUY and $30 PT $NBIS: William Blair initiated Outperform $CRWV: William Blair initiated Outperform $WULF: Clear Street reiterated BUY $NUAI: Northland reiterated BUY & $12 PT
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