Founder/CEO of Savvy Trader & Earnings Hub CoHost of BuyHoldRant Podcast: https://teapawt.net/t.co/sW4vyFRSmq My portfolio & trades - near realtime: https://teapawt.net/t.co/laiDRy8ocb
Scottsdale, AZ
Joined September 2008
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My portfolio (+812%) vs. S&P 500 (+83%). In 4 1/2 years since my portfolio has been public, I've outperformed the S&P 500 by ~10x.
I've been told consistently that it's nearly impossible to beat the S&P 500, yet I've been doing just that for ~25 years! Kind of wild.
What am I buying now? My portfolio is public and 100% free (link in bio). But if you must know, this year, I've been going heavy into $MU (my AI semiconductor bet, trading at a ridiculous forward PE of just 7, or a 70% discount to FPE of the S&P500), $META (my overall "amazing business" that's growing faster than peers with huge AI upside, yet trading at a massive discount) and $RIVN (my "future is EVs + Autonomy" bet, but on a company that has a ridiculously low valuation of just $22 Billion rather than $1.4 Trillion!).
I share my views and what I'm doing publicly, including alerts of when I make trades, but I don't give investment advice. Everything I share is for awareness and helping others learn from my transactions.
If it's helped you in any way, comment and say hi!
Hamid retweeted
Episode 62 of @buyholdrant just wrapped. Here's what @hamids and I covered this week:
• I bought more $RIVN and walked through the tax loss harvesting move behind it
• $MSFT and $GOOGL earnings, which hit right as we went live, so we reacted to the numbers in real time
• $HOOD Q3 earnings and whether event contracts are helping the business or pulling focus
• Anthropic officially filed to go public. We got into the growth, the moat, and whether we'd rather own it or $SPCX
• Rivian acquired Third Dimension AI, a small UK startup that turns real-world driving data into 3D simulations for training self-driving
• What to expect from Rivian's Q3 earnings tomorrow
youtu.be/elOngrJ45es
Ep 62: $GOOGL, $MSFT & $HOOD Earnings, Anthropic IPO, $RIVN AI Deal teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1DGleVADj…
$SPCX CFO has really drank the cool-aid!
For perspective, if they build 100GW of data centers PER YEAR, by 2030, that means they will be spending ~$5 Trillion on data centers annually by themselves!
I hope he's right and they achieve it. Because that would mean ~$3 Trillion of that would be spent on $NVDA and $MU chips! 🤣
If you're long $SPCX, I imagine you have to be extremely long $NVDA & $MU!
This is pretty incredible and goes to show the depth of talent that $GOOGL has that is being squandered due to lack of a cohesive high-level strategy.
Hamid retweeted
When my net worth moves, I want to know what moved it.
Portaris now shows each account's daily move right in the Accounts widget on your net worth dashboard. Brokerage, bank, crypto, home, loans, all broken out with today's change next to each one.
And you can still tap Allocation to switch back to how much of your net worth sits where.
ALT Portaris Accounts widget in dark mode showing each account's one-day move next to its balance
This is over a 10-year period. I love that a lot of people are running with the $825 Billion headline number to imply $META will go bankrupt soon!
For context, the company's CURRENT businesses pump out over $100 Billion of profits per year, growing at ~25% annually!
Meta Platforms $META said it has agreed to spend ~$825 Billion in the future on leases and contracts, many of them related to computing power and AI infrastructure - Bloomberg
ALT Photo Credit: George Frey/AFP/Getty Images
Ep 61: $META, $TSLA & $SPCX Earnings, Tesla Roadster, Muse Spark Opens teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1vJpPNbBQ…
Join @dustinalper and I LIVE at 1pm Pacific / 4pm Eastern for Ep 61 of Buy Hold Rant where we'll talk about $META, $TSLA and $SPCX earnings, $RKLB, $MU and AI in general, plus the new Tesla Roadster demo, and sooo much more + your questions.
youtube.com/watch?v=vektZ_7l…
Each of $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT, $META and $SPCX hope to bring 5-10GW of new AI data centers online in 2027. In SpaceX's case, maybe they hope to get to 20GW.
However, only @elonmusk is claiming that his 10-20GW will generate $500 Billion to $1 Trillion of ARR for SpaceX next year.
At this point, what's stopping the rest of the industry from saying "you know what, we can also sell our new capacity at $50/watt" and project MASSIVE revenue increases based on hypotheticals? Everybody should do this.
So what's the reason none of the others are making such claims? Are they dumb?
At some point, this level of hubris (confidently predicting 2027 $SPCX revenue at $500 Billion to $1 Trillion), becomes indistinguishable from a scam.
Because where will that revenue come from?
Elon is assuming there is infinite demand for data center rentals at $50 per watt per year, even though it costs less than $50 per watt to build a data center. His assumption is that if SpaceX can put up 10-20GW of DCs x $50 per watt, that = $500-$1,000 Billion of revenue.
I think at best, it's irresponsible to set such expectations with your shareholders, and at worst, it's very hard to tell it apart from what a scammer might say.
There's an extremely low probability that any of the vision training from the millions of FSD vehicles would be reused for Optimus. The training needed to drive a vehicle is vastly different than the training needed to operate a robot.
Ironically Farzad's video here actually makes this point pretty well, yet his headline/title for it seems completely off.
Obviously, they'll both use similar NN systems & vision, but almost certainly, completely separate training models.
