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The performance of our Trend Asset Allocation Model has been updated to 29-Sep-2025
1 year: Model 12.7% vs. 60/40 12.9%
2 years: Model 20.4% vs. 60/40 17.9%
3 years: Model 16.9% vs. 60/40 15.3%
5 years: Model 10.9% vs. 60/40 8.8%
humblestudentofthemarkets.co…
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Value is in the eyes of the beholder: $SPX fwd P/E 17.7, which seems cheap in the post-pandemic era, but viewed against a 25 history against the 10-year Treasury, similar yields saw forward P/E in the 13-15 range.
One big issue in the last two US elections was affordability. This chart of real average hourly earnings shows that October figures aren't getting any better.
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The CBOE put/call ratio spiked about 1 Thursday = Panic
$CPC
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
I can't believe I'm staying up to watch the $KOSPI overnight, but the Korean market is back testing its 50% retracement level
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
A wild week. Eq Wt $SPX made an ATH Wednesday, followed by an bearish outside day (engulfing pattern) Thursday. Now testing 50 dma
Here comes my "thoughts for the weekend"
I wrote a monthly column at buff.ly/jMOEyiK
Use the code CAMTRiAL for a discounted 30-day trial ($30 vs $40 monthly and $360 vs $400 annual)
From a macro perspective, this may be a good time to revisit this @BobEUnlimited thesis.
Most investors focused on the AI trade don't get that monetary and fiscal policy has been a big underlying driver supporting the trade. The next policy pump is set to be much harder. Free on the blog app this week:
teapawt.net/BobEUnlimited/status/2…
Cam Hui retweeted
I’ve seen enough.
I don’t have an election call or anything. I’ve just seen enough.
Cam Hui retweeted
3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The damage has been concentrated in Mag 7 and AI stocks while forward 12m EPS estimates are still rising
Cam Hui retweeted
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
$SPX and 10-year Treasury yield are testing key support
Time for a replay of "thoughts for the weekend"
Here comes my "thoughts for the weekend"
I wrote a monthly column at buff.ly/jMOEyiK
Use the code CAMTRiAL for a discounted 30-day trial ($30 vs $40 monthly and $360 vs $400 annual)
3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The damage has been concentrated in Mag 7 and AI stocks while forward 12m EPS estimates are still rising



















