Analyst. Semiconductors, data centers & physical AI. Portfolio and investment theses on Substack Join 14,000+ readers: https://xitter.cf/t.co/poHmmwvC5M

Spain
Joined April 2024
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang Rejects Memory Oversupply Fears Through 2029 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang dismissed concerns about a potential memory glut by 2029, arguing that “you can always use more of it.” Huang expects HBM demand to remain strong “for years to come” and confirmed Nvidia will continue using large quantities of LPDDR memory Regarding potential cooperation with China's CXMT, Huang said “We're open-minded,” adding that “no country collectively is better at manufacturing than China.” He also argued that US export restrictions have accelerated China's domestic semiconductor development, while maintaining that American companies are ready to compete
4
3
1
24
3,405
$TSLA and $NVDA Invest $2.8B to Secure Samsung Electro-Mechanics ABF Capacity Nvidia will invest $2 billion and Tesla $830 million, supporting SEMCO's broader $3.2 billion expansion Construction is expected to finish by late 2027, with equipment installation and trials in H1 2028 and mass production starting in H2 2028 Tesla has secured a five-year supply agreement (2029–2033) for AI chips powering autonomous vehicles and Optimus robots, while Nvidia's capacity will support AI computing and data center networking
2
2
14
2,844
$TSM Plans New CoPoS Advanced Packaging Facility in Taiwan TSMC is reportedly planning a new CoPoS advanced packaging facility at its 104.65-hectare Longtan site in Taiwan, expanding beyond its existing AP7 and AP8 projects to meet surging AI demand TSMC is also outsourcing interposer production to Vanguard and $GFS, including a $2 billion, five-year agreement with the latter, while ASE, SPIL, and Powertech expand alternative advanced packaging capacity
5
4
16
3,937
10 years from now, you'll look at the stock chart of any decent AI company and think: Why was I stressing so much? All I had to do was keep buying
10
5
2
71
7,258
Samsung Electro-Mechanics' MLCC Lead Times Reach 61 Weeks Semco is facing severe MLCC shortages, with lead times reaching 61 weeks, up from 39–49 weeks in September as AI servers require over 10 times more MLCCs than conventional servers With capacity utilization at 91%, Semco is gaining pricing power. AI server MLCC prices are forecast to rise 10–20% in Q4, while average selling prices increased 13.9% YoY in H1 Semco has signed $3.2 billion in major supply agreements since May, securing demand through 2027. Its new Philippine factory is expected to begin operations in H1 2027
1
1
2
9
4,839
Samsung Orders Final Equipment for Its First Texas 2nm Fab Samsung has reportedly ordered additional equipment to bring its first Taylor, Texas fab to 20,000 wafers per month by H2 2027, reaching its reported design capacity The facility is already qualifying equipment, with initial operations expected by the end of 2026. Tesla is its first confirmed customer, under a $16.5 billion AI chip manufacturing agreement Samsung also plans to begin construction of a second Taylor fab in November 2026, targeting 1.4nm production in 2030
2
21
4,169
$MU Taiwan strike ends, but labor dispute remains unresolved Micron’s Taoyuan union concluded its 24-hour warning strike on October 23, marking Taiwan’s first semiconductor industry strike Of the 1,637 union members who voted, 1,633 rejected Micron’s revised compensation proposal, representing 99% of voters and nearly 70% of total union membership While Micron’s Taichung union accepted the new profit-sharing and bonus structure, the Taoyuan union continues to demand better terms. Negotiations will resume on October 27, after being postponed due to a typhoon
1
2
1
14
4,580
$LITE down 10% just doesn't match what we've been seeing lately The market moves in strange ways Voting machine, weighing machine, whatever
4
25
4,420
Neoclouds getting crushed despite payback periods of less than a year? With B200 and B300 pricing at record highs? With hyperscalers reaffirming their capex plans? With AWS saying they're booked through 2028? $NBIS at $160 now Impressive.
18
6
3
169
14,422