Consultant & Tactician in International Strategic Affairs Specializing in the United States and the Middle East (DCG) đ Parisâ˘D.C.
Washington, DC
Joined January 2017
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Jacob Safar retweeted
Trump on Iran:
Somebody asked me, "If you had to do it again, would you have attacked Iran?"
I said, "Absolutely. It's one of the greatest things I've ever done."
Jacob Safar retweeted
I met with Japanâs Minister of Defense ShinjirĹ Koizumi @shinjirokoiz to advance our shared vision of peace through strength.
Our strategic alignment is essential to building a credible denial defenseâsupported by increased investment, greater access, more realistic training, and stronger production of the munitions our forces need.
Jacob Safar retweeted
28 Oct, 04:03 Israel time
Ballots counted: 1,216,002
Stations reporting: 3,024
Valid: 1,210,461
Invalid: 5,541
Counted votes (% of 1,210,461 counted valid votes):
Bibi's bloc: 578,599 (47.80%)
Likud: 282,772 (23.36%)
Shas: 69,641 (5.75%)
United Torah Judaism: 80,348 (6.64%)
Otzma Yehudit: 76,229 (6.30%)
Religious ZionismâZehut: 69,609 (5.75%)
Opposition: 444,453 (36.72%)
Yashar! (Eisenkot): 190,524 (15.74%)
Together (BennettâLapid): 103,220 (8.53%)
Democrats (Golan): 70,003 (5.78%)
Yisrael Beytenu (Liberman): 80,706 (6.67%)
Arab parties: 117,905 (9.74%)
Joint List: 79,154 (6.54%)
Raâam: 38,751 (3.20%)
Other lists: 69,504 (5.74%)
ReservistsâEconomic Party: 34,664 (2.86%)
Amcha Israel: 22,022 (1.82%)
Others: 12,818 (1.06%)
Jacob Safar retweeted
BIG: The U.S. has warned several Gulf countries to prepare for a possible short, intense military campaign against Iran after the November midterm elections.
U.S. forces are reinforcing missile defenses, restocking ammunition and preparing bombers and fighter jets for potential strikes.
Trump is reportedly leaning toward a major attack targeting Iranian infrastructure and nuclear sites but has not made a final decision.
Israel is also preparing for renewed strikes.
Source: WSJ
Jacob Safar retweeted
Netanyahu on Iran:
Israel has a once-in-a-lifetime historic opportunity, together with President Trump, to eliminate the existential Iranian threat.
Jacob Safar retweeted
Marco Rubio:
Our enemies are weaker, our country is stronger, and our people are safer because Donald J. Trump is the president of the United States.
Jacob Safar retweeted
Trump on Venezuela:
Jobs are happening in Venezuela that nobody would have thought even possible.
Jacob Safar retweeted
Mao ĂŠtait un dictateur. Sanguinaire et communiste. Lâun des pires du XXe siècle.
 Il a heurtÊ les sentiments nationaux  : Kylian MbappÊ dans la tourmente en Chine après avoir comparÊ Mao à un dictateur l.leparisien.fr/lhyq
Jacob Safar retweeted
Netanyahu supporters react to initial Israeli election results xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1kKzDPZBlâŚ
Jacob Safar retweeted
Trump on Iran:
Remember this: We didn't start the war with Iran.
Iran has been waging war on America since 1979.
Jacob Safar retweeted
đ¨ ISRAEL ELECTIONS â CHANNEL 12 UPDATED EXIT POLL
According to left-wing Channel 12:
Likud: 27
Yesh Atid: 21
United: 12
Joint List: 11
Democrats: 9
Yisrael Beiteinu (Our Home): 8
Ra'am: 7
Shas: 7
Jewish Home: 6
Otzma Yehudit: 6
Religious Zionism: 6
BLOC BREAKDOWN:
đľ Netanyahu Bloc: 52 seats
đ´ Gantz Bloc: 50 seats
đ˘ Arab Parties: 18 seats
MAJORITY REQUIRED: 61 SEATS
Even according to left-wing Channel 12's exit poll, neither major bloc has secured a majority.
A reminder: These are exit polls, not final results. Historically, Israeli election-night projections have shifted as actual votes were counted. The final results could tell a very different story.
đ¨ NETANYAHUâS BLOC CLIMBS TO 62 IN CHANNEL 14 EXIT POLL
Channel 14âs updated projection gives Netanyahuâs right-wing bloc 62 seats, with Avigdor Libermanâs Yisrael Beiteinu below the electoral threshold.
If those numbers hold, Netanyahu has a path to a majority government. But Liberman crossing the threshold could change the seat distributionâand the coalition picture.
The final count is what matters.
Jacob Safar retweeted
In the latest Kan 11 poll, the two political blocs are tied at 51 seats each.
Likud gains two seats, rising to 27, while Yachad and Otzma Yehudit each lose one seat.
Jacob Safar retweeted
We are now in what might be called the journalistâs danger zone, where an overconfident prediction can stain the rest of your career. In 2015, the exit polls showed Likud and Isaac Herzogâs Zionist Union roughly tied at 27 or 28 seats each, and both camps claimed victory. The final result was Likud 30, Zionist Union 24, a six-seat gap no exit poll saw coming.
Stay humble.
Jacob Safar retweeted
Iđ¨SRAEL ELECTIONS: LIKUD SURGES TO 27 SEATSâNETANYAHU AND OPPOSITION BLOCS NOW TIED 51â51 IN UPDATED CHANNEL 13 EXIT POLL (LEFT WING)
A dramatic reversal in Channel 13's election projections.
Netanyahu's Likud has gained another two seats, rising from 25 to 27, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party loses one seat.
Updated bloc projections:
Netanyahu bloc: 51 seats
Opposition bloc: 51 seats
Arab parties: 18 seats
Just four days ago, Channel 13 projected Likud winning only 19 seats. Tonight, its updated exit poll gives Likud 27âan eight-seat turnaround.
And all of this comes despite exceptionally high Arab voter turnout, which was expected to strengthen the anti-Netanyahu camp.
The political picture is shifting rapidly, and the official vote count is still underway.
Once again, a reminder: Do not confuse television projections with actual election results.
đ¨ NETANYAHUâS BLOC CLIMBS TO 62 IN CHANNEL 14 EXIT POLL
Channel 14âs updated projection gives Netanyahuâs right-wing bloc 62 seats, with Avigdor Libermanâs Yisrael Beiteinu below the electoral threshold.
If those numbers hold, Netanyahu has a path to a majority government. But Liberman crossing the threshold could change the seat distributionâand the coalition picture.
The final count is what matters.
Jacob Safar retweeted
Brazilian President Lula:
I am just finding out now that my opponent has left the country.
I lost elections to Fernando Henrique Cardoso twice, and I stayed in Brazil.
Alckmin lost to me and stayed in Brazil.
Jacob Safar retweeted
The anti-Netanyahu parties made 2 promises to voters:
1. We will not form a government with Netanyahu.
2. We will not form a government with the Arab parties.
Amit asks: Why is breaking the first promise considered a betrayal, while breaking the second is considered acceptable?
My question is why that criticism wasnât heard throughout the campaign. Not at the right-wing bloc, but at Lieberman, Bennett and Lapid, and at Gadi Eisenkot, who explained that thereâs the Zionist bloc, and then there are those who might support it from outside.
We can all agree on one thing: if this exit poll holds, 70 MKs ran on saying no to Netanyahu and his coalition. Thatâs not up for debate.
By the same token, letâs respect the fact that somewhere between 70 and 90 MKs promised not to sit with the Arab parties. Even without counting Yashar, there are 70 MKs against that partnership.
So which election promise is supposed to be broken?
A quick experiment: if Lieberman announced tonight that he was going with Bibi, everyone would jump on him in fury. So why, if he goes with the Arab parties, would everyone say, âSee? Fineâ?
Why is one promise something we can shrug off, âthe electionâs over, the masks come off,â while the promise not to sit with Netanyahu is set in stone?