JP+ College Football Power Ratings I Beating the Market One Efficiency Edge at a Time I Process Over Resume I #IUFB
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JP+ retweeted
The Iowa-Wisconsin total next week is 36.5. The FAU-North Texas total is 72.5. I love college football.
Top 10 Win Total Movers After Week 8
Cincy beats Texas Tech, a 2.5-win swing between them. Tech goes from 11 projected wins to under 10
ULM gets its first win, at Troy, and its projection jumps to…2.6
UCF takes down BYU (+1.0). West Virginia wins at TCU and goes from 4.6 to 5.6, so a bowl game is in play
Iowa loses 13-10 at Minnesota. Most Iowa thing possible. −1.0
Full projections: jpplusratings.com/win-totals
JP+ retweeted
Big thanks to Andrew for tracking all College Football Power Ratings (and which ones to trust)
2026 YTD thru Wk 9 #CFBPicker recap
We have movement at the top!
@ActionNetworkHQ @Collin1 power ratings stay #1, but moving into #2 are the member numbers from @thepowerrank, which are bolstered by strong wSUP & wATS peripherals.
Rest of the top 4: @JPPlusCFB, @jhnhrris.
JP+ retweeted
Kentucky #1 in Strength of Record (what they have accomplished on the field) 24 in power rating (what they're expected to do on the field next), 12th in AP which is prob 50% of voters doing the former and 50% doing the latter.
JP+ retweeted
2026 YTD thru Wk 9 #CFBPicker recap
We have movement at the top!
@ActionNetworkHQ @Collin1 power ratings stay #1, but moving into #2 are the member numbers from @thepowerrank, which are bolstered by strong wSUP & wATS peripherals.
Rest of the top 4: @JPPlusCFB, @jhnhrris.
JP+ retweeted
2026 Wk 9 : ATS
Our ATS leader at 61.9% was the Circa Line: MCS, the line I grab immediately upon availability of all 10 #MetricsConsensus inputs (typically it's Monday afternoon).
5 civilian models were better than 52.4%: @Room44B (57.4%), @JPPlusCFB, @OddsTrader_ & @DRatings
JP+ retweeted
2026 Wk 9 : MAE
Our MAE leader was @Room44B at 10.50, in a week where the Circa open/close was at 10.88/10.73. Room44 also lead in RSE at 12.79.
Other sub 11.00 models: Line MCS, @slate_fluker, Line Open, @JPPlusCFB (#1 Median AE at 8.35), @sseljan & @RyderAnalytics.
Since it seems Kentucky fans have found my replies for the 2nd week in a row telling me my model is garbage (and still don't understand the difference between power rating and resume ratings), might as well use the opportunity to glaze myself
On @PDawg206 CFB Picker:
- 3rd overall on total model quality
- 1st overall on ATS vs both close & open
- 1st overall on CLV
On @CFB_Data Pick 'Em Contest:
- 3rd overall on ATS
JP+ Week 8 Final:
All Games: 31-25 (55.4%)
5+ Disagreements: 10-9 (52.6%)
Selection Engine: 8-9 (47.1%)
YTD:
All Games: 263-181 (59.2%)
5+ Disagreements: 105-74 (58.7%)
Selection Engine: 70-46 (60.3%)
Slight regression but still strong overall
Colorado State putting 50+ on a team? Is this the upside down where they are playing their own defense?
Tulsa +1 vs Army ❌
Wyoming vs Air Force -6.5 ❌
Navy +3 vs NT ❓
I am ready to be hurt by all 3 branches of our Armed Forces
It would appear no one is good in CFB this year and that is what makes this the dumbest most beautiful sport on earth 📈📈