Just Some Footy. Contributor over at @mlslivepodcast. Have an unhealthy affection for 🇺🇲 MLS and 🇦🇺 A-League. Phil Foden will win multiple Ballon D'or.
On the pitch
Joined December 2020
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Gonna step away from X for a while.
Talking shop and footy is why I started this account. I enjoy that community immensely.
I've never asked for anything here. I've never demanded engagement. I don't push books or platforms. There's nothing to pay for. I'm literally just posting what I'm personally paying. I've always pushed responsible betting and full transparency.
I don't need praise or a pat on the back. It's not about that for me. It never has been. If anyone has ever tried to tip me I just tell them to pick a local charity in their city/near them and donate it there. I never had aspirations of being something other than... Me.
But I'm tired of the negativity. Whole accounts just dedicated to bringing people down. The amount of time spent doing that... I can't imagine being that miserable. I'm tired of DMs. People saying shit they'd never dream of saying to anyone's face. But, I'm exhausted by the effort and energy it takes to do this, to deal with the hate and vile, while also having a career, being a husband, a dad and doing those to the best of my ability.
This is becoming the least enjoyable thing I do. A hobby I delight in is now negatively impacting other important aspects of my life. I just wanna be done with this space.
So, BoL 🍀 to whatever you're on in the future, as always.
✌🏻 🍻
Recap:
Full reverse. Brutal. Some bad luck. Some awful reads. Impressively bad.
🇺🇸 Nashville TT o1.5 (-120) 💩
🇺🇸 St Louis City TT o1.5 (-150) 💩
🇺🇸 LA Galaxy TT o1.5 (-140) 💩
🇺🇸 Portland Timbers u3.5 (-120) 💩
Player Props
Surridge (🇺🇸 Nashville SC) anytime goal (+115) 💩
Parlay Options
🇺🇸 Philadelphia Union BTTS + 🇺🇸 LA Galaxy BTTS (+109) 💩
-6.1u
MLS action, August 19:
🇺🇸 Nashville TT o1.5 (-120)
🇺🇸 St Louis City TT o1.5 (-150)
🇺🇸 LA Galaxy TT o1.5 (-140)
🇺🇸 Portland Timbers u3.5 (-120)
Player Props
Surridge (🇺🇸 Nashville SC) anytime goal (+115)
Parlay Options
🇺🇸 Philadelphia Union BTTS + 🇺🇸 LA Galaxy BTTS (+109)
Chasing some hot, strong attacking sides getting vulnerable defenses. Nothing super special. Surridge is avg a goal every 87 mins, he just shouldn't be +money anywhere. I'll continue to fade SJ defense and back SD defense until proven otherwise. Also, Dreyer suspended and foreign interest in Kelsey makes this spot interesting and the total just too high, imo.
Midweek MLS can, and usually is, a mixed bag. BoL 🍀
STL. This is easy.
🚨🇺🇸 Damion Downs could be heading to MLS.
The Southampton striker is reportedly attracting interest from two MLS clubs, with it currently viewed as his most likely exit route. Reported by Southampton Journalist @AlfieHouseEcho.
Hopefully he can reestablish himself in MLS.
Literally. You put anyone with semi competent finishing up top in that system and they win the boot by 10+ goals.
I like McKenzie, but a CB as a DP kills you in attack if youre u22s aren't a slam dunk. Philly just gonna ask Cavan to carry them for the next 2 years...
💣🇺🇸 BREAKING: The Philadelphia Union are finalizing a deal to sign USMNT center back Mark McKenzie from FC Toulouse in January, per sources.
- Fee around $2.5m. McKenzie will be a DP
- Toulouse made clear no summer departure, so move for January agreed
- McKenzie, 27, returns to his boyhood club nytimes.com/athletic/7521195…
MLS action, August 19:
🇺🇸 Nashville TT o1.5 (-120)
🇺🇸 St Louis City TT o1.5 (-150)
🇺🇸 LA Galaxy TT o1.5 (-140)
🇺🇸 Portland Timbers u3.5 (-120)
Player Props
Surridge (🇺🇸 Nashville SC) anytime goal (+115)
Parlay Options
🇺🇸 Philadelphia Union BTTS + 🇺🇸 LA Galaxy BTTS (+109)
Chasing some hot, strong attacking sides getting vulnerable defenses. Nothing super special. Surridge is avg a goal every 87 mins, he just shouldn't be +money anywhere. I'll continue to fade SJ defense and back SD defense until proven otherwise. Also, Dreyer suspended and foreign interest in Kelsey makes this spot interesting and the total just too high, imo.
Midweek MLS can, and usually is, a mixed bag. BoL 🍀
Recap:
🇺🇸 NYCFC u3 (-133) 💩
🇺🇸 Seattle Sounders u3 (-121) 💰
Eating the juice as these split.
-0.33u
MLS action for Sunday, August 16
🇺🇸 NYCFC u3 (-133)
🇺🇸 Seattle Sounders u3 (-121)
Out and about so no comprehensive thoughts on these, was just waiting for player availability reports (even tho they feel like they're 60% reliable, at best, what's with that @MLS ?) BUT Nico is suspended for NYCFC so that's 16 goal contributions in 18 games out the window. @ Yankee Stadium where opposing teams, typically, don't find a lot of joy. I don't think Philly has turned a corner... They're still a team void of leadership and down bad talent wise (Cavan not included) but it should be much easier defending NYC without Nico out there.
Seattle is still woof, but Vancouver look like a ship with no power since Berhalter left. Seattle being at home helps this under some with both attacks potentially being 💩, however numbers say otherwise. All these sides coming off the last of leagues cup games, so could be heavier legs than usual even tho everyone rotated quite a bit during the tournament. Some not fun congestion at the moment could lead to not fun games. Getting the full 3 playable gives that much needed push protection.
BoL 🍀
Recap:
+4.6u
🇨🇦 CF Montreal draw (+260) 💰
🇨🇦 Toronto draw (+260) 💩
🇺🇸 Nashville SC o3 (-148) 2u 💰💰
🇺🇸 LAFC u3.5 (-148) 💰
Cheers 🍻
MLS action, August 15
🇨🇦 CF Montreal draw (+260)
🇨🇦 Toronto draw (+260)
🇺🇸 Nashville SC o3 (-148) 2u
🇺🇸 LAFC u3.5 (-148)
Montreal/DC United just feature a game where all the splits say it's a tight one. DC have been road warriors this season getting points in 7 of 9 away matches which includes FIVE draws. Neither team is stellar. DC sit in the last playoff spot right now but when over 50% of the league makes the playoffs what does that really mean 😅? Montreal get the home bump. Feels like a 1-1 so taking a shot on the draw value instead of decent juice on a DC spread.
Toronto is the inverse. A home team that routinely can't get the full 3 points. Their run of form is actually pretty rough, but they're getting key players healthy, finally, so I'm sure they're hoping that attack has a little more bite than the ~13 xG they've shown thru 9 home games. Revs attack has been a major issue, especially on the road where they are ~10 xG in 7 road games. But, I absolutely loved what I saw from Harrison in his 2H debut v. Houston. He's never had high g/a numbers in his career, but giving Gil help should open up opportunities for everyone in this attack. Having said that, if everything goes the way it should go Toronto win even tho the table says it's 3 v. 12. But +115 or so doesn't feel like an advantageous price and I do believe the draw is very much alive here.
Wasn't gonna have action on this Nashville match until I saw Messi on the bench v. Leon. So I'd expect him in for this one. Messi situation is delicate, I honestly dunno how he responds, but he's always (and I mean always) hit bangers v. Nashville. 11 goals in 7 games v. NSC and NSC's midfield continues to look rough and probably will until Yazbek returns from injury. However, Miami's Micael went down with some type of sprain and he's absolutely missing time. He's really the only CB they can rely on so Nashville should find opportunities with him out. Plus, Espinoza made his return during Leagues Cup and he's so key in what Nashville wanna do in attack with Mukhtar and Surridge. I really wanted BTTS + o2.5 but it's out of my play range. Settling for the o3 acknowledging the push chance is decent, but think that's worst case scenario.
We're getting an inflated total due to it being LAFC, but that attack hasn't looked great with the underlying numbers. Not counting Leagues Cup, I look at their last couple matches vs KC at home (1.37 xG), RSL at home (1.16 xG), Houston at home (1.22 xG) with all those games flying over and the attack just didn't look great in the build up and progression play, where goal creation starts. And, until they prove otherwise, I'm gonna keep leaning on this SD road defense post WC. LAFC has never beaten SD in their short existence and I debated the +1 spread or this under, but it's incredibly hard for me to see 4 goals here. Think the juice is worth the look.
MLS action for Sunday, August 16
🇺🇸 NYCFC u3 (-133)
🇺🇸 Seattle Sounders u3 (-121)
Out and about so no comprehensive thoughts on these, was just waiting for player availability reports (even tho they feel like they're 60% reliable, at best, what's with that @MLS ?) BUT Nico is suspended for NYCFC so that's 16 goal contributions in 18 games out the window. @ Yankee Stadium where opposing teams, typically, don't find a lot of joy. I don't think Philly has turned a corner... They're still a team void of leadership and down bad talent wise (Cavan not included) but it should be much easier defending NYC without Nico out there.
Seattle is still woof, but Vancouver look like a ship with no power since Berhalter left. Seattle being at home helps this under some with both attacks potentially being 💩, however numbers say otherwise. All these sides coming off the last of leagues cup games, so could be heavier legs than usual even tho everyone rotated quite a bit during the tournament. Some not fun congestion at the moment could lead to not fun games. Getting the full 3 playable gives that much needed push protection.
BoL 🍀
MLS action, August 15
🇨🇦 CF Montreal draw (+260)
🇨🇦 Toronto draw (+260)
🇺🇸 Nashville SC o3 (-148) 2u
🇺🇸 LAFC u3.5 (-148)
Montreal/DC United just feature a game where all the splits say it's a tight one. DC have been road warriors this season getting points in 7 of 9 away matches which includes FIVE draws. Neither team is stellar. DC sit in the last playoff spot right now but when over 50% of the league makes the playoffs what does that really mean 😅? Montreal get the home bump. Feels like a 1-1 so taking a shot on the draw value instead of decent juice on a DC spread.
Toronto is the inverse. A home team that routinely can't get the full 3 points. Their run of form is actually pretty rough, but they're getting key players healthy, finally, so I'm sure they're hoping that attack has a little more bite than the ~13 xG they've shown thru 9 home games. Revs attack has been a major issue, especially on the road where they are ~10 xG in 7 road games. But, I absolutely loved what I saw from Harrison in his 2H debut v. Houston. He's never had high g/a numbers in his career, but giving Gil help should open up opportunities for everyone in this attack. Having said that, if everything goes the way it should go Toronto win even tho the table says it's 3 v. 12. But +115 or so doesn't feel like an advantageous price and I do believe the draw is very much alive here.
Wasn't gonna have action on this Nashville match until I saw Messi on the bench v. Leon. So I'd expect him in for this one. Messi situation is delicate, I honestly dunno how he responds, but he's always (and I mean always) hit bangers v. Nashville. 11 goals in 7 games v. NSC and NSC's midfield continues to look rough and probably will until Yazbek returns from injury. However, Miami's Micael went down with some type of sprain and he's absolutely missing time. He's really the only CB they can rely on so Nashville should find opportunities with him out. Plus, Espinoza made his return during Leagues Cup and he's so key in what Nashville wanna do in attack with Mukhtar and Surridge. I really wanted BTTS + o2.5 but it's out of my play range. Settling for the o3 acknowledging the push chance is decent, but think that's worst case scenario.
We're getting an inflated total due to it being LAFC, but that attack hasn't looked great with the underlying numbers. Not counting Leagues Cup, I look at their last couple matches vs KC at home (1.37 xG), RSL at home (1.16 xG), Houston at home (1.22 xG) with all those games flying over and the attack just didn't look great in the build up and progression play, where goal creation starts. And, until they prove otherwise, I'm gonna keep leaning on this SD road defense post WC. LAFC has never beaten SD in their short existence and I debated the +1 spread or this under, but it's incredibly hard for me to see 4 goals here. Think the juice is worth the look.
Brutal for the best attacking threat Sounders have by a mile. Injuries haunting this guy like he's cursed. Seattle has to figure how to get the DP tag off of him going forward
Bad news for the #Sounders 🚨
Brian Schmetzer just revealed that Pedro de La Vega could be out for the rest of the year with a "very significant left quad pull. The team is looking for a second and third opinion to figure out if surgery is needed.
I am devastated for Pedro 🙏
What if Atlanta signed good players instead of just names? Embolo has been cooked for multiple seasons now.
They ran the league with a young Almiron and Josef Martinez... Imagine scouting and finding good players. Just imagine.
💣🇨🇭 BREAKING: Atlanta United is finalizing a deal to sign Swiss int'l forward Breel Embolo from Stade Rennes, per sources.
Fee around $18m, one of the top 5 most expensive in MLS.
Embolo, 29, had 10g/3a for Rennes last year.
🤝 @Santi_J_FM nytimes.com/athletic/7513306…
There's a new version of this post
MLS action, August 15
🇨🇦 CF Montreal draw (+260)
🇨🇦 Toronto draw (+260)
🇺🇸 Nashville SC o3 (-148) 2u
🇺🇸 LAFC u3.5 (-148)
Montreal/DC United just feature a game where all the splits say it's a tight one. DC have been road warriors this season getting points in 7 of 9 away matches which includes FIVE draws. Neither team is stellar. DC sit in the last playoff spot right now but when over 50% of the league makes the playoffs what does that really mean 😅? Montreal get the home bump. Feels like a 1-1 so taking a shot on the draw value instead of decent juice on a DC spread.
Toronto is the inverse. A home team that routinely can't get the full 3 points. Their run of form is actually pretty rough, but they're getting key players healthy, finally, so I'm sure they're hoping that attack has a little more bite than the ~13 xG they've shown thru 9 home games. Revs attack has been a major issue, especially on the road where they are ~10 xG in 7 road games. But, I absolutely loved what I saw from Harrison in his 2H debut v. Houston. He's never had high g/a numbers in his career, but giving Gil help should open up opportunities for everyone in this attack. Having said that, if everything goes the way it should go Toronto win even tho the table says it's 3 v. 12. But +115 or so doesn't feel like an advantageous price and I do believe the draw is very much alive here.
Wasn't gonna have action on this Nashville match until I saw Messi on the bench v. Leon. So I'd expect him in for this one. Messi situation is delicate, I honestly dunno how he responds, but he's always (and I mean always) hit bangers v. Nashville. 11 goals in 7 games v. NSC and NSC's midfield continues to look rough and probably will until Yazbek returns from injury. However, Miami's Micael went down with some type of sprain and he's absolutely missing time. He's really the only CB they can rely on so Nashville should find opportunities with him out. Plus, Espinoza made his return during Leagues Cup and he's so key in what Nashville wanna do in attack with Mukhtar and Surridge. I really wanted BTTS + o2.5 but it's out of my play range. Settling for the o3 acknowledging the push chance is decent, but think that's worst case scenario.
We're getting an inflated total due to it being LAFC, but that attack hasn't looked great with the underlying numbers. Not counting Leagues Cup, I look at their last couple matches vs KC at home (1.37 xG), RSL at home (1.16 xG), Houston at home (1.22 xG) with all those games flying over and the attack just didn't look great in the build up and progression play, where goal creation starts. And, until they prove otherwise, I'm gonna keep leaning on this SD road defense post WC. LAFC has never beaten SD in their short existence and I debated the +1 spread or this under, but it's incredibly hard for me to see 4 goals here. Think the juice is worth the look.
L.M.A.O.
🇨🇱 BREAKING: CF Montréal has signed Chile legend Alexis Sanchez, per sources. @ElDeportivoLT 1st.
Sanchez, 37, joins as a DP. The former Barcelona, Arsenal, and Inter Milan forward spent last season with Sevilla.
Sanchez is Chile's all-time leader in goals (51) and caps (161). nytimes.com/athletic/7504742…
👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
17-12-2 in 31 matches, 0-2-0 record against Mexico, no trophies, 3-2-0 in the 2026 World Cup expanded tournament, and the worst defeat in modern World Cup history while hosting the tournament.
JT Batson gets his guy. #USMNT
This is literally like giving Bob Bradley, Klinnsman, or Berhalter all an extension. They all accomplished the exact same thing as this guy... They just didn't cost $6M, lol.
I wouldn't leave the job either. There's zero ambition by the Federation. Poch isn't trying to recruit dual nats. It's cake. Just biding his time, cashing a check, until the right job opens up where he'll, again, fail at.
Committed to our future. ✔️
Mauricio Pochettino and @ussoccer have agreed on a new contract to continue as the #USMNT head coach through 2030! 🇺🇸
📝: ussoc.cr/MP2030
Sitting this first round of games out. Wanna get eyes on Liga MX sides. But, I'll happily tail Proph here.
BoL 🍀
1) I can't believe they were able to unload him. That's incredible in what is surely one of the biggest busts in MLS history, and when factoring in the fee, probably the single biggest bust.
2) Lukaku rumors heating up...
🇨🇮 BREAKING: Union Berlin has signed forward Emmanuel Latte Lath on a one-year loan from Atlanta United, per sources.
Deal opens a DP spot for Atlanta as club chase big targets.
Latte Lath, 27, gets fresh start in Germany. 11 goals in 48 apps for Atlanta after joining in $22m deal, which was a league record at the time
