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LNG/gas analyst

London, England
Joined July 2009
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A market failure is the inefficient allocation of resources in a free market. It is not high/low/volatile prices. Given that the #EU's #gas market has filled storages, curbed demand and pulled in loads of #LNG, it's hard to see how it could have been any more of success.
Replying to @ntsafos
The starting point for the intervention is a diagnosis of market failure in European gas: ✅ Prices untethered from fundamentals ✅ Manipulation by a dominant player ✅ Sharp drops in liquidity ✅ Extreme volatility In this context, the question is *how* to intervene, not if.
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27.6 BILLION new solar panels? 4.5 billion tonnes of copper? The mining required for a global #energytransition to wind + solar energy is simply earth-popping. Look out @COP27P #COP27 Research by @SimonMichaux. youtu.be/19-gqgugKOc
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Glencore will supply coal to a Japanese customer at one of the highest prices ever paid by the nation 🇯🇵💰 💵 Nippon Steel inked an annual deal for thermal coal through March at $375/ton 🪨 Coal prices are surging as buyers shun Russia and gas is scarce bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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An energy-use public awareness campaign for anyone on the European continent. #OurKillerWattsOurMegaWatts Please RT
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Thermal coal is $120 a ton more expensive than coking coal despite being ‘inferior’ in quality. Some market commentators have suggested this presents an arbitrage opportunity, and soon the pricing gap will close. Here is why substitution is not that simple. Let’s dig in🧵:
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Jake Horslen retweeted
From S&P Global Commodity Insights: LNG would offer only limited, temporary relief in the event of Russian gas supply disruption this summer platform.platts.spglobal.com… Continue reading the content by subscribing to S&P Global Platts Dimensions Pro. Email [email protected].
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Wow! Germany quick out of the starting blocks - the govt has given cash to gas hub operator THE to start buying LNG to help refill depleted German storage sites. A reported Eur1.5 billion. Might not get them much at current prices, mind. #ONGT
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Some #gas storage context: this chart expresses aggregate De,Nl,Be,Fr stocks in terms of the avg temp deviation needed to cut levels to 10% by end-March. Normally stocks can withstand Bal-Win temps at least 15% colder than normal (typically a lot lower), but... 1/2
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…right now the region can only cope with temperatures 1-2% warmer than average in Feb-March, or else we will finish the winter at a new record low. Luckily the outlook for the first half of February is currently quite mild... 2/2
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Jake Horslen retweeted
The true costs of Net Zero - a must-read from @Dieter_Helm dieterhelm.co.uk/energy/ener…
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"Why is electricity so much more expensive than the cheapest and cleanest ways of producing it?" Answer: bc the cheap/clean gen isn't enough to meet demand. For production to = demand we need to pay anyone who can supply the extra. Gas&coal gen can do this, if prices cover costs
With debate still raging about energy prices – glad to get the following letter into the Times yesterday. thetimes.co.uk/article/times…
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🔥 Uncertainty looms over Russian #gas supply to Europe in December | #ONGT | spglobal.com/platts/en/marke…
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#Russian Gas transit via #Ukraine and #Belarus S&P Global #OOTT #ONGT
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From @FT Read it carefully, as @FT doesn’t write this every day 1•Too much decentralized markets cannot guarantee both decarbonization & security of supply 2•More coordination & planning are required. Don’t do it like UK government which did not care. on.ft.com/3BjmR06
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Jake Horslen retweeted
European natural gas benchmark prices climb more than 20% now to fresh record high (both UK NBP and Dutch TTF). A complete train wreck. #EuropeanEnergyCrunch
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Jake Horslen retweeted
🇯🇵 News story - Japanese #powergeneration from fossil fuels recorded its steepest annual decline since Jul 2019 in Aug and probably fell again in Sep, on weak overall power demand and stronger output from #nuclear and #hydropower sources: okt.to/2px0F6 | #ArgusCoal
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Jake Horslen retweeted
🌐 News story: Global Aug #thermalcoal exports rose on the year for a 5th consecutive month, but seaborne supply remains down on pre-Covid levels as only one major exporting nation, Russia, has consistently raised shipments above the 2019 mark okt.to/cFsy4h | #ArgusCoal
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