jj (@Jamal___James) profile picture

jj

@Jamal___James

https://teapawt.net/t.co/8YVbX0M5hQ on bluesky

 Tempe, AZ
Joined November 2017
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Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)Photo by jj (@Jamal___James)
Turnout percent in Maricopa County was down in 2026 compared to the last two midterms.
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Which AI is running the @azcentral social media accounts?
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For @raghuAZPoliMaps . That drop of 7682 ballots leaves a max of 6,529 ballots left to count, but probably about 6k.
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Let me help you out with a chart assuming 38/33/29 R/D/I split and a 15% R crossover and 5% D crossover.
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Senator Mark Finchem (@RealMarkFinchem) profile pictureSenator Mark Finchem
@RealMarkFinchemNov 5
Something smells off, the results of this election show major interference. In Maricopa 85 to 90 percent of independents had to have voted for Democrats for the results we got. Not probable. @Bannons_WarRoom
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I just noticed this. The LD 17 specifically created by the redistricting commission to "ensure that right-of-center communities in the broader Tucson area are able to elect a leader to represent them in the Tucson area."
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In AZ LD14, Walsh (D) leads Biggs (R) by 2,544 votes, with an estimated 14,000 ballots remaining. My precinct-level projection, assuming remaining ballots follow each precinct's existing voting percentages, suggests Walsh's margin would grow by several hundred votes.
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In CD1 there are about 27k ballots outstanding and the vote gap is 22,494. Why the heck hasn't the AP, NYT, etc called this for Shah already?
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I know very closely the uncounted number of ballots in each precinct. Fixing the current D and R percentages in CD-1. Based on this Shah increases his vote percentage slightly.
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Using the same method of fixing percentages for each precinct in AZ CD 8.
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I can only project CD-5 for Maricopa County, which is about 80% of the district. No idea how many votes in Pinal. Lamb is ahead and the Maricopa portion is not projected to change much.
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This map looks like it is essentially all of the outstanding ballots.
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jj (@Jamal___James) profile picturejj@Jamal___JamesNov 4
A map of uncounted ballots dropped off on election day in Maricopa County
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The noon drop of MariCo ballots "in hand" added only another 13,278. That brings the uncounted ballots dropped on election day to 206,618. The small number of newly scanned ballots leads me to think this is nearly all late earlies.
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these 13k late earlies by CD
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LD
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A map of uncounted ballots dropped off on election day in Maricopa County
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Maricopa is reporting 193,340 more early ballots "In Hand" than they had before election day dropoffs. Here's a breakdown of where those uncounted ballots came from.
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CD's
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Supes
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There are approximately 193,340 early ballots in Maricopa County to be counted based on the difference between Returns In Hand yesterday and now.
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Working on a map of outstanding votes. Could give LD,CD, info if there's interest.
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