Overconfidence is the killer.
Radical optionality over truth.
Your only edge is the speed at which you can change your mind.
My latest scenario: we are entering a period of permanent (decades) ultra-high uncertainty, in AI and all around. kevinkelly.substack.com/p/ou…
The Bitcoin Braaibroodjie Index
2018: 1 BTC = 11,500 Braaibroodjies
2020: 1 BTC = 15,200 Braaibroodjies
2022: 1 BTC = 24,100 Braaibroodjies
2024: 1 BTC = 54,000 Braaibroodjies
2026: 1 BTC = 48,830 Braaibroodjies
2030: 1 BTC = 10 ... show more
@JohannBiermann1
Recent South African Election Poll*:
Rassie will get 4.9 million votes
Siya will get 6.2 million votes
If we do a Rassie-Siya Kolisi and throw in Jesse Kriel as Minister of Defense we have enough votes to change the constitution.
*ChatGPT estimate
Let's do a thought experiment
Without this one skill, Buffett wouldn’t be worth $151B. He’d be worth $14B. Still rich, but no legend.
What set him apart was not only knowing how to invest...
Buffett engineered his ownership to make compounding sacred.
His wealth did not grow in a vacuum.
It grew on tax-aware engineering.
He did not just compound returns.
He compounded the compounding process.



