Director of Research, Do No Harm. Senior Fellow, Defense of Freedom Institute. All opinions are my own.
Joined October 2010
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Jay P. Greene retweeted
This has gone very badly for JD Vance. This video explains just how badly. It’s insane: Despite his position and patronage opportunities, he seems to have no friends who matter; i.e., he is cooked.
After he posted this risible screed—not a “Mea Culpa” but an “Israel Culpa”—distorting Trump’s words from the day before and stabbing his boss in the front while echoing, just in more civilised language, the core arguments of his close friend Tucker Carlson, not one of the many hundreds of elected national Republicans came to his aid with a repost or a supportive comment.
They hate him. He has no base beyond the small clique of publicly unknown postliberal think tankers. The Vanceguard is just smoke and mirrors.
Of the 30,000 regular reposts, the most senior Republicans of any kind to support his post appear to be Vickie Paladino, a city councillor in Queens, and Walter Hudson, a Minnesota state representative.
His unprecedented attack by a VP on a sitting president might lead to historical events, so it’s important to preserve this kind of ephemera.
Why did he do this? Most likely Vance understood that he was about to get thrown under the bus and decided he had nothing to lose. It always seemed likely Vance and his allies would get scapegoated by Trump for a defeat, and that became much more likely when the scale of the collapse became clear, and as it was also clear that Vance’s allies had betrayed Trump in ultra-damaging ways, most of all his mentor, Tucker, with his 100-million-view nuke post.
So here, for posterity, is the full list of the accounts with over 10,000 followers who RTed his attack on his boss and his own administration.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
Most studies find that union membership has null or modest health benefits. Undeterred, these “researchers” decide that unions remain crucial for health justice.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
2026 Midterms Election Live Stream teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/2MEmjemkj…
Jay P. Greene retweeted
The former president of the leading professional psychology association in the United States, the American Psychological Association, reacted to Hamas's Oct. 7, 2023, terror attack on Israel by likening Gazans to George Floyd and Jews to racist police officers, internal emails obtained by the House Committee on Education and Workforce show.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
The NYT hyping the endorsement of Jack Mehoff, beloved Michigan Jewish leader, is the perfect capstone to this election.
Yesterday the NYT published a list of what was alleged to be over 500 Michigan “Jewish leaders” supporting El-Sayed. The point of doing so was to paint a narrative that he has strong Jewish support in MI.
But did the NYT do any vetting to the list?
A quick skim and you notice it includes names like “Jack Mehoff”. I happen to know that one of the names is someone deceased. A majority of the signatories don’t even use their full names, just a last initial, so it’s impossible to confirm these are even real people or Jewish.
Why would they publish a story about a completely unreliable list with random names on a google sheet? Because the point was the narrative.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
The New York Times will openly and without shame publish a list of “Jews for Abdul” which includes the name “Jack Mehoff” and then completely ignore that this fatally compromises the whole story and just power through it
Don’t even see a correction anywhere to this piece — incredible
Jay P. Greene retweeted
When they say “AIPAC,” they don’t mean Israel, they mean Jews.
Do you think Bibi Netanyahu or anyone in Israel’s govt has spent even a minute thinking about Chicago public schools in the past 50 years?
The left has imported Third World conspiracism that blames the Jews for all social ills—including failing public schools in Chicago that the left has controlled for decades.
It’s just like the corrupt Arab govts that say “don’t blame us for all your misery, it’s the Jews’ fault!”
It’s a psy-op for those in power to escape accountability. America has been practically immune to this illness for 250 years, which is why America has thrived. Succumb to it, and we’ll end up like the Third World—as Europe is discovering.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
El Sayed campaign staffer indicted for antisemitic violent hate crimes.
Anything genuinely thinking of voting for this guy is insane. This is so far beyond partisan politics.
12 indicted in Michigan for a campaign of terror against Jews. Jars of chemicals thrown into family homes. Houses marked with the red triangles Hamas uses to mark targets for death. One defendant, Mariam Odeh, worked for @AbdulElSayed 's Senate campaign.
Surprised? Don't be.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
DFI celebrates five years of major victories fighting for civil rights in schools, advancing education freedom and parental rights, and taking back higher education from the left. We’re just getting started!
Jay P. Greene retweeted
Senior officials with the American Psychological Association repeatedly dismissed concerns from Jewish psychologists about the organization’s handling of antisemitism-related complaints following Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attacks on Israel, a new House report found.
[…]
The report states that [then–senior director of strategic communications and public affairs Kim] Mills responded to criticisms from the medical advocacy group Do No Harm last spring about antisemitism at the APA by writing in an internal message that, “I wonder if the Jews who are so angry at us know they are now feeding hatred from this horrible group.’”
Read more: jewishinsider.com/2026/10/ho…
Jay P. Greene retweeted
DFI Senior Fellow @jaypgreene celebrates @usedgov's new accreditation rule in Politico.
Jay P. Greene retweeted
🚨 THE APA’S OWN WORDS EXPOSE EVERYTHING.
Antisemitism. Political activism. Compromised professional standards.
Committee Republicans are exposing what’s happening inside the organization that helps shape the future of psychology in America.
See the evidence for yourself. ⬇️
edworkforce.house.gov/news/d…
Jay P. Greene retweeted
States should provide families access to robust school-choice options while protecting religious liberty. State officials should also take their duty seriously to avoid funding schools with genuine ties to terrorism.
Those goals are not mutually exclusive. They require only that officials be precise, consistent, and willing to do their homework.
civitasoutlook.com/research/…
Jay P. Greene retweeted
Dr. Jessica Freedman, former admissions committee member and Associate Residency Director at Mount Sinai, says the @donoharm Medical School Excellence Index “forces a conversation about what we mean by excellence in medicine.”
That’s exactly the conversation we hoped to start!
The Great Education Riots of 2026 teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1nxeLMAZv…
Jay P. Greene retweeted
We cannot rely on foreign-trained doctors to fix the doctor shortage, DFI Senior Fellow @JayPGreene writes for @AcademicRenewal. American medical schools turn down thousands of qualified applicants each year, forcing hospitals to rely on doctors trained abroad.
