Or was it?
Both the @NextGenStats model and ESPN Analytics model strongly recommended that Detroit GO on 4th and 1 from their own 24.
The key here is the time on the clock. Lions are extremely likely to get another possession with over 4 minutes left on the clock.
Fair price on this one using @PredictQmkt and boosts, though Underdog should calc the bonus at half what they do. Kalshi, Poly, and NoVig almost always beat Underdog, DK, FD if you don’t use their boosts.
Used this tool to get a small 4th quarter sweat tonight. Didn’t do a deep dive into the game, just had a basic idea of Bears leading/Pats trailing and wanted to see what the fair price should be. DK Predicts had the best value with the boost.
I’ve mostly been on the maker side in prediction markets and often have no idea what I’ll be on until the games lock, so parlay/combo boosts have been my way to create a small rooting interest in games. Tools like this make it easy.
Free tool to check your parlay/combo EV for tonight’s game:
















