Research in Spatial Economics and Networks. Assistant Professor @NYUAbuDhabi. PhD @NorthwesternU. MSci (Physics) @Cambridge_Uni.
Abu Dhabi
Joined July 2017
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How do we predict the future?
In our new work (R&R at JPE), we provide an answer: we use each other.
We show this experimentally: we give a firm information about the economy, and its suppliers change their expectations too—and act on them.
Why does this matter?
Our beliefs shape much of our decision-making. How we form these beliefs remains a hugely important question.
Supply chains move more than goods. We show that they also move our beliefs about the future.
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Joint work with @InaHajdini, Saten Kumar, Samreen Malik, and @mathpedemonte. The paper: dropbox.com/scl/fi/8ttncp8h5….
Some figures preview analysis for the revision. Thoughts welcome!
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I listened to this hoping to be reassured by the side saying AI extinction risk is low. None of their points even slightly convinced me.
@So8res is exceptional here r.e. the AI safety case. More power to him.
youtu.be/OhOmLqR5nN4?si=w3Ue…
Anyone else feel this: the more research (esp theory) I outsource to AI, the more mentally exhausted I get.
At first, seems paradoxical. It’s doing more of the hard thinking for you, yet somehow you’re more drained than when you did it all yourself.
But I think it makes sense ↓
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AI gives you answers faster than you can understand, & each opens up several more answers to understand.
Pre-AI, we’d spend hours arriving at one answer. Those hours also built understanding. Now we try to build this understanding in minutes, for many answers at once.
It’s a lot
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UK politics at its best: Nigel Farage (Brexit figurehead) could face Count Binface as his sole opponent in a by-election.
edition.cnn.com/2026/07/09/u…
Happy to see my paper with Lucas Corrêa-Dias and @HPellegrina in @EJ_RES.
A short 🧵 1/10
This is my first baby as a Special Issue Editor at the Economic Journal @EJ_RES. Honestly, I am proud of this. Please check it out.
My very brief Intro and - most importantly - the leading paper by @brunoconteleite, @klausvanieper , @HansbergRossi are free to see.
What does this all mean for policy?
We use the social cost of carbon to compare policies. We find:
Diet policies, e.g. meat tax, can increase welfare.
Eat local policies however backfire. Transportation emissions are small while foreign producers can have higher yields ⇒ GHG ↓
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