Historical elliptic-curve cryptography and formal mathematics research.
Berkeley, CA
Joined November 2024
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Why the US Has Low Fertility Rates (TFR ~1.6): Causes and Barriers
1. Economic Unviability of Parenthood
- Children do not generate income for parents, unlike in agricultural societies (where children help with household work and contribute labor from an early age).
- On the contrary, in urban society children represent high costs (daycare, school, university, healthcare, housing).
- They are perceived as a burden for decades ahead—especially with an unstable economy.
2. Prolonged and Inefficient Education Path
- In the US (and other developed countries), a child only becomes economically active by age 22–25.
- School + university = 16–18 years before entering the workforce. This is too long.
- Educational system restructuring is needed: focus on practical skills, accelerated learning, early entry into the economy.
- 10 years of general education leading to a bachelor's degree is more than sufficient in the modern world.
3. Delayed Parenthood
- Often only 1 child at age 35–40.
- Reason—waiting for "ideal conditions": stability, housing, career, partner.
- Result—late fertility, high risk of complications, inability to have a second child.
4. Lack of Strong Government Support
- Almost no direct payments for having children.
- Proposal:
- 1st child — $10,000
- 2nd child — $50,000
- 3rd child — $150,000
- Plus: housing subsidies and children's transportation.
- Support for large families is key to demographic sustainability.
5. Cultural and Value-Based Attitudes
- In industrial societies, the value of family has been devalued.
- No pressure from parents, no cultivation of the idea about the importance of continuing the family line.
- Need to restore understanding that:
- "Nothing is more valuable than bringing new life into this world."
- Grandchildren and great-grandchildren are sources of profound happiness.
- Family is not only personal, but also a state and cultural matter.
6. Inaccessibility of Childcare Institutions
- In the US, daycare and nurseries cost from $800 to $2,500 per month.
- This makes parenthood impossible for the middle class.
- Government-funded or subsidized daycare and nurseries are necessary measures.
7. Loss of Income and Career Risks for Women
- Motherhood = financial decline, job loss, career stagnation.
- No paid maternity leave (unlike Europe).
- Solutions:
- Introduce paid leave (12–18 months).
- Allow flexible and remote work schedules.
- Protection from dismissal due to parenthood.
8. Emotional Climate and Fear of the Future
- Young couples fear: inflation, climate disasters, political crisis.
- Children are perceived as additional vulnerability.
- Need to foster a culture of confidence in tomorrow, starting with affordable housing, healthcare, and protection of parents' rights.
Conclusion:
To increase fertility rates in the US, systematic change of the entire social and economic policy is needed: from educational reform to fundamental support for parents.
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