Crypto Markets Through a Smart Money Lens Intraday Setups Macro Analysis Market Structure BTC | ETH & Altcoin Analysis
Joined July 2026
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$PEPE - It continues to look strong!
I update this position almost every week as I continue to expect a +390% move to the upside.
So far, we are only up +50% since the first post. We need time⏳
As for the chart, you can see that after breaking the downtrend structure, we entered an uptrend phase, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows!
The Fed kept rates unchanged, but the market had already priced this in. This is also a positive scenario for crypto.
We’re looking for a move higher on Thursday and Friday, potentially starting today!
Now, all eyes on Warsh’s rhetoric. His comments will be key👀
$BTC - Today after the FOMC meeting! 🚀
Last time, this played out perfectly. Let’s see what happens today.
Everyone ready? 30 minutes until the rate decision!
We’re expecting some serious volatility very soon. What are your expectations?
You already know my plan for $BTC so all that’s left is to wait and see how it plays out🤝
$BTC - Today after the FOMC meeting! 🚀
Last time, this played out perfectly. Let’s see what happens today.
$LDO - Looks great!
I’m waiting for a QM retest at 0.3525$ followed by a 45% move to the upside toward 0.5073$
$LDO is preparing for a +45% move!
Most traders will notice it only after the breakout.
I’m watching the $0.3525 zone for a potential liquidity sweep before the next expansion toward $0.5073
The setup is on the chart!
Part 2
In different communities, chats, and trading groups, I see people wanting to make money quickly and easily. But they don’t understand the consequences of chasing fast money or why it’s such a bad approach.
Real strength and serious money come with consistency over time.
In most cases, trying to make money quickly and easily ends with a blown account. Greed makes people lose money. Your main priority should be risk management, regardless of your account size, even if you’re trading with just $10
I also notice a very distorted mindset across social media and trading communities.
“How am I supposed to manage risk with just $10?”
“I need to turn $10 into $1000 first, and then I’ll start managing risk.”
But that’s not how it works.
You need to develop simple, yet psychologically challenging habits from day one.
If you genuinely want to make money in the market, you need to master 4 fundamentals:
Risk management
Patience
Strategy
Discipline
If you can master yourself and your emotions, you have a chance of becoming one of the 1–5% who succeed over the long term.
If you can’t, trading may not be the right profession for you.
But here’s the most interesting part: these 4 habits begin to develop from birth and throughout childhood. Put simply, if you experienced childhood issues related to psychology, patience, discipline, and so on, you may find it significantly harder to navigate the markets.
The market reflects who you are!
How to make money in the crypto market?
Statistically, only 1–5% of traders make money, while the other 95% simply become liquidity and lose money over time.
I’ll try to explain in detail what’s really going on, so pay attention. Maybe this will help you in the future.
Let’s start with the basics. Most people think the secret lies in strategy and understanding charts. They believe that if you know where the price is going, you’ll make money regardless. But that’s not how it works.
There are countless trading systems, and I know them all: ICT, MSNR, SMC, OF, Price Action, and so on. After 5 years of trading, I’ve had to learn absolutely everything related to candlesticks.
But knowing these concepts isn’t enough. I spent several months learning my first concept. The second and third took less time because my understanding kept growing with each one. Yet this still didn’t help me increase my income. That’s when my approach started to change.
If I know all these concepts at a professional level, why isn’t that helping me increase my income?
This is where risk management comes into play. It plays one of the most important roles in trading.
Let me give you a simple example of how to turn $100 into $1M
With a $100 balance, you would need to open 100 positions using 50x leverage, targeting a 0.3% move up or down. By the 100th trade, you could theoretically turn that into around $1.3M through compounding.
But most people won’t be able to replicate this because most traders lack emotional stability. The market controls them instead of them controlling their own decisions. Only 1–5% of traders can maintain that level of control over time and potentially replicate such a result.
Next comes the psychology of losses. After a series of stop-losses, traders often lose control of their risk management and become driven by greed and the urge to win back what they’ve lost. This is where the biggest mistake happens: continuing to trade under the influence of those emotions.
All you need to do is control your emotions. You must be as cold as an iceberg. Manage your risk and have a clear plan built at least one year ahead that you follow consistently.
Discipline
Emotional control
Risk management
Strategy
Patience
If you violate even one of these principles, you’ll never be consistently profitable over the long term. Each factor supports the others, and when one breaks down, the entire system falls apart.
In Part 2, I’ll explain the psychology of trading with small capital and why even a $10 account reflects your character in the market🤝
How to make money in the crypto market?
Statistically, only 1–5% of traders make money, while the other 95% simply become liquidity and lose money over time.
I’ll try to explain in detail what’s really going on, so pay attention. Maybe this will help you in the future.
Let’s start with the basics. Most people think the secret lies in strategy and understanding charts. They believe that if you know where the price is going, you’ll make money regardless. But that’s not how it works.
There are countless trading systems, and I know them all: ICT, MSNR, SMC, OF, Price Action, and so on. After 5 years of trading, I’ve had to learn absolutely everything related to candlesticks.
But knowing these concepts isn’t enough. I spent several months learning my first concept. The second and third took less time because my understanding kept growing with each one. Yet this still didn’t help me increase my income. That’s when my approach started to change.
If I know all these concepts at a professional level, why isn’t that helping me increase my income?
This is where risk management comes into play. It plays one of the most important roles in trading.
Let me give you a simple example of how to turn $100 into $1M
With a $100 balance, you would need to open 100 positions using 50x leverage, targeting a 0.3% move up or down. By the 100th trade, you could theoretically turn that into around $1.3M through compounding.
But most people won’t be able to replicate this because most traders lack emotional stability. The market controls them instead of them controlling their own decisions. Only 1–5% of traders can maintain that level of control over time and potentially replicate such a result.
Next comes the psychology of losses. After a series of stop-losses, traders often lose control of their risk management and become driven by greed and the urge to win back what they’ve lost. This is where the biggest mistake happens: continuing to trade under the influence of those emotions.
All you need to do is control your emotions. You must be as cold as an iceberg. Manage your risk and have a clear plan built at least one year ahead that you follow consistently.
Discipline
Emotional control
Risk management
Strategy
Patience
If you violate even one of these principles, you’ll never be consistently profitable over the long term. Each factor supports the others, and when one breaks down, the entire system falls apart.
In Part 2, I’ll explain the psychology of trading with small capital and why even a $10 account reflects your character in the market🤝
$ONDO - Getting ready for a monthly launch🚀
Guys, I’m continuing to accumulate this position at these levels. You know my target: 1.170$
Also, remember the limit order at 0.3781$ This could be the last opportunity!
220% upside potential!
$ONDO - What’s Next⁉️
Step-by-step guide:
So, since the moment I published my analysis, we’ve already moved +60% to the upside and broken through this long-awaited triangle. Here’s what you need to do next:
If your entry is below 0.3510$ you can confidently take 25% of your position off the table. Move your stop-loss to breakeven and leave the rest of the position open until the final take-profit at 1.17$
If your average entry is between 0.3510$ and 0.4020$ you can take only 10–15% of your position off the table and move your stop-loss behind the order block at 0.3300$
Also, if you’re planning to add to your position, you can place buy orders at 0.4350$ and 0.3870$ I’m not 100% sure the price will drop to these levels, but these limit orders won’t hurt!
That’s all from me for now. If you found this useful and interesting, I’d appreciate your support❤️
$ENA - Important!
You all know that for the past few weeks, I’ve been expecting the price to reach 0.1700$, but it keeps bouncing and moving higher without reaching this target.
For now, my plan remains unchanged. If we get a manipulation around the FOMC meeting, there is a chance we could reach this zone.
After that, it’s very simple. Buy at 0.1700$ and sell at 0.3028$. I think this move will happen quite quickly.
What’s your plan for ENA?
$ENA
Price broke the structure but failed to reach the 0.1700$ level by just 0.44 cents.
I think we’re heading up from current levels.
Targets remain valid🚀
Today is the FOMC meeting, and the market has already priced in the move. But where will the price go next?
If you look at history, you’ll understand a simple pattern. Last time, everyone expected a rate hike, and because the market was already pricing it in, $BTC rallied from 76k$ to 88.300$
I actually talked about this before the FOMC meeting.
Right now, I’m expecting more or less the same scenario. As the data and Fed rhetoric come out, I expect to see a manipulation move and a fake move to the downside, followed by a crypto market rally on Thursday and Friday.
$NEAR - Important!
4 days until the new monthly candle opens. This is exactly where I’ll be watching for a manipulation.
Price has already partially tested the upper boundary of the I-FVG and reacted locally, but the 4.00$ zone remains valid for adding to a position if you missed the entry at 1.50$
Targets remain unchanged: 7$ and 9$ mid-term, with a new ATH at 20$ in the long term.
Ohh, winter 2026/27 is going to be very interesting. Get ready!😁
$NEAR - SPOT🚨
Didn’t buy $NEAR at 1.5$ in August?
No worries, you’ll still have an interesting opportunity to accumulate a position in the 4.00$ - 3.600$ zone. This is a strong psychological zone for $NEAR
The 7$ and 9$ targets look very good in the medium term, while on a larger scale, I expect to see 20.597$ within the next 8–12 months!
GM Fam ☕️
Today is a key day for the entire financial market!
The Fed rate decision is coming, and the charts are waiting for the next catalyst.
My plan remains bullish. I believe much of the uncertainty is already reflected in price, and now we wait for the news to trigger the next move.
Stay focused. Don’t let volatility shake you out of your plan🚀
Tomorrow is a big day for crypto and the financial markets as a whole!
You know my plan. Tomorrow could be decisive. Be ready🚀
Have a great evening, everyone🫂
Guys, take a close look at these charts and tell me what you see!
$ENA $ONDO $ZEN $FET - Absolutely identical structures with massive liquidity building above and an average upside potential of 40–60% just to reach their previous highs.
I could attach a few more charts like these, but X only allows 4 screenshots, so let me explain what I’m trying to get across.
The US midterm elections are taking place in November. Charts never lie, and they are already pricing in this news. That’s why we’re seeing such massive liquidity build-ups. Most likely, DJ Trump already has solutions to all the ongoing crises on his desk and will announce them at the right moment, triggering the appropriate market reaction.
Falling oil prices $OIL a stronger dollar, and rising high-risk assets like $Altcoins Don’t let yourself be fooled. He’s manipulating the market very cleverly, but the charts show the move well before the news hits.
Just keep accumulating positions while you still have the opportunity, so you don’t end up buying the highs later and sitting through a -30% correction, as usually happens.
$ARB - Update!
Since the last analysis, price has moved lower and swept half of the liquidity, but the 0.1965$ zone continues to attract price and prevent it from moving lower.
As for position accumulation, this can be done across the entire range down to 0.1452$ in case of a manipulative move followed by a quick recovery.
The local high remains an interesting target at 0.2556$ which would provide a 75% upside move.
Mid-term, the target is the upper boundary of the range at 0.6247$ where I will take profits on the majority of the position.
From a global perspective, 1.2953$ looks like a logical target based on price rebalancing, so I’ll leave a small portion of the position for that zone.
$ARB
I think it will surprise many people very soon, as the price has formed liquidity both below and above.
When we move to sweep the liquidity below, everyone will start thinking that a crash has begun, and this is where things will get really interesting!
Inexperienced traders and beginners will start opening short positions, thinking the cycle is over and we’re heading lower, and the market will prepare a new high as a gift🚀
$SUI
Well guys, a reversal is getting closer!
Price has now reached our zone of interest, making this an interesting area to accumulate a position for the next move up.
The mid-term target remains at 2.024$ while the long-term target stays at 5.5$ No changes.
$SUI - Very strong chart, so you should not overlook it🚨
The zone of interest is located at 1.060$ - 0.9815$ From here, I expect a reaction and continuation of the uptrend!
Main target: 2.025$ and once we break and hold above it, we will open the way towards 5.30$ from a more global perspective!
$EVAA - Woow, did it finally wake up?
+113% in just minutes🚀
$EVAA - THE NEW $AKE ⁉️
After looking at the monthly chart, I noticed almost identical patterns between these two charts, and EVAA is significantly lagging behind AKE.
If EVAA follows the same scenario, the upside could be insane - at least +3360% (33x) which could turn this token into the next hype.
I believe this scenario has a real chance of playing out, and we could soon see another rocket!
OIL - What comes next?
Let’s look at the facts.
EIA expects Brent crude to average 87$ in Q2 2027 and 74$ in Q4 2027 as supply gradually recovers and global inventories begin to rebuild.
At the same time, IEA forecasts global oil demand to fall by 2.6M barrels per day in 2026, with a partial recovery expected in 2027
Current oil prices are being supported by supply disruptions and geopolitical risk. But as production recovers, shipping routes normalize and inventories start building again, the pressure on prices could shift to the downside.
EIA forecasts global inventories to build significantly throughout 2027 This is one of the key factors behind its bearish outlook for oil.
The main risk to this scenario remains the conflict in the Middle East. Any further escalation could delay the recovery in supply and keep prices elevated for longer.
If the bearish scenario plays out, easing energy-driven inflation could support a more favorable environment for risk assets, including $BTC and $Altcoins
I’m currently holding an open short position on $OIL targeting a move down to 65.335$ per barrel, which would represent a potential downside of around 35%
