$BTC | One minute of silence for the bears, including myself 😂 I expected a different move here, not gonna lie. But there's no point fighting the chart just because you had a different thesis. 82-83K has been my key level for a while and if BTC closes above it and holds, my 50-70K base case is no longer the base case. That also means my strategy changes. On confirmation above 82-83K, I'll start stacking €35/week again. If we eventually get a deeper correction, I'll simply increase the pace. I'm still not convinced the bull market is fully back, but BTC has shown enough strength that sitting on the sidelines waiting for sub 70K would no longer make sense if this breakout holds. New information, means new thesis. There's no point being married to a chart. 🤝🏼

bitcoin:native | One last stacking opportunity? We lost the trend and BTC is now trading around 76K after failing to break the major 82-83K resistance. I think we're getting closer to entering my sub 70K stacking range for what could be the last time this bear market. Based on the strength BTC has shown throughout this bear market, I currently see 60-70K as the most likely cycle bottom territory. Of course, an unexpected black swan can always change that and take us lower. I wouldn't complain about the stacking opportunity, but based on the information we have today, I don't think that's the most probable scenario. I don't think the bull market is here yet, but at the same time I think the worst part of this bear market is probably already behind us. Let's see if the market gives us one last proper opportunity below 70K. That's where my DCA starts again and once we enter below 70k i'll likely enter with everything i have left to stack!

$BTC | Decision time? We're sitting right on the trendline around 77K after getting rejected again from the major 82-83K resistance. Lose this structure and I think we move through 75-76K pretty quickly. Below that, 72K is the next area I'm watching and then we're getting very close to that sub 70K demand zone I've been waiting for. Macro is worth watching here too. ECB raised rates by 25bps today and the European yields pushed higher while US inflation data is keeping pressure on the Fed ahead of next week's meeting. Not exactly the best environment for risk assets if financial conditions keep tightening like that. 👀 That said, 77K hasn't broken yet. If BTC holds here and eventually closes above 82-83K, I'll have to reassess my bearish view. For now I'm sticking to the plan. Still not stacking above 70K. Let's see what the market gives us, but for now I believe the odds are still in our favor. 🤝🏼

bitcoin:native | Decision time 👀 Are we going to enter the 50-70k accumulation zone for once more during this bear market or not? We are about to find out soon, tick tock. My 2 cents are ready to scoop the golden zone for one last time during this bear market.

$BTC | Thesis update 82-83K is proving to be a major resistance area, which was expected. A daily close and acceptance above this level would make the current structure significantly more bullish. Until then, I still think there's a higher probability that BTC revisits the 50-70K range before the next real bull market begins. Part of that might be wishful thinking, but considering the broader structure and where we are in the cycle, that's still my base case for now. Nothing is certain here, so I'm simply watching the structure and adjusting if needed. My strategy remains unchanged. I'm not stacking BTC above 70K. If we get back below that level, my weekly DCA continues. 🤝🏼

🚨 LATEST: $BTC is back above $80K and Michael Saylor is now sitting on $4B+ in unrealized gains. That's why DCA matters. You don't need to catch the exact bottom, you just need to keep stacking when the opportunity is there, and below 70k it was there plenty! 🤝🏼

$BTC | Thesis update That last move changed the structure quite a bit. BTC broke out of the latest bear flag and printed a +22.7% weekly candle, the best week since 2019 while ETF inflows returned and a massive short squeeze added fuel to the move. Because of that, I have to adjust my expectations. The probability of my 30–50k bear market bottom range has decreased significantly. I'm not removing it completely, but based on the current structure it's no longer my base case. I still expect BTC to revisit the 50–70k range this year. The current move hasn't confirmed a new bull market yet and we're now consolidating around 77k after the initial impulse. 82–83k remains the key level. A proper reclaim and hold above that area would invalidate a big part of my remaining bearish thesis. Until then, I'm not rushing into conclusions. This also shows exactly why DCA matters, the best long term proven strategy. Below 70k = €35 BTC every week. Above 70k = I wait. We spent plenty of time below 70k, so the position kept growing without having to guess the exact bottom. For now: 50–70k revisit = still my base case. 30–50k = significantly less likely. 82–83k reclaim + hold = time to reassess the bear thesis. Simple, I follow the chart and adjust accordingly. 🤝🏼

$BTC | Breaking out from the bear flag 👀 Things can move extremely fast in crypto and sometimes all it takes is one piece of positive news to completely change the picture within a few days. After weeks of absolutely boring price action, BTC suddenly pushed back above 75k and right now we're on the edge of breaking out from the bear flag I've been watching for the past few months. If we close the daily above this zone and manage to hold it, I think that's a very positive signal for the coming weeks and it definitely makes reaching my originally expected 30-50k range a lot more difficult. The main catalyst behind this move was the US Treasury expanding its buyback program for longer-term government debt, which the market immediately took as a positive liquidity signal. Add the renewed push around the CLARITY Act and a bunch of shorts getting caught on the wrong side of the move and suddenly BTC is trading 10k higher. That's crypto for you. 😂 Still, I'm not ready to call the bear market over just yet. The main level I'm watching now is 82k. If BTC manages to push through that level and hold above it, I'll be much more comfortable saying that we've probably made it through the worst of this bear market and the outlook from there starts looking significantly more positive. Until that happens, nothing is certain. We just saw how quickly one positive development can move BTC higher and something negative can do exactly the same thing in the opposite direction and put us back into the 50-60k range before people even realize what happened. As for my personal strategy, nothing changes. Throughout this entire bear market my rule has been simple: I don't buy BTC above 70k. We crossed that level again, so my weekly buys are paused and I'm watching from the sidelines for now. Looking at the bigger timeframe, there's still plenty of time left for BTC to remain in a bear market and who says this one couldn't last a little longer than people expect and finally end somewhere around Q1 2027? Until we properly break through 82k, I'd rather stay patient than start chasing green candles after a 10k move. Luckily BTC spent plenty of time below 70k again and I managed to increase my position quite nicely while everyone was bored. Same thing I've been saying throughout this entire cycle: take the emotions out of it and stick to your plan. You don't need to catch every move and you definitely don't need to buy every pump. In the long run, a better average entry and proper capital management will always matter more. 🤝🏼

it's all about the perspective and timeframe, in reality i see another leg down after this bear flag.

$BTC | What to expect? ☕ Market is absolutely boring right now and I bet many people have already left CT and the market for now. Not much to talk about when nothing is happening, but we're built different tho. 😂 I ain't talking much, but I'm watching this area like a hawk and still stacking every single week. I've been yapping about the 30-50k range for a while now and I still believe another move down is coming, although as of now I think the 45-55k range will very likely be where we find the absolute bottom of this bear market. That doesn't mean I've completely ruled out the 30-40k range I initially expected either. We keep monitoring the data and the word on the street says we're going to see rate hikes coming. If that actually happens, then 30-40k might be back on the table after all. As always, I'm not trying to guess the exact bottom down to the dollar because that's impossible. I'm just trying to position myself properly for the ranges I believe offer the best opportunities. As of now, in my opinion the best strategy remains weekly DCA with whatever you can do while keeping enough liquidity ready for lower prices. Personally, I stack €35 of $BTC every monday, non-negotiable, and if we eventually enter that 45-55k area I'll start increasing my buys significantly. If we somehow get 30-40k, you already know what time it is. 😂 Nothing complicated here. Keep stacking, keep some cash ready and don't let a boring market make you stop paying attention right when the opportunities are getting closer. Patience and capital protection remain key in 2026. 🤝🏼 NFA as always!

$BTC | Updated bear market view. 📉 I've been talking about the 30-50k range for months now, and after spending some time comparing this cycle with the 2021-2022 bear market, I think it's a good moment to share an updated view on how I see the rest of 2026 playing out. The weekly Bitcoin stacking never stopped and I'm still accumulating while we trade below the previous cycle ATH. The only thing that's changed is that I now have a little more conviction after digging deeper into the previous bear market structure. One thing stood out immediately. Both cycles have printed multiple bear flags after the initial breakdown. Every single time people started calling the bottom, convinced the correction was over, Bitcoin simply broke lower again. It wasn't one straight move down. It was a series of relief rallies, liquidity grabs and lower lows. After the third major bear flag broke down in 2022, Bitcoin dropped from roughly 25k to 16k, a move of around 36%. Now here's the interesting part. Applying a similar move from today's structure would put Bitcoin somewhere around 41k. Do I think history repeats tick for tick? No. Bitcoin today is a completely different asset. Institutional adoption has exploded, ETFs changed the landscape and there's significantly more long-term capital in the market than there was four years ago. That's why I don't necessarily expect another full 36% flush. I think the most likely bear market bottom is to form somewhere around 40-50k. If the CLARITY Act gets approved, I wouldn't be surprised to see one more push higher first before a classic sell the news reaction takes us into that zone. If it doesn't pass yet, I think a move into the low 40s becomes much more realistic... maybe even one final scam wick into the mid-30s to completely wipe out the remaining leverage. That's also why I've never waited for the "perfect bottom." I've been stacking Bitcoin every single week since we entered the 50-70k range because trying to catch the exact low is a losing game. But if we do get one final flush into the 40s... That's where the real ammunition comes out. That's been my game plan all year, and nothing has changed. 🤝🏼 Take a look at the similarities.

$BTC | Nothing has changed ☕ Haven't been too active lately, but honestly, there's a pretty simple reason for that... not much is happening. The market is dry af and there's no point forcing content just for the sake of posting something. But don't get it twisted, I'm still here watching everything and absolutely nothing has changed in my game plan. I'm still expecting that 30–50k range to come at some point this year and my stash is ready to scoop when the time is right. Until then, I'm still buying small amounts of $BTC every single week because let's be real, you can't really go wrong stacking Bitcoin after a 50% drawdown from the all-time high when you're looking at the next 5–10 years. But I'm not emptying the clip yet. The whole point is to maximize this bear market and come out of it with as much Bitcoin as possible, not to blow all your liquidity on the first decent dip and then sit there watching when the real opportunities arrive. I've been waiting for these prices for a long time, now it's all about staying disciplined and sticking to the plan. Patience and capital protection remain the keys to winning in 2026. The market might be boring right now, but boring is exactly when you should be paying attention. We keep stacking. We keep waiting. 🤝🏼