Why do some protest & others migrate?🇺🇦🇦🇷🇵🇱🇲🇦PIs @OOnuch, Sasse, Toma, Van Stekelenburg @ESRC @dfg_public @AgenceRecherche @NWONieuws 2019-2023
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Wow its our 7th peer reviewed/15th overall publication showcasing @MOBILISEproject findings!
@oonuch @GwendolynSasse & Sebastien Michiels @ENSAEparis analyze our #Belarus #ProtestSurvey (led by Onuch & supported by teams @UoMPolitics @ZOiS_Berlin CREST)
Who protested in 2020?
#OpenAccess from @NationalitiesP -
Flowers, Tractors, & Telegram: Who are the Protesters in #Belarus?: A Survey Based Assessment of Anti-Lukashenka Protest Participants - ow.ly/cUc150NAJfr
- @oonuch, @GwendolynSasse & Sébastien Michiels
#FirstView #Lukashenka
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
Proud that my coauthors and I have hard data to disprove trump's blatant lies about Zelensky and Ukraine.
This quoted post is unavailable.
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
Trump is making false claims about Zelensky's popularity, say experts @oonuch @GwendolynSasse
manchester.ac.uk/about/news/…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
The nerdy report ibifukraine.com/2025/02/19/i…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
А тепер наші дані на сайті КМІС
kiis.com.ua/?lang=ukr&cat=re…
Читайте і Передавайте дальше
@VolodymyrKulyk4 @GwendolynSasse
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
⚡️63% of Ukrainians approve Zelensky as president, poll shows.
kyivindependent.com/63-of-uk…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
Great to see my team’s poll making the rounds.
⚡️63% of Ukrainians approve Zelensky as president, poll shows.
kyivindependent.com/63-of-uk…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
63% українців схвалюють діяльність Зеленського як президента України і 74% вважають його патріотом. Про це свідчать дані опитування проєкту Онух IBIF, опублікованого КМІС.
tinyurl.com/25uvdj3n
Інфографіка: Онух IBIF / КМІС
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
Being a democrat elevates the likelihood that a #Belarusian agrees with #Belarus joining the EU by 22 percentage points at a 99% sig level
Neither viability of accession nor the war threat alone are significant enough factors to compete with the democratic pull of the #EU.
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
The @MOBILISEproject @ESRC also includes data from #Poland allowing us to explore this EU democratic pull phenomenon.
Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole holds a pro-EU position by 12 percentage points at the 99% sig level
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
But are we sure that it’s those that MOVE to DEMOCRACY then MOVE to DESIRING EU ACCESSION?
YES! Using panel data (thankU @MOBILISEproject @ESRC)
I show that becoming a democrat between 2019 & 2021 increases the likelihood of adopting a pro-EU stance by 15 percentage points.
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
What drives ordinary citizens to want their country to join or stay in the European Union (EU)?
🧵 it’s being a democrat or becoming one!
“Fighting for Europe: The EU's Democratic Pull Phenomenon in #Ukraine, #Poland and #Belarus”
OPEN ACCESS @JCMS_EU
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
A must and timely read on Ukraine by @GwendolynSasse on how international actors have to see bigger picture - how war, recovery and peace - and civil society are all linked.
Zelensky’s Diplomatic Offensive - Carnegie Europe (carnegieendowment.org).
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
"Ukraine's path to the EU remains unwavering despite challenges. Public support for EU integration has grown since 2014. #Ukraine #EU #Integration"
My new @Carnegie_Europe piece
carnegieendowment.org/resear…
Data collected with teams based at @uomsoss @UoMNews @McrJMCE @GwendolynSasse @IBIFUkraine @MOBILISEproject @zois @Politics_Oxford @VolodymyrKulyk4 @IERES_GWU @ponars
please share
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
🇺🇦 | #Ukraine's recovery & EU accession tend to be talked about as if they constitute one overarching process.
But while EU accession has a clear endpoint & a defined path, the road to recovery depends on a wide set of factors, writes @GwendolynSasse.
carnegieendowment.org/europe…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
""Key milestones for Ukraine's EU journey include the Association Agreement and EU candidate status. The road ahead is tough but clear. #UkraineEU #EUEnlargement"
My new @Carnegie_Europe piece
carnegieendowment.org/resear…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
Ukraine's drive to enter the EU is rooted in a perception of the bloc as a community of shared values & democratic principles.
When Ukrainians rallied around democracy, they also rallied around the idea that 🇺🇦's place is in the EU.
Read @oonuch's latest carnegieendowment.org/resear…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
"Despite Russian aggression, Ukraine's resolve to join the EU has only strengthened. Public backing is at an all-time high. #Ukraine #Russia #EU"
carnegieendowment.org/resear…
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
FRESH DATA ALERT "@mobiliseproject May/June 2024 Survey of the Ukrainian Population"
70% of Ukrainians agree Zelenskyy should continue as president during martial law. Support ranges from 65% in the East to 74% in the South. #Ukraine #Zelenskyy #MartialLaw
MOBILISE (3yr ORA Funded Large Grant Project) retweeted
A 🧵ON NEW POLLING DATA FROM UKRAINE May/June 2024 @MOBILISEproject
70% of Ukrainians agree Zelenskyy should continue as president during martial law. Support ranges from 65% in the East to 74% in the South.
Full report with analysis here: mobiliseproject.com/wp-conte…
FRESH DATA ALERT "@mobiliseproject May/June 2024 Survey of the Ukrainian Population"
70% of Ukrainians agree Zelenskyy should continue as president during martial law. Support ranges from 65% in the East to 74% in the South. #Ukraine #Zelenskyy #MartialLaw
More graphs and more data: mobiliseproject.com/2022/06/…
Panel Wave One March-April 2019
Panel Wave Two October 2020-April 2021
Panel Wave Three December 2021-February 2022
Panel Wave Four September 2023
OMNIBUS May 2022
OMNIBUS July 2022
OMNIBUS February 2023
OMNIBUS May/June 2024
Full May/June MOBILISE KIIS OMNIBUS Report
mobiliseproject.com/wp-conte…
All MOBILISE Technical Reports
mobiliseproject.com/2024/06/…