Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @DanielJHannan
This is an extraordinary amount of economic confusion to pack into one graphic.
First, Britain does not need another 3.4 million taxpayers to provide the government with sterling. The British state is the sole issuer of sterling. It cannot involuntarily run out of its own currency in the way a household or a business can.
Second, debt interest is not money lost to the British economy. Every pound paid by the Government is a pound received by someone else. Government interest expenditure is income to the holders of government liabilities. The IEA is presenting one side of the accounting while conveniently ignoring the other.
Third, the recent increase in debt interest is substantially a consequence of higher interest rates and inflation indexation. The Bank of England as a matter of policy has increased the remuneration on reserves, consequently maturing government debt is being refinanced at higher yields. To describe all this as the inevitable price of excessive public spending is economically illiterate.
Finally, the comparison with the income tax liabilities of 18 million workers is designed to evoke the household-budget fallacy: the idea that government must first collect sufficient money from taxpayers before it can spend on public services.
It is a powerful political narrative, but a profoundly misleading description of how the monetary system operates.
If debt interest is genuinely your concern, discuss the interest-rate policies that determine much of its cost, who receives the payments, and their economic consequences.
But please stop pretending that Britain is running out of pounds.
The BoE as an arm of the government working to tackle the cost of living - by increasing the price of money.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Is that it?
Andy Burnham promised to end 40 years of neoliberalism. Not by ending monetarism, shrinking the financial sector, controlling bank lending, increasing welfare, guarantee work at a living wage and growing the real economy - it’s an effing map.
Vote 💚
I know people are worried about fuel prices. And I get it. You get to the pump, watch the numbers climb, and wonder why it's costing so much more than it used to.
The reality is that global events are pushing up costs, and families here at home are feeling the impact.
But I won't accept that there's nothing I can do to help.
That's why from today, you'll be able to see petrol and diesel prices on Google Maps, compare nearby stations and find the cheapest option before you fill up.
It's a small change, but if there's a practical way to help people keep more money in their pocket, I'll do it.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Imports are not cause but result of de-industrialization and no solid evidence that living standards fell as a result of imports.
Replying to @Brad_Setser
The corrected regressions do show some negative relative effects of exposure to Chinese imports on the manufacturing share of employment. And I didn't write this up in the article, but you also get the same result if you swap in Mexican or German imports for Chinese imports. This suggests that the manufacturing share of employment may be affected by import competition, and not just with China.
However, the finding that Autor et al. originally emphasized was that Chinese imports had negatively affected living standards – and that does not seem to hold. But that does not mean that deindustrialization itself did not entail regional decline; it just means that the China-caused part of deindustrialization, at least as identified by Autor et al., did not.
To answer your question, though: I don't know. My prior is that there are broader causes of deindustrialization in the West, primarily due to wealth effects, which make manufacturing uncompetitive. I also think that other countries would have replaced China as an exporter if it had not transitioned from communism. But I have not done detailed research on this. My impression is that you may be emphasizing short-term, proximate causes of a particular phase of deindustrialization. I would probably place greater emphasis on the historical roots of the longer-term process, which China may have accelerated post-2000.
If were to research this, I would also use methods similar to your own: narrative, analysis, descriptive statistics, etc. I ultimately think this is more appropriate for the most interesting questions than the econometric methods that have come to dominate economics as a discipline.
Bastani gets 3/4 of the plan then fails dismally with "pay-fors".
Do these guys spend all their time ignoring the reality of the way government spends to cut their noses of?
Replying to @AaronBastani
We need:
To decarbonise much of the economy very quickly.
Have a publicly owned house builder to act as a market maker.
Build 1000s of miles of high speed rail and trams.
Immediately scrap loans and fees, and reintroduce grants for strategically important industries (not least healthcare) as a start.
Increase local authority funding to 2010 levels.
Create a national care service.
It’s very appealing to think other people will pay for all that. But that’s not happening. The tax base can’t *shrink*.
Preposterous collection of monetarist dummies watching a supply shock literally unfold in front of them then claiming it's all about too much money causing inflation whilst most of us are living in a cost of living crisis.
Delusional.
Claims to be an economist, does not know the difference between a supply shock and inflation.
This is what communists do so they can justify their inflationary economic ideas which do not work.
Thankfully we have Milton Friedman "Persistent inflation happens only when the money supply grows faster than real output."
Shame communists whichever disguise they wear.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Claims to be an economist, does not know the difference between a supply shock and inflation.
This is what communists do so they can justify their inflationary economic ideas which do not work.
Thankfully we have Milton Friedman "Persistent inflation happens only when the money supply grows faster than real output."
Shame communists whichever disguise they wear.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @tjbate2000 @paul_d_stevens
The govt creates the reserves.
The govt creates bonds.
The govt pays interest on the bonds.
The govt created the bond market, the government sustains the bond market, the government enriches the bond market.
So top pretending the bond markets are the ones in charge.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
This is obviously true.
His net contribution to the UK is a function of his individual real output to production less his (sizeable) personal real consumption.
Both fall to zero when he leaves.
But what is definitely *not* relevant is how much tax he paid.
1/3
Bloomberg: "While the move (by a hedge fund founder to leave the UK for Greece,) represents a significant win for Greece, it comes as a major blow for the UK."
I think we can be a little skeptical about how much of a blow this is to the British.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
The word “deficit”, when referring to government finances, is descriptively correct in accounting terms but rhetorically misleading, because in ordinary English it carries the sense of a shortage, inadequacy or failure. In this context, however, it simply describes a difference between government expenditure and receipts over an accounting period. It does not mean that the government itself is “short” of money.
Compare:
“The government ran a £100bn deficit.”
with:
“The government added £100bn of net sterling financial assets to the non-government sector.”
They describe the same accounting outcome, yet provoke completely different intuitions.
This is not to say that all government deficits produce good economic outcomes. A deficit may contribute to inflation; the composition of spending may be wasteful; or fiscal policy may produce an undesirable distribution of resources. Equally, a deficit may accompany price stability; the composition of spending may promote efficiency and productive capacity; or fiscal policy may produce a desirable distribution of resources.
None of these outcomes necessarily follows from the fact that the government’s accounting balance carries a minus sign. It depends on the economic circumstances, the level and composition of spending and taxation, and the productive limits of the economy.
A government “deficit”, then, identifies a residual accounting balance, not a deficiency in the government’s finances. The mistake is to import the ordinary-language meaning of deficiency into a national-accounting identity.
Zoiks - the bond markets - where is the outcry for fixing damaged public services people vote for instead of this anti-democratic mechanism constructed to reward those with wealth already?
Literal money creation for the wealthy.
When does that £££ creation go to the people?
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
How do the finances of HM Government operate? The gory details right here: #ExchequerCredits #TreasuryOrders #BankofEngland
An Accounting Model of the UK Exchequer - 2nd edition - The Gower Initiative for Modern Money Studies gimms.org.uk/2021/02/21/an-a…
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @KathrynPorter26
This reply actually makes your argument worse.
Firstly, the BBC showing a “black child” as you put it, in an article about air pollution isn’t “bringing race into it”. You brought race into it.
The fact you don’t just see a child he’s absolutely bizarre.
It’s a photograph of a child.
The idea that the BBC should have selected a white child simply because there are statistically more white children in the UK is also genuinely bizarre.
Then you make an enormous claim that “many more black children around the world are harmed by net zero supply chains than benefit from low emission zones”.
What’s your source for that?
Because that’s an incredibly specific claim about race, global health and supply chains. You can’t just declare it true.
Now, minerals.
Yes, EVs require more critical minerals during manufacturing.
The IEA estimates roughly six times the mineral inputs of a conventional car, excluding bulk materials such as steel and aluminium.
Nobody needs to hide that fact.
But here’s the rather enormous hole in your desperate argument…
An EV is built once.
An ICE vehicle needs fossil fuel continually extracted, processed, transported and then permanently burned for its entire life.
Yet, no mention of it.
You don’t get to count lithium mining against an EV while pretending petrol magically appears at a filling station, especially given 90% of those minerals used are recycled and reused for new batteries.
Oil has to be extracted too.
It has to be drilled, pumped, transported, refined, transported again and then burned.
And unlike battery materials, you can’t recycle the petrol after you’ve burned it.
That’s precisely why proper lifecycle assessments include EVERYTHING, raw materials, manufacturing, energy production, driving and end of life.
And when you actually do that comparison, the conclusion goes in completely the opposite direction to the one you’re suggesting.
So this isn’t “moving pollution”.
It also isn’t about race, but if you want, we can discuss the damage the oil and gas industry has done to black communities across the globe?
It’s reducing the total amount.
And the wind-turbine argument is equally strange.
Of course wind turbines create emissions when they’re manufactured and installed.
Nobody thinks they’re grown organically in fields.
The relevant question is what happens over their entire lifecycle.
IPCC lifecycle figures put median onshore wind at around 11g CO₂e/kWh, compared with around 490g for gas generation.
That’s not remotely comparable.
This is the fundamental problem with these arguments, you’re repeatedly comparing the manufacturing impacts of cleaner technologies with fossil-fuel technologies, while conveniently forgetting the enormous ongoing extraction and combustion required to operate the fossil alternative.
For somebody working in energy consultancy, that’s a pretty spectacular omission.
And after all of that, you’re STILL trying to make the skin colour of a child part of an argument about EVs.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @FraserNelson
Why not cut ~£100 billion the government pays out to bond holders? They don’t appear to do anything in return…seems just like a welfare payment.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @PeterMallouk
US gov interest payments are deficit spending for obscenely regressive basic income that goes only to people who already have money in proportion to how much they already have.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
When the government decides to cut services, because people like @afneil go on and on the debt is too high, then you end up with this.
The Andrew Neils of the world have done this to us.
No one else.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
What seems to be the acceptable standard today of the UK's privately owned vital infrastructure.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @DanielJHannan
According to the Consolidated Fund annual accounts in 2009-10 HM Government provided the Department for Communities and Local Government with £39.299 billion of funding. By 2018-19 this figure had reduced to £14.241 billion, a 60% reduction. In 2023-24 the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government received a slight increase in central government funding of £25.559 billion.
Central government funding is key to local councils’ ability to provide essential services. Given the data, it is no wonder our country is falling apart.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @MelJStride
“The maths is simple. If government wants to spend more, there are only three ways to pay for it: borrow more, cut spending elsewhere or raise taxes.”
This is a rhetorically effective soundbite, but it is operationally misleading. It conflates political financing choices with the monetary operations of a sovereign currency issuer.
Operationally, the sequence is as follows:
1. Parliament authorises both Supply (spending) and Financing (revenue).
2. The Treasury makes payments through the Bank of England.
3. Commercial banks receive additional reserves, and private bank deposits are credited.
4. Taxes and other revenues are received through the Bank of England.
5. Commercial bank reserves and private deposits are debited.
6. If required, the UK Debt Management Office (DMO) subsequently sells or purchases gilts to drain or add reserves to the banking system while ensuring its accounts at the Bank of England meet the government's target end-of-day balance at the Bank of England.
First, “borrow more”.
Gilt issuance does not provide the pounds the government spends. Government spending creates the reserves first; gilt sales simply exchange those reserves for interest-bearing government securities. Borrowing is therefore a reserve management operation, not a funding operation.
Second, “cut spending elsewhere”.
Suppose the government wishes to spend an additional £5 billion on defence. It could choose to reduce welfare spending by £5 billion. However, the welfare cut has not "found" the money. It has merely reduced one group's income while increasing another's. The government's operational ability to make the defence payment was never contingent upon first withdrawing income from welfare recipients.
Third, “raise taxes”.
Taxation does not operationally provide the pounds the government spends. Government spending occurs when the Bank of England credits commercial bank reserve accounts and the corresponding customer deposits. Tax payments reverse that process by debiting reserves and deposits.
Operationally:
1. Government spending creates reserves and bank deposits.
2. Taxation extinguishes reserves and bank deposits.
A household faces a genuine financial constraint because it cannot issue sterling. The UK government, as the monopoly issuer of sterling, faces no such financial constraint. Its constraint is instead real: whether sufficient labour, skills, materials and productive capacity are available for purchase at current prices without generating inflation.
The Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer is therefore presenting a political narrative rather than an operational description of how the monetary system functions. By framing public spending as though the government must first obtain pounds through borrowing, taxation or spending cuts, he misrepresents government fiscal and monetary operations and reinforces widespread public misunderstanding of the state's financial capacity. The genuine policy question is not whether the government can obtain its own currency, but whether additional spending is consistent with the economy's available real resources and the government’s inflation objectives.
Tyrone Braithwaite retweeted
Replying to @BBCr4today @hzeffman
This nonsense is swamping “Today” with @bbcnickrobinson currently whinging on about finding £4bn when, 5-6 years ago, the gov’t found £400bn without any query about how the gov’t found it and, in fact, finds it every day.




















