@MacroMicroMe

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 MacroMicro.me
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Joined August 2020
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4.3KMedia

Is AI Investing Still Safe as CoreWeave CDS Surges?

A CDS spread measures the cost of protection against a borrower’s default; a sharp rise signals that investors see greater credit risk. As of October 16, 2026, CoreWeave’s five-year CDS topped 1,1…

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Why Did CPI Exceed Expectations, and What’s Next for Fed Rate Hikes?

The surprise revived expectations for another hike at the October 28 meeting. Market estimates varied after the release, ranging from roughly one-third to just over one-half; investors also priced in …

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💸 $3.5 trillion in AI financing. Record data-center spending. Rising corporate debt. It looks like the setup for another leveraged capex bubble, but is the debt behind the boom actually a warning sign? Corporate interest burdens say otherwise.

Is the AI Debt Boom a Warning Sign? Corporate America's Interest Burden Says Otherwise

As AI infrastructure spending climbs to unprecedented levels, market attention has turned from how much the technology giants are investing to how they are paying for it. Bond issuance, private credit…

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4 Things You're Probably Getting Wrong About This Rate Hike

The 10-year Treasury yield broke above 5.03%, a level this market hasn't seen since 2007. Your feed is already full of takes on what it means for stocks, bonds, and the next six months. Most of them s…

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If the FOMC raises interest rates, how should I adjust my asset allocation?

We have observed a significant shift in market expectations and economic data, pointing toward a 25-basis-point (1-quarter-point) rate hike, which would bring the federal funds target range to 3.75%…

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US Treasury Yields Surge! TLT Hits New Lows! Is a Debt Crisis Looming?

Driver 1: Deficits Shift from Emergency Relief to Structural Spending According to the OECD Global Debt Report 2026, developed-market sovereign debt hit a record $61 trillion in 2025, with net borrowi…

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How Could Treasury Buybacks Affect the Stock Market & Asset Allocations?

This intervention initially provided some support for equity sentiment by briefly tempering the rapid rise in long-term yields:

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Is South Korea Back in a Bull Market?

The KOSPI index experienced extreme volatility in mid-2026, falling from a June peak of over 9,000 points to a trough near 5,200 points on July 29. However, the recovery was swift:

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What To Know Before the CPI Release

Based on the latest data and market expectations for the upcoming release on August 12, 2026, here are the key factors to watch:

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How much longer can this restocking cycle run?

U.S. Inventory Cycle Check: How Much Longer Can Active Restocking Last?

So far this year, the U.S. economy has continued to expand on the back of AI hardware demand and a manufacturing recovery. Whether consumption — which accounts for nearly 70% of GDP — can sustain …

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Is China’s memory surge changing the semiconductor trade? 🇨🇳🇺🇸

China’s "twin stars" of memory, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies (YMTC) have transitioned from low-cost alternatives to influential market players.

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🇰🇷 South Korea's first single-stock leveraged ETFs amplified market volatility through concentrated retail flows and mechanical rebalancing. We examine why Korea was uniquely exposed, how regulators responded, and what it means for AI-related market risk.

Two Stocks, One Index: What Korea's Leveraged ETF Episode Actually Broke

South Korea approved the introduction of its first single-stock leveraged ETFs in April, and the products began trading in late May, partly to keep domestic investors from buying similar products over…

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