Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas) header
Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas) profile picture

News, research & analysis across global capital markets. Built by traders, for traders.

Joined July 2020
Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)Photo by Trading Terminal (@MarketAtlas)
Join our community of traders, where we discuss trade strategies, price action and more! discord.gg/5JzMBb4zvP
2
4
1
43
12,714
Trading Terminal retweeted
Tuesday next week is quite nerve-racking If CPI comes in hotter than expected, the U.S. stock market might blow up
8
6
48
4,381
Tuesday next week is quite nerve-racking If CPI comes in hotter than expected, the U.S. stock market might blow up
8
6
48
4,381
Trading Terminal retweeted
Next weeks earnings! Which one are you watching?
7
8
2
52
6,410
Trading Terminal retweeted
$ORCL’s biggest risk isn’t paying interest today. It’s financing the AI buildout until the cash arrives. At August 31, Oracle reported: • $125.3B in borrowings • $37.1B in cash and securities • 1.17× current ratio • 4.71× quarterly operating-profit-to-interest coverage Those numbers do not scream immediate insolvency. But look beneath the headline equity: $67.2B equity − $62.3B goodwill − $3.0B acquired intangibles = approximately $1.9B tangible equity. Goodwill alone equals 92.7% of reported equity. That is a thin tangible cushion, although it does not make Oracle’s acquired businesses worthless. The bigger concern is cash generation. Quarterly operating cash flow: $23.1B. Capital expenditure: $28.5B. Free cash flow: NEGATIVE $5.4B. And $11.4B, approximately 49% of operating cash flow, came from customer prepayments with a significant financing component. That is real cash, but it funds services Oracle still needs to deliver. Oracle also carries an $11.6B deferred-tax asset. Potential future tax savings are valuable, but they cannot pay bondholders today. November’s $20B stock-and-bond raise improves liquidity. However, the $10B bond component adds approximately $777M in annual coupon payments. Management targets positive free cash flow in the second half of FY2028. The real question: will infrastructure generate cash fast enough, or will shareholders face more dilution and creditors demand increasingly expensive financing?
$ORCL can't catch a break -2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
8
5
1
41
4,796
$ORCL’s biggest risk isn’t paying interest today. It’s financing the AI buildout until the cash arrives. At August 31, Oracle reported: • $125.3B in borrowings • $37.1B in cash and securities • 1.17× current ratio • 4.71× quarterly operating-profit-to-interest coverage Those numbers do not scream immediate insolvency. But look beneath the headline equity: $67.2B equity − $62.3B goodwill − $3.0B acquired intangibles = approximately $1.9B tangible equity. Goodwill alone equals 92.7% of reported equity. That is a thin tangible cushion, although it does not make Oracle’s acquired businesses worthless. The bigger concern is cash generation. Quarterly operating cash flow: $23.1B. Capital expenditure: $28.5B. Free cash flow: NEGATIVE $5.4B. And $11.4B, approximately 49% of operating cash flow, came from customer prepayments with a significant financing component. That is real cash, but it funds services Oracle still needs to deliver. Oracle also carries an $11.6B deferred-tax asset. Potential future tax savings are valuable, but they cannot pay bondholders today. November’s $20B stock-and-bond raise improves liquidity. However, the $10B bond component adds approximately $777M in annual coupon payments. Management targets positive free cash flow in the second half of FY2028. The real question: will infrastructure generate cash fast enough, or will shareholders face more dilution and creditors demand increasingly expensive financing?
$ORCL can't catch a break -2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
8
5
1
41
4,796
Next weeks earnings! Which one are you watching?
7
8
2
52
6,410
Trading Terminal retweeted
$ORCL can't catch a break -2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
7
6
1
43
4,471
$ORCL can't catch a break -2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
7
6
1
43
4,471
$MSFT also ended their deal with $ORCL
1
5
22
2,117
Trading Terminal retweeted
So far, $SPY is +0.75% intraday Will it continue or will fear lead the way into the weekend?
8
7
44
4,410
So far, $SPY is +0.75% intraday Will it continue or will fear lead the way into the weekend?
8
7
44
4,410
Trading Terminal retweeted
$OKLO beat earnings. But it still hasn’t sold commercial reactor electricity. Q3 results: • Revenue: $1.86M vs $1.01M expected • EPS: −$0.22 vs −$0.27 expected • Operating loss: $71M, up 95.6% YoY • Net loss: $41.7M, up 40.5% YoY That revenue came primarily from engineering and manufacturing businesses, not operating nuclear power plants. The balance sheet is the strongest part: $3.13B in cash and marketable securities. But funding matters too. Oklo raised $2.25B through stock sales during the first nine months, issuing approximately 32.6M shares. Operating cash outflow plus cash capex totaled $391.8M over that period. First powerhouse deployment is now targeted for 2028–2029. The investment case isn’t whether $OKLO beat a tiny revenue estimate. It’s whether today’s capital can become tomorrow’s electricity revenue before spending, delays and dilution erode shareholder returns.
11
5
51
4,567
$OKLO beat earnings. But it still hasn’t sold commercial reactor electricity. Q3 results: • Revenue: $1.86M vs $1.01M expected • EPS: −$0.22 vs −$0.27 expected • Operating loss: $71M, up 95.6% YoY • Net loss: $41.7M, up 40.5% YoY That revenue came primarily from engineering and manufacturing businesses, not operating nuclear power plants. The balance sheet is the strongest part: $3.13B in cash and marketable securities. But funding matters too. Oklo raised $2.25B through stock sales during the first nine months, issuing approximately 32.6M shares. Operating cash outflow plus cash capex totaled $391.8M over that period. First powerhouse deployment is now targeted for 2028–2029. The investment case isn’t whether $OKLO beat a tiny revenue estimate. It’s whether today’s capital can become tomorrow’s electricity revenue before spending, delays and dilution erode shareholder returns.
11
5
51
4,567
Trading Terminal retweeted
Nice bounce back so far, especially for tech VIX still at 25 Fear and Greed index still in extreme fear of 24
8
6
43
3,421
Nice bounce back so far, especially for tech VIX still at 25 Fear and Greed index still in extreme fear of 24
8
6
43
3,421
Trading Terminal retweeted
Goodnight Kospi
6
6
53
3,694
Goodnight Kospi
6
6
53
3,694
Trading Terminal retweeted
$LITE earnings DOUBLE BEAT + RAISED GUIDANCE Revenue $1.26B vs $1.25B consensus Non-GAAP EPS $4.57 vs $4.22 consensus Non-GAAP operating margin 42.3% GAAP Gross margin 51% Q2 FY27 Guidance Revenue $1.575B-$1.625B Non-GAAP EPS $5.90-$6.20 Operating Margin 45-46%
9
8
47
5,797
Trading Terminal retweeted
$IREN earnings report Revenue $228M vs $221.71M AI cloud revenue +182% Revenue backlog +22%
9
10
57
5,184
$LITE earnings DOUBLE BEAT + RAISED GUIDANCE Revenue $1.26B vs $1.25B consensus Non-GAAP EPS $4.57 vs $4.22 consensus Non-GAAP operating margin 42.3% GAAP Gross margin 51% Q2 FY27 Guidance Revenue $1.575B-$1.625B Non-GAAP EPS $5.90-$6.20 Operating Margin 45-46%
9
8
47
5,797