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Trading Terminal retweeted
Tuesday next week is quite nerve-racking
If CPI comes in hotter than expected, the U.S. stock market might blow up
Tuesday next week is quite nerve-racking
If CPI comes in hotter than expected, the U.S. stock market might blow up
Trading Terminal retweeted
$ORCL’s biggest risk isn’t paying interest today. It’s financing the AI buildout until the cash arrives.
At August 31, Oracle reported:
• $125.3B in borrowings
• $37.1B in cash and securities
• 1.17× current ratio
• 4.71× quarterly operating-profit-to-interest coverage
Those numbers do not scream immediate insolvency. But look beneath the headline equity:
$67.2B equity − $62.3B goodwill − $3.0B acquired intangibles = approximately $1.9B tangible equity.
Goodwill alone equals 92.7% of reported equity. That is a thin tangible cushion, although it does not make Oracle’s acquired businesses worthless.
The bigger concern is cash generation.
Quarterly operating cash flow: $23.1B.
Capital expenditure: $28.5B.
Free cash flow: NEGATIVE $5.4B.
And $11.4B, approximately 49% of operating cash flow, came from customer prepayments with a significant financing component.
That is real cash, but it funds services Oracle still needs to deliver.
Oracle also carries an $11.6B deferred-tax asset. Potential future tax savings are valuable, but they cannot pay bondholders today.
November’s $20B stock-and-bond raise improves liquidity. However, the $10B bond component adds approximately $777M in annual coupon payments.
Management targets positive free cash flow in the second half of FY2028.
The real question: will infrastructure generate cash fast enough, or will shareholders face more dilution and creditors demand increasingly expensive financing?
$ORCL can't catch a break
-2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
$ORCL’s biggest risk isn’t paying interest today. It’s financing the AI buildout until the cash arrives.
At August 31, Oracle reported:
• $125.3B in borrowings
• $37.1B in cash and securities
• 1.17× current ratio
• 4.71× quarterly operating-profit-to-interest coverage
Those numbers do not scream immediate insolvency. But look beneath the headline equity:
$67.2B equity − $62.3B goodwill − $3.0B acquired intangibles = approximately $1.9B tangible equity.
Goodwill alone equals 92.7% of reported equity. That is a thin tangible cushion, although it does not make Oracle’s acquired businesses worthless.
The bigger concern is cash generation.
Quarterly operating cash flow: $23.1B.
Capital expenditure: $28.5B.
Free cash flow: NEGATIVE $5.4B.
And $11.4B, approximately 49% of operating cash flow, came from customer prepayments with a significant financing component.
That is real cash, but it funds services Oracle still needs to deliver.
Oracle also carries an $11.6B deferred-tax asset. Potential future tax savings are valuable, but they cannot pay bondholders today.
November’s $20B stock-and-bond raise improves liquidity. However, the $10B bond component adds approximately $777M in annual coupon payments.
Management targets positive free cash flow in the second half of FY2028.
The real question: will infrastructure generate cash fast enough, or will shareholders face more dilution and creditors demand increasingly expensive financing?
$ORCL can't catch a break
-2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
Trading Terminal retweeted
$ORCL can't catch a break
-2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
$ORCL can't catch a break
-2.61% due to EVEN MORE rising debt concerns
Trading Terminal retweeted
So far, $SPY is +0.75% intraday
Will it continue or will fear lead the way into the weekend?
So far, $SPY is +0.75% intraday
Will it continue or will fear lead the way into the weekend?
Trading Terminal retweeted
$OKLO beat earnings. But it still hasn’t sold commercial reactor electricity.
Q3 results:
• Revenue: $1.86M vs $1.01M expected
• EPS: −$0.22 vs −$0.27 expected
• Operating loss: $71M, up 95.6% YoY
• Net loss: $41.7M, up 40.5% YoY
That revenue came primarily from engineering and manufacturing businesses, not operating nuclear power plants.
The balance sheet is the strongest part: $3.13B in cash and marketable securities.
But funding matters too. Oklo raised $2.25B through stock sales during the first nine months, issuing approximately 32.6M shares.
Operating cash outflow plus cash capex totaled $391.8M over that period.
First powerhouse deployment is now targeted for 2028–2029.
The investment case isn’t whether $OKLO beat a tiny revenue estimate.
It’s whether today’s capital can become tomorrow’s electricity revenue before spending, delays and dilution erode shareholder returns.
$OKLO beat earnings. But it still hasn’t sold commercial reactor electricity.
Q3 results:
• Revenue: $1.86M vs $1.01M expected
• EPS: −$0.22 vs −$0.27 expected
• Operating loss: $71M, up 95.6% YoY
• Net loss: $41.7M, up 40.5% YoY
That revenue came primarily from engineering and manufacturing businesses, not operating nuclear power plants.
The balance sheet is the strongest part: $3.13B in cash and marketable securities.
But funding matters too. Oklo raised $2.25B through stock sales during the first nine months, issuing approximately 32.6M shares.
Operating cash outflow plus cash capex totaled $391.8M over that period.
First powerhouse deployment is now targeted for 2028–2029.
The investment case isn’t whether $OKLO beat a tiny revenue estimate.
It’s whether today’s capital can become tomorrow’s electricity revenue before spending, delays and dilution erode shareholder returns.
Trading Terminal retweeted
Nice bounce back so far, especially for tech
VIX still at 25
Fear and Greed index still in extreme fear of 24
Nice bounce back so far, especially for tech
VIX still at 25
Fear and Greed index still in extreme fear of 24
Trading Terminal retweeted
$LITE earnings DOUBLE BEAT + RAISED GUIDANCE
Revenue $1.26B vs $1.25B consensus
Non-GAAP EPS $4.57 vs $4.22 consensus
Non-GAAP operating margin 42.3%
GAAP Gross margin 51%
Q2 FY27 Guidance
Revenue $1.575B-$1.625B
Non-GAAP EPS $5.90-$6.20
Operating Margin 45-46%
Trading Terminal retweeted
$IREN earnings report
Revenue $228M vs $221.71M
AI cloud revenue +182%
Revenue backlog +22%
$LITE earnings DOUBLE BEAT + RAISED GUIDANCE
Revenue $1.26B vs $1.25B consensus
Non-GAAP EPS $4.57 vs $4.22 consensus
Non-GAAP operating margin 42.3%
GAAP Gross margin 51%
Q2 FY27 Guidance
Revenue $1.575B-$1.625B
Non-GAAP EPS $5.90-$6.20
Operating Margin 45-46%












