The prediction market show that helps you stay ahead.
Alpha
Joined February 2022
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James Talarico's odds are surging into the final hours before Election Day to defeat Ken Paxton (from 64% 🔼 to 76%)
Satoshi Action Fund founder @Dennis_Porter_ joined us to share why markets are still undercounting a Talarico win ⬇️
Jensen Huang's departure from Nvidia might be a bigger blow to the entire AI industry than just $NVDA, says @GerberKawasaki:
"People like me really liked him. The general public generally liked him. And he was fairly likeable — obviously too likeable."
Watch our full discussion with @GerberKawasaki on the Jensen Huang fallout — and what it means for $NVDA:
youtube.com/watch?v=b8gDgzP0…
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Market Signal retweeted
It's fascinating that prediction markets had the odds of Jensen out at 15% earlier this week and everyone said if that went up $NVDA would tank
And yet, he's out, and $NVDA is chugging along. So what are prediction markets saying now?
Digging in on @Market_Signal_ ⬇️
What Prediction Markets Are Saying About Nvidia teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/2bragJkrk…
What Prediction Markets Are Saying About Nvidia teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/2bragJkrk…
What Is Next for Nvidia After Jensen Huang’s Departure? teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/2WXBldErP…
Odds of Jensen Huang's removal first spiked on @Polymarket
After the official announcement from the board, $NVDA fell 10% but regained nearly all of those losses to trade back near close before Huang was officially removed
NEW: Odds of Jensen Huang's removal as Nvidia CEO spike by 50% after reports of a second alleged affair with the company's VP of healthcare
Odds of resignation or removal by end of 2026 now at 77%
Market Signal retweeted
BREAKING: NY federal judge denies Novig’s preliminary injunction bid, clearing the way for state enforcement. Judge McMahon holds that Novig’s sports event contracts are not “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act and that NY can enforce its gambling and sports-wagering laws.
NEW: Congressman @RoKhanna just called on banning sports prediction markets
@SafeBetsWorld CEO Alex Konanykhin explained why the pushback was inevitable after the Blue Tsunami:
"What used to be political cover is going to become a huge liability"
Our full discussion on why a different model vs. gambling could be favored under a new political climate:
youtube.com/watch?v=cHa6sQY2…
Market Signal retweeted
Oil prices have swung considerably — setting up for a potential rebound with force, according to @schorkgroup
$75 on the bottom of the technical range, to $117 on the upside this month
@Market_Signal_ breaks down why prediction markets may be undercounting that volatility ⬇️
Market Signal retweeted
Russell Brand casually dropping a gambling website ad in the middle of his Christian prayer podcast.
Prediction markets went toe-to-toe with pollsters once again during the midterms
@Kalshi Head of Research @nkagan_official explains why prediction markets led to better signal than what is possible through polls and pollsters like @NateSilver538 alone ⬇️
Watch our full interview with @Kalshi Head of Research @nkagan_official off the record midterm results 👏⬇️
youtube.com/watch?si=eNDeckS…
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Odds of a US-Iran agreement are swinging after the Blue Tsunami — but can the midterms and oil prices really push Trump towards making a deal?
@schorkgroup joined us to break down what the oil markets are saying:
"I don't think we'll see an agreement" 👀 ⬇️
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watch our full discussion with @schorkgroup on oil prices, elections, and added pressure on the Iran War:
youtube.com/watch?v=G4pW1n-H…
After the Blue Tsunami, the CEO of @SafeBetsWorld is warning that the political pendulum could swing hard against the prediction market giants who count Donald Trump Jr. as an advisor:
"I firmly believe that... Polymarket and Kalshi [are] on the countdown to an implosion" 👀 ⬇️
Watch our full interview with @SafeBetsWorld founder Alex Konanykhin on why prediction markets may be in the regulatory crosshairs next:
youtube.com/watch?v=cHa6sQY2…
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Oil expert @schorkgroup joins us to discuss what comes next for oil prices following the most violent swing since the 1970's:
"The market is already trading as if this Blue Tsunami, the Democrats, are already in control of Congress" ⬇️
Kalshi Head of Research on Election Market Results teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/2brolbvqK…
