Stuart Jones

🚨War Games with AI, March 20 edition: Today's war game simulation with Claude is shown here. 20 runs for up to 24 weeks. Looks like, despite what the administration is saying, there's growing chances this drags out another 4+ months. Crazy if true.

🚨War gamed with Claude. 20 run ensemble. Here's the summary. A short 🧵

Google Trends Analysis: I've been eager to post this for a bit now, and now that it is a bit separated from the hype, I want to delve into it a bit. The intriguing data points to some interesting sociopolitical questions involving being LGBT in America. A 🧵

What GPT4 says about the current economy, a thread. I'll present the entire conversation here in its entirety. Highlight: It gives a 60-70% chance of a recession, albeit with appropriate caveats.

Hey Danielle, this is Bing AI’s answer to the causes of the crisis. Echoes this tweet. Even more impressive that it’s easy to understand and not full or jargon. Appreciate your posts, keep up the good fight!

For the past 3 months, here's the graph of CDC case and death counts for Covid. The Cases are lagged by 3 weeks and 0.73% of them are taken to as closely match the deaths as possible. Here's a short thread.

But most aren't really. For instance, I had to increase the vaccine coverage to 80% for the curve to die down (as seen below). We all know 80% aren't going to get the vaccine, though.

Okay, well let's tweak it down more to 3x the Base. Maybe monkeypox prefers close intimate contact (such as via sex), but not drastically so - 3x might be better. Let's see what that curve looks like. So the peak isn't even reached in 1 year - it's been shifted past 1 year.