Charting Promos, with a sprinkle of degen plays DM’s always open 👊 Independent. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Mike Ditka. @DitkaBets on YouTube
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DraftKings King of the Court Bonus Bet Projections 👑💰
Based on poll results vs. win probability, I am choosing between one of these 6 guys:
Best Value: Reaves, Brunson, Towns
Fair Value: Cunningham, Avdija, Lavine
I also don't mind Tatum for some chalky value. He could easily get overlooked if Luka gets a ton of ownership, like he normally does. Tatum has the least ownership out of the top 5 stars. Partially because he is sharing a poll with Luka. Regardless of that, I do still think that he has some value.
DraftKings King of the Court Player Win Probabilities 📊👑
As much as I hate to say it, all things considered, Luka is solid EV for tonight. I'm still not playing him, but wouldn't blame you if you do.
Bonus bet scatterplot coming soon, which will highlight some of the best/worst values.
As of now, Austin Reaves gets you the most bang for your buck.
The Luka Show is back for King of the Court 👀
DraftKings King of the Court POLL (1/11) 🗳️
Who do you have as the PRA leader for tonight?
Only a 4 game slate 😬👇
35%Luka Doncic 👑
7%Jayson Tatum
8%Victor Wembanyama
51%See results
2,002 votes • Final resultsDraftKings King of the Court POLL (10/11) 🗳️
Who do you have as the PRA leader for tonight?
13%Ausar Thompson
7%Devin Vassell
6%Mikal Bridges
74%See results
394 votes • Final resultsDraftKings King of the End Zone Bonus Bet RESULT 💰🚨
George Pickens (+175 ATTD)
Bonus Bet Payout: $66 👍
Model Projection: $35-$85 🎯
Don’t have much time for a write up here, but it looks like Pickens was likely the most popular choice last night.
I was worried we’d see $35 to $45, so don’t be too bummed for this payout if you won.
A lot of doubters on the bonus bet projection last night, looks like I was right again 🤷♂️
Appreciate all the supporters & followers! Congrats to all winners 👊
DraftKings King of the End Zome UPDATE 🚨💰
George Pickens (+175) 21-yard TD
Bonus Bet Projection: $85
Low-end: $35 😬
George Pickens was likely the most popular pick tonight, which puts us at risk of seeing the smallest bonus bet for this promo that we’ve seen for a while.
Some brutal deep threat WR hypotheticals we’ve seen this season: Jameson Williams $35, Devonta $44, JSN $45.
Tonight, the Eagles were depleted which limited options for bettors. It seems very likely that Pickens ends up closer to $35 compared to the $85 base projection.
Best of luck and would love to see some slips 👇
DraftKings King of the End Zome UPDATE 🚨💰
George Pickens (+175) 21-yard TD
Bonus Bet Projection: $85
Low-end: $35 😬
George Pickens was likely the most popular pick tonight, which puts us at risk of seeing the smallest bonus bet for this promo that we’ve seen for a while.
Some brutal deep threat WR hypotheticals we’ve seen this season: Jameson Williams $35, Devonta $44, JSN $45.
Tonight, the Eagles were depleted which limited options for bettors. It seems very likely that Pickens ends up closer to $35 compared to the $85 base projection.
Best of luck and would love to see some slips 👇
DraftKings King of the End Zone Bonus Bet Projections & Thoughts
Curious about a player's win probability or bonus bet projections? Tune in. teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1aKbdEWNv…
DraftKings King of the End Zone is back 🚨👀
Like ♥️ this if you’re interested in some bonus bet projections, player win probabilities, & a live stream later 📊
Early leans? Let me know 👇
DraftKings King of the End Zone Bonus Bet Projections 💰📊
Wide Receiver: 50%-win probability
Last week, Luke McCaffrey was the obvious overplay of the century. Vegas didn't even think he was going to touch the ball, but somehow over 1500 bettors chose him.
Tonight, there really is not a WR that falls into this category. Lamb and Pickens are our chalky options with limited value. The Eagles are a total mess and I honestly think that they will be slightly underplayed across the board.
If you want max value, go with Camden Brown or Elijah Moore. Both projecting to be notably underplayed (but might not even touch the ball). I am avoiding WR tonight.
Running Back: 22%-win probability
Not much to say here, but if you want to take a shot on one of the 4 backup running backs, go for it. I don't love it, but backup RBs have massive upside and we've seen a few come very close to winning this year (Ray Davis / Jeremy McNichols).
However, it'd be hard for me to pass up the massive value on Javonte based on poll results. He is on my shortlist tonight.
Tight End: 14%-win probability
If there is anyone that falls under the "Obvious Contrarian" play of the week, it's Eli Stowers. His base projection should be taken with a grain of salt. It should be closer to $4,000.
If I am playing TE tonight, Jake Ferguson is my choice. He's been playing poorly, has had some massive drops, and is underplayed on the poll = value city.
Stowers feels a bit crowded. Especially for a guy who has yet to play in an NFL game. If you want longshot TE; Spann-Ford, Calcaterra, and Schoonmaker feel like better options.
D/ST: 18%-win probability
I honestly would support you taking either defense here tonight. think I'd take Eagles D/ST over the Cowboys because the mindset of most bettors will likely be revolving around Tanner McKee. Eagles D/ST should be underplayed and beat these projections.
Quarterback: 👇👇
DraftKings King of the End Zone Bonus Bet Projections 💰📊
Wide Receiver: 50%-win probability
Last week, Luke McCaffrey was the obvious overplay of the century. Vegas didn't even think he was going to touch the ball, but somehow over 1500 bettors chose him.
Tonight, there really is not a WR that falls into this category. Lamb and Pickens are our chalky options with limited value. The Eagles are a total mess and I honestly think that they will be slightly underplayed across the board.
If you want max value, go with Camden Brown or Elijah Moore. Both projecting to be notably underplayed (but might not even touch the ball). I am avoiding WR tonight.
Running Back: 22%-win probability
Not much to say here, but if you want to take a shot on one of the 4 backup running backs, go for it. I don't love it, but backup RBs have massive upside and we've seen a few come very close to winning this year (Ray Davis / Jeremy McNichols).
However, it'd be hard for me to pass up the massive value on Javonte based on poll results. He is on my shortlist tonight.
Tight End: 14%-win probability
If there is anyone that falls under the "Obvious Contrarian" play of the week, it's Eli Stowers. His base projection should be taken with a grain of salt. It should be closer to $4,000.
If I am playing TE tonight, Jake Ferguson is my choice. He's been playing poorly, has had some massive drops, and is underplayed on the poll = value city.
Stowers feels a bit crowded. Especially for a guy who has yet to play in an NFL game. If you want longshot TE; Spann-Ford, Calcaterra, and Schoonmaker feel like better options.
D/ST: 18%-win probability
I honestly would support you taking either defense here tonight. think I'd take Eagles D/ST over the Cowboys because the mindset of most bettors will likely be revolving around Tanner McKee. Eagles D/ST should be underplayed and beat these projections.
Quarterback: 👇👇
Quarterback: 4%-win probability
The past few weeks I have preached to avoid QB because recent MNF games had over/unders of 50+
Tonight should be a relatively lower scoring game, which actually gives Dak a chance at winning this promo.
Based on poll results, he is very underplayed and could easily double or triple this estimate.
McKee just doesn't have the rushing upside to be worth it IMO. Also, he is somehow a more popular pick than Dak. It is a classic "Contrarian Trap" for these promos. Everyone thinks they are going against the grain but aren't.
Dak > McKee easily tonight if you want to play QB for this promo.
