Carlos GeoTecnoEconoPolitics

Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer. Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war. To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha. The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people. And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final. We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it. Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made. They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making. One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.

🇨🇭🇪🇺 You know the situation in Europe is so bad that even the Swiss have taken to the streets to protest. There are mass protests all across Europe due to the poor economic situation—in France, Italy, and Germany, and now Switzerland has joined in too.

BREAKING: US Senator Chris Murphy hospitalized following a stroke, per his office. This comes just days after being briefed on highly classified military planning on Iran to restart the war after the midterms, where he called Trump's plan "insane." "I will just say this: their plan is insane. It will lead to devastating escalation and the likely destruction of our commitment to the rule of law," he said four days ago.

Hey @grok, some years ago 43 students in Mexico vanished out of the blue all together without leaving any trace. international investigators challenging the narrative account were suddenly targeted with Pegasus spyware from Israel. Even the missing students’ parents and lawyers appeared on the list of Israel’s spyware targets. Then came another disturbing revelation. Mexico’s former chief investigator, accused of manipulating evidence in the case, fled to Israel. Mexico never managed to extradite him and they accused Israel of effectively protecting him. @grok, start with TRUE FALSE

NEW: 🇺🇸 A drone startup backed by Trump's sons just landed a Pentagon contract worth up to $90 million. It went from $5.7 million in assets to a $300 million company in months.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US intelligence officials are monitoring attempts by Russia, China and Iran to influence American voters.

🇨🇳 China's Communist Party is calling for a tougher crackdown on corruption involving cryptocurrencies, blockchain technology and money moving across international borders. The directive, adopted at a major party leadership meeting on Thursday, targets officials using digital assets and complex financial arrangements to conceal bribes and move illicit funds. Authorities have also been instructed to investigate wealthy officials whose family assets and spending cannot be explained by their legitimate income. The crackdown goes beyond crypto, targeting secret business partnerships, officials using intermediaries to hide their interests and companies attempting to buy political influence. Beijing is also demanding tighter Communist Party oversight of state-owned enterprises, financial institutions and private technology companies. TLDR: China's leadership wants to make sure the only people who can steal China's wealth for themselves are those already doing so officially. Source: Bloomberg / Writer: Mhedi