International Negotiator, Peacebuilder, War-tested Leader・Founder @ParleyPolicy • Special Advisor @YCAPSjapan
Melbourne, Victoria
Joined October 2013
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The Kremlin will continue to contest the presence of third party military forces in Ukraine as part of postwar ceasefire monitoring arrangements, but it is important not to bend on this issue.
Multinational forces serve three key functions in postwar environments:
...
We must remember that Ukraine has tried to enter into agreements with Russia to safeguard peace and sovereignty in the past, including the 1994 Budapest Memorandum and Minsk I and II protocols.
How does the White House get out of the war in Iran?
That is the fundamental question facing the Trump administration now that the midterm elections are over, and it is one that I tackle in my latest analysis here: linkedin.com/pulse/how-does-…
Ultimately, the Trump administration may have to resign itself to the "least worst" option. But it seems unlikely to do so without at least one final attempt at military escalation.
In my latest article, I examine the options available to the White House and consider what a viable option for disengagement might look like.
Read my full analysis here: linkedin.com/pulse/how-does-…
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While it was always prudent to fact check POTUS prior to the midterms, it will be even more important to do so going forward.
Case in point: Russia and Ukraine are not close to a comprehensive peace agreement.
Jared Kushner has previously indicated that the...
In other words, the war could end tonight if not for the Kremlin's territorial ambitions (which, by the way, has been the case since the outset of Russia's full scale invasion).
North Korean support for Russia’s war against Ukraine has not materialized in the way Kyiv had originally predicted this past summer.
Ukraine captured international attention when it assessed that the Kremlin had requested upwards of 30,000 more troops to support an autumn...
My latest for the @Diplomat_APAC recaps the phases of North Korean support in the war before explaining how the Kim Jong Un regime has likely shifted to its endgame strategy as it contemplates longer term foreign policy designs beyond its role in the Russia-Ukraine War.
