Correlation Between $BTC and Global M2 Money Supply I've noticed an interesting pattern between $BTC (chart above) and global M2 money supply (chart below): Historical Data: - March 2016: Global M2 money supply broke out to a new all-time high. 365 days later, $BTC broke out of its previous all-time high - November 2019: M2 again broke out to a new all-time high. 366 days later, $BTC broke out to a new peak Current Cycle: - November 2023: M2 money supply broke out to a new all-time high - Elapsed Time: Approximately 300 days have passed since this breakout Projection: If this pattern holds, we might expect $BTC to break out of its current all-time high sometime between September and December 2024 Note: While this correlation is interesting, it's of course not a definitive predictor. Always consider other economic factors and market conditions

One year ago, I started a small monthly ETF savings plan for my child Nothing fancy. No stock picking. No market timing. Just automated investing across three ETFs: • IE00BL25JM42 (Xtrackers MSCI World Value) • IE00BL25JP72 (Xtrackers MSCI World Momentum) • IE00BK5BQT80 (Vanguard FTSE All-World) After one year: +24.56% Of course, this won’t happen every year. Markets go up and down, and past performance is not a guarantee for the future But it’s a great reminder: starting early, keeping it simple, and investing regularly can make a real difference over time Not financial advice — just my personal experience

$ADBE just triggered an oversold signal on my TradingView indicator CapScout If someone is planning to buy $ADBE, I think the smarter approach is to watch how the stock reacts over the next few sessions A typical post-earnings sell-off often plays out like this: After-hours: initial shock reaction Day 1: additional selling pressure as the regular market digests the news Days 2–3: analysts cut price targets, momentum sellers exit, stop-losses get triggered Days 3–7: either stabilization begins or the stock retests the lows After that: the first serious attempt at bottoming can start Adobe’s valuation is getting increasingly interesting, but the market clearly still has concerns around AI disruption, Creative Cloud growth, leadership changes, and whether Firefly/AI monetization can really offset the risks So for me, the signal is not a reason to rush in blindly The first after-hours move is often not the final word. Price discovery usually takes a few trading sessions

$SPY bounced perfectly off the 20-week moving average last Friday, just as anticipated xitter.cf/creepzander/status/199… Hopefully, this marks the beginning of a nice end-of-year rally 🙏

Could be a good place for a $BTC bounce There is an important order block between $86k and $88k where the last breakout took place

Zoetis $ZTS, a leading company in the field of veterinary medicine, has triggered a signal from my Capitulation Scout indicator on a weekly basis (Figure 1) This indicates the beginning of a possible bottoming phase. The coming weeks could therefore be an interesting opportunity to build up long-term positions The last successful signals of this indicator were seen in LVMH $MC in Figure 2 and Samsung $005930 in Figure 3

$SPY is currently at 659.68 points and is about to touch the important 20-week average of 652.98 points, which could serve as support This would be the first time the moving average has been touched since a new all-time high was set after the tariff crash Looking at past major corrections: - After the Covid crash and subsequent all-time high, the 20-week average held five times and served as support - After the 2022 bear market and subsequent new all-time high, the 20-week average held four times as support The earnings report from $NVDA on Wednesday evening will be crucial in determining whether this average holds as support or is broken to the downside

Sometimes, buying shares in a product you love pays off—especially before it’s mainstream Here’s a timelapse showing what a $57.4k investment in $TSLA would be worth today, made when the Tesla Model S launched in June 2012 at $57.4k

On Wednesday after market close, $TSLA reports earnings Per @earnings_watch (Figure 1), the market anticipates a +/-7.4% price move, compared to a historical average of +/-10.4% post-earnings Technically, $TSLA is forming a symmetrical triangle (Figure 2) Predicting a breakout direction before earnings is challenging, but a successful breakout could drive strong momentum in the weeks ahead As shown in Figures 3 & 4, $TSLA has exhibited significant post-earnings drift in 8 of last 15 cases What do you think, will there be an upward or downward breakout?

According to @earnings_watch's new tool, $NKE typically exhibits strong long-term drift after earnings (see Figures 1 & 2) Notably, the stock often continues trending in the same direction within 60 days as it does in the first 7 days post-earnings Currently, $NKE is consolidating after its positive reaction to the June 26 earnings report and the subsequent upward trend in the first week If historical patterns hold, the stock could resume its rise over the next 15–45 days Ideally, $NKE may retest the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level around $68.41 in the coming days before continuing its ascent, though this is not guaranteed of course

Inspired by my recent timelapse videos like this xitter.cf/creepzander/status/193… I’m ready to make a new timelapse based on your ideas! My script can visualize any period and assets available on Yahoo Finance (stocks, indices, etc.) Suggest one of these (3 lines total): - Track one asset with accrued dividends - Compare two assets with reinvested dividends - Show a basket of assets vs another basket of assets Drop your suggestions below, and I’ll create a custom video for you! What assets or time periods do you want to see?

Bitcoin vs. Gold: $100/Month Investment (2017–2025) This short timelapse tracks $100 monthly investments in $BTC and Gold from February 2017 to June 2025 I chose February 2017 because Bitcoin’s price first matched one ounce of gold (~$1,200), a milestone that sparked widespread interest With $10,100 invested per asset, here’s how they performed: - Bitcoin: Grew to $151,083, yielding a $140,983 return and a 37.95% CAGR - Gold: Reached $22,387, with a $12,287 return and a 9.93% CAGR Check out the timelapse to see their growth! 📈

So far it looks good that the order block between €420-€440 for LVMH $MC has served as support as planned So far it is +7% since this post xitter.cf/creepzander/status/193… I hope that it will not just remain a bounce, but that a turnaround will be initiated over time. It should be noted that such a turnaround can take longer after such a sharp drop From a technical point of view, it was a perfect point for a bounce. In the picture you can see that it was exactly the point where the price topped before Rona and where there was a very strong breakout after Rona Now the price has made a round trip and tested this area again At such points there is often a counter-reaction as in this case

The negative series of terrible earnings reactions from $NKE ended today with a massive +15% gain xitter.cf/creepzander/status/193… Now it's a matter of overcoming the bearish order block in Chart 1 between $82 and $90 in the coming months If successful, it would be a very strong confirmation of a possible turnaround As can be seen in Chart 2, the 0.236 Fib retracement is around $82, which confirms this important zone Do you think this was the starting point of the turnaround, or will we see prices of $50 again? I actually tried to use AI before the earnings to look for signs of a possible positive earnings reaction, but to no avail. Unfortunately, even with AI, the reaction to stock earnings remains very difficult to predict 😅

Today, LVMH $MC reached its target order block of €420–€440 as planned I hope this will now serve as support xitter.cf/creepzander/status/192… Insiders close to the Arnault family have recently bought a lot of additional shares and will soon hold more than 50% of the shares If this target is reached, they will be able to make strategic decisions more easily The PE ratio is currently around 17.4. During the financial crisis, it fell to 10 in the short term There is therefore still some room for downward movement, but I hope that this will not happen this time

$NKE has had a negative reaction to earnings six times in a row now The current implied options move @earnings_watch is currently at +/-8.1% Will this terrible streak be broken today?

📉 $PEP is down ~35% from its peak, a drawdown last seen in Nov 2008’s financial crisis (see chart) Investing $100/month since then? Here’s what you’d have by May 2025: 💵 Invested: $19,900 📊 Total Value: $48,143 - Stock Value: $37,098 - Dividends: $11,045 🚀 Return: $28,243 (CAGR: 5.40%) 💸 Dividend Yield on Capital: 7.6% (dividends vs. invested amount) $PEP performance is average, but it’s a dividend gem Problem in last years? Growth relies on shrinkflation, not innovation Is this a buying opportunity for dividend hunters? 👇

Just love the concept of order blocks Almost hit the bottom on $AMD with +45% in around 114 days and hit the exact bottom on $CACI and almost +40% in 114 days xitter.cf/creepzander/status/189…

📈 Saving for retirement is a must today! Since 2001 $500/month in $VTI grew $143,500 to $714,059 by May 2025 – with 0 research $VTI tracks US market; MSCI World ETFs should perform similarly. Despite 2000–2010 "lost decade," it hit a 7.13% CAGR See it in this time-lapse! 👇