
Quant Researcher @minara · Factors · CTA · AI strategy research · NFA ⭐️Join our free community, built by traders for traders:https://teapawt.net/t.co/oBpwx5jeRA⭐️
Minara
Joined March 2023
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$BTC around U.S. midterms:
2018: −51% into the low → +247% after
2022: −15% into the low → +89% after
2026: election-day close $77,454. The chart stops here.
Dump. Bottom. Rip.
Does history rhyme a third time?
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👀 My current BTC view
• Short term: neutral to slightly bearish. There’s a bounce, but price hasn’t cleared the resistance zone yet.
• Medium term: the rebound structure is still intact. Unless BTC decisively breaks below $79,800 on the daily, it’s too early to call another major leg down.
📈 Bullish confirmation: reclaim $84,800 on the daily with strong volume, then hold it.
📉 Bearish confirmation: a decisive daily break below $79,800.
📍 The key level that would change my view is $84,800—can BTC reclaim it and hold above it?
For now, I see buyers defending the $80k area and resistance around $84k–$85k. Still a range waiting for direction. One intraday bounce isn’t enough to confirm a trend reversal.
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$BTC #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
After merging 2 Top official strategies of Minara with regime, live test for just 5 days:
minara.ai/app/strategy/detai…
minara.ai/app/strategy/detai…
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After SK Hynix and Micron experiencing ~50% drawdowns, an interesting pattern emerged⬇️
From the start of this memory bull market (Apr 2025 → now) and the earlier breakout (Aug 2024 → now), Fibonacci retracement levels appeared to mark key support zones.
During tonight’s selloff, both stocks bottomed almost precisely at major Fib levels (0.5 / 0.618 / 0.786) across different timeframes, then bounced sharply.
Coincidence, or did Fibonacci once again identify the bottom?
Keep a close eye on tech fundamentals and the Fed’s next moves in the coming weeks.
We can create a model to follow correlation of price and funding rate to adjust arbitrage position dynamically.
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A -0.2% Funding Rate means A 2000% APY for long position of $CXMT
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What's the difference bitween Sharpe and Calmar?
Why they are the most important indicator in quant?🧐
Sharpe → optimize for smoothness & scalability
Calmar → optimize for survival & robustness
Both together → define a “tradable” strategy
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A nice Long on $WTI, and I guess Trump would try his best to end war this weekend, which might fall.
Anyway I just close this Long position, waiting for any large collapse of crypto market to buy.
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Version 2.0 of my Regime system accurately captured the downtrend and took profit right at the bottom.🤔














