#NBAtwitter Data Analysis and NBA First Basket Plays - Up 100 units over last 4 seasons.

Indy
Joined January 2021
Thanks for following along this season- I've enjoyed the interaction with all of you. Posted my fewest plays in a long time, but am proud of the result acheived this year. Hopefully you found the data provided useful to you.
4
48
24,633
Game data and a play for Wednesday night. I like CLE to win the tip and score first tonight. WAS is weakest in the league vs C position for first baskets. DK at 0.5 units each Jarrett Allen +610 Donovan Mitchell +700 Will add quickpickbot links below.
4
5
52
5,789
PG strikes again!!!
Going back to the Celtics tonight for first baskets 0.5 units each DK- Mitchell Robinson +720 FD- Paul George +500 Quickpickbot links below. 7:30pm start
12
79
10,128
Going back to the Celtics tonight for first baskets 0.5 units each DK- Mitchell Robinson +720 FD- Paul George +500 Quickpickbot links below. 7:30pm start
3
1
37
16,459
Game and Player data for Tuesday. Thru 1 week of the season, free plays have risked 6.8 units with a profit of 2.9 units for a 42% ROI. Jumpers listed in green have the most likely chance to win the tip tonight. Might be back with a play later today.
2
6
72
15,498
No matter how likely Wemby is to score first, I can't bet him at his current odds (+240 to +270). This implies roughly a 40% chance to score first.
3
7
4,070
PG with a first basket!
Game data and a play for Monday. Will add Player data this afternoon. BOS and MIA have the biggest tip-off advantage tonight. I like BOS to score first. Tatum scored 1st team basket in both games this yr. 0.5 units each. B365- Tatum +600 FD - George +500
6
2
75
12,743
Player data for Monday Dropped Tatum/PG as plays earlier today. Adding 1 more. FD - Adebayo +550 risk 0.5 units (not adding another player here) DAL is 2nd worst team in league allowing C to score first basket in 33% of games. Quickpickbot link below
4
3
31
11,992
Game data and a play for Monday. Will add Player data this afternoon. BOS and MIA have the biggest tip-off advantage tonight. I like BOS to score first. Tatum scored 1st team basket in both games this yr. 0.5 units each. B365- Tatum +600 FD - George +500
2
1
57
20,075
Damn- hate seeing injuries like this.
Jalen Williams has suffered a serious ankle injury, and they are bringing out the stretcher Sending prayers. 🙏
3
1
12
13,240
Pacers win the tip. Siakam misses a 3 but Zubac makes a running layup for a first basket!!
Pacers-Nets play I think Zubac wins the tip. Risking 0.5 units each DK - Siakam +620 FD - Zubac +650
7
61
14,776
Pacers-Nets play I think Zubac wins the tip. Risking 0.5 units each DK - Siakam +620 FD - Zubac +650
2
2
1
39
20,475
Game and Player data for Sunday. Might be back with a play early this evening. Nothing stands out to me at the moment. A couple of backup centers starting took away the few I thought there was an edge.
1
1
32
11,571
Nba.com is the source of truth for all first baskets. First basket bets include free throws. If you bet 1st FG, Watson hit it.
9
2
80
25,088
Interesting. Usually they get it right. I was watching the game so didn’t look until comments popped up. All good.
1
4
3,135
Jarrett Allen gets fouled and makes a free throw for a first basket!!!
Playing Cavs first basket tonight for 0.5 units each Bet365 - Mobley +550 FD - Allen +470 Nets gave up first basket to C or F position LY in 73% of games. I calculate probabilites of 28% for Allen and 19% for Mobley. Good luck if you tail!
14
3
1
62
14,132