I’ll have a summarization post at the end of today for what the closing line value was for the picks this weeks, their results and P&L

So far up to this point every single pick placed today has closed positively!

Third bet of the day. Slight positive CLV on the over in Hawaii vs Wyoming So far 3/3 on positive CLV

Second bet of the day also close positive UCLA moneyline strong positive CLV. 2/2 positive closes for the day so far

Good closing line value on our first bet of the day, Toledo Moneyline closes +9.70% CLV

Rip, -0.69 units. So far 1-1 on the week and -0.34 units

Brutality at its finest on the California moneyline CLV Will the model prevail against the market??

Liberty cashes✅ +0.34 Units

Solid CLV to start this weeks slate Liberty Moneyline showing solid closing line value!

⚠️ NOTES • All bets cleared a 2% conservative EV floor after historical calibration • 15% model-market agreement filter applied • Long-odds ML dogs (>+300) excluded — insufficient historical data • Spreads excluded — raw model historically underperforms on spreads Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

🎯 TIER C BETS (smaller edges) 1️⃣1️⃣ Boise St / W Michigan Over 47.5 (-110) Conservative EV: +4.68% | Stake: 0.38u 1️⃣2️⃣ Liberty ML (-120) vs Coastal Car Conservative EV: +4.38% | Stake: 0.39u 1️⃣3️⃣ UMass ML (-238) vs Sacramento St Conservative EV: +2.60% | Stake: 0.46u

🎯 TIER B BETS (cont.) 7️⃣ Florida ML (-135) vs Mississippi Calibrated: 65.36% | Break-even: 57.45% Conservative EV: +7.32% Stake: 0.73u 8️⃣ TCU ML (-155) vs UCF Calibrated: 68.72% | Break-even: 60.78% Conservative EV: +7.11% Stake: 0.82u 9️⃣ Fresno St / Rice Over 43.5 (-110) Calibrated: 59.66% | Break-even: 52.38% Conservative EV: +6.61% Stake: 0.54u 🔟 Toledo ML (-115) vs San Diego St Calibrated: 60.53% | Break-even: 53.49% Conservative EV: +6.06% Stake: 0.52u

🎯 TIER B BETS 4️⃣ UCLA ML (-130) vs Maryland Calibrated: 65.74% | Break-even: 56.52% Conservative EV: +9.78% Stake: 0.94u 5️⃣ Iowa / Michigan Over 37.5 (-110) Calibrated: 61.19% | Break-even: 52.38% Conservative EV: +9.57% Stake: 0.78u 6️⃣ California ML (-110) vs Clemson Calibrated: 60.48% | Break-even: 52.38% Conservative EV: +8.20% Stake: 0.67u

🎯 TIER A BETS (highest conviction) 1️⃣ Hawai'i / Wyoming Over 44.5 (-110) Calibrated: 64.94% | Break-even: 52.38% Conservative EV: +16.88% Stake: 1.19u 2️⃣ Oklahoma St / West Virginia Under 59.5 (-110) Calibrated: 63.78% | Break-even: 52.38% Conservative EV: +14.62% Stake: 1.19u 3️⃣ Oklahoma / Georgia Under 45.5 (-110) Calibrated: 62.63% | Break-even: 52.38% Conservative EV: +12.39% Stake: 1.01u

📊 SATURDAY (3/3) Washington 25 – Minnesota 18 Florida 34 – Mississippi 32 Mississippi St 29 – Missouri 26 SMU 34 – Missouri St 20 Georgia St 31 – N Illinois 20 Nebraska 30 – Michigan St 22 New Mexico 25 – New Mexico St 19 Notre Dame 39 – Purdue 20 Georgia 26 – Oklahoma 19 West Virginia 30 – Oklahoma St 22 USC 34 – Oregon 27 Oregon St 27 – UTEP 22 Fresno St 32 – Rice 14

📊 SATURDAY PREDICTIONS (2/2) Hawai'i 25 – Wyoming 20 Houston 30 – Georgia So 25 Ohio St 34 – Illinois 17 Iowa 20 – Michigan 19 J Madison 26 – Old Dominion 20 Kansas St 27 – Cincinnati 25 Arkansas St 26 – Kennesaw St 24 Louisiana 28 – Charlotte 22 Jacksonville St 26 – Middle Tenn 25 More →

📊 SATURDAY PREDICTIONS (1/2) Arizona 28 – Washington St 19 Kent St 21 – Ball St 21 W Michigan 25 – Boise St 22 Miami (OH) 31 – C Michigan 15 Baylor 30 – Colorado 20 UTSA 27 – Colorado St 25 Virginia 30 – Delaware 22 FAU 31 – UL Monroe 26 Georgia Tech 29 – Stanford 23 More →

📊 MODEL PREDICTED SCORES Thursday Liberty 29 – Coastal Car 22 Friday Clemson 25 – California 25 Army 28 – Temple 27 UAB 28 – Navy 28 Indiana 27 – Northwestern 18 Nevada 32 – Air Force 25 Saturday's slate in next post →

📊 SATURDAY PREDICTIONS (2/2) Hawai'i 25 – Wyoming 20 Houston 30 – Georgia So 25 Ohio St 34 – Illinois 17 Iowa 20 – Michigan 19 J Madison 26 – Old Dominion 20 Kansas St 27 – Cincinnati 25 Arkansas St 26 – Kennesaw St 24 Louisiana 28 – Charlotte 22 Jacksonville St 26 – Middle Tenn 25 More →

🧵 WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL — MODEL OUTPUT 173 markets evaluated 13 approved after calibration + risk controls 9.62 units total exposure Every bet cleared: • 15% model-market agreement • 2% conservative EV floor • 0.25 unit minimum stake Full card below 👇