Happy to see this out in @EJPRjournal: ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com…. There are lots of discussions on the so-called "losers of globalization". But: Do citizens actually self-categorize in that way? Who does? And with what consequences? We study this for Germany using @gles_data.

"Decomposing nostalgic deprivation into different dimensions, we find that while social, economic and power deprivation have different antecedents, each predicts populist attitudes and voting behaviour."

This nicely shows that Trump winning all seven swing states was in no way an unexpected scenario given the polling data (and models based on those): In fact, the most likely swing state combination in Nate Silver's prediction model.

Politicians tend to think: "voters are unfair in their retrospective assessments of politicians’ performance, identity oriented rather than policy oriented, retrospective, egocentric, single-issue-focused, leader oriented, relatively uninformed, and oriented to the short term."