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RECEIVING PROPS ARE ALWAYS THE MOST MISPRICED MARKET ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL...
And Packers vs. Panthers could be the PERFECT opportunity to take advantage.
1. Matthew Golden...
No Expert Fantasy Sports retweeted
RECEIVING PROPS ARE ALWAYS THE MOST MISPRICED MARKET ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL...
And Packers vs. Panthers could be the PERFECT opportunity to take advantage.
1. Matthew Golden...
No Expert Fantasy Sports retweeted
Betr is giving new users $200 when they sign up with code NOEXPERT!
Claim your $200 to tail these EXACT picks here: bit.ly/TailWithFree200
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These THREE players will SCORE on Thursday Night Football...
TNF Packers vs. Panthers $25 → $220.
1. Josh Jacobs...
3. Tetairoa McMillan has exceeded 74.5 receiving yards in SIX of his last EIGHT games.
His receiving totals are 85, 81, 75, 101, 17, 192, 86 and 40 yards.
McMillan is averaging 8.4 targets per game and an impressive 2.32 yards per route across 292 routes.
He's also recorded at least 75 receiving yards in FIVE of his last SEVEN games.
We're taking McMillan MORE 74.5 Receiving Yards...
Betr is giving new users $200 when they sign up with code NOEXPERT!
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TNF DATA DUMP 🏈 CAR @ GB, 8:15 PM ET
Lambeau: 53°, clear, wind 7 mph
GB -3.5, total 47.5
PANTHERS
Bryce Young
• 285 pass yds, 38 attempts, 2 TDs a game. 7.5 yds per attempt.
• Better vs zone (8.2 a pass) than man (6.9), and GB plays zone 76% of the time.
• Pressured on 33% of dropbacks, 6.0 a pass when pressured. GB pressures 24.8%.
• 280+ in 5 of 6, the miss was 163 in a 43-13 loss. 10 rush yds or fewer in all 6.
Tetairoa McMillan
• 9.0 targets a game, 25.7% target share, 29% of the air yards.
• GB allows the 6th most yds to outside receivers (124.7 a game), where McMillan runs 72% of his routes.
• First read on 70% of his targets. 4 of 5 contested catches. 7 red-zone targets, 5 end-zone.
• 3.27 yds per route vs Cover 2 (GB's main coverage) vs 2.28 overall, on 40 routes.
• Trend: target share 41%, 26%, 21% the last 3; routes 39, 35, 29.
Jalen Coker
• 7.8 targets a game, 23% share. Gets a target on 26.7% of routes.
• GB allows the 3rd fewest yds to the slot (39.0 a game), where Coker runs 45% of his routes.
• Only 1.24 yds per route vs Cover 2 (25 routes).
• 138, 66, 18, 97, 9.
Chuba Hubbard
• 16 carries, 76.5 rush yds a game. 5.0 a carry on zone runs, 4.5 on gap runs.
• His most-used gaps (middle 28%, left guard 18%) are 2 of GB's toughest (27th and 29th).
• Goal line: 13 red-zone carries, 4 inside the 5, 6 TDs.
• 15 catches on 18 targets. GB allows the 8th most yds to backfield receivers (37.0 a game).
Darren Waller
• 35-53% of snaps, 3.8 targets a game. 3 TDs, 3 end-zone targets.
• GB allows the FEWEST TE yds in the NFL (32.9 a game) and the 3rd fewest to the slot (39.0), where Waller runs 56% of his routes.
• 0.30 yds per route vs Cover 2 (24 routes).
Tommy Tremble
• 3.5 targets a game, 76% catchable.
• GB allows the FEWEST TE yds, and the 3rd fewest to the slot, where Tremble runs 38% of his routes.
• 0.19 yds per route vs Cover 2 (16 routes).
John Metchie III
• 3-5 targets in each of his last 4, 19-37 yds.
• GB allows the 3rd fewest yds to the slot, where Metchie runs 53% of his routes.
PACKERS
Jordan Love
• 280 pass yds, 38.7 attempts a game. 2 TDs in 6 of 7, an INT in 5 of 7.
• Much better vs zone (8.1 a pass) than man (5.6), and CAR plays zone 71%.
• Gets it out in 2.60 seconds. 7.0 a pass when pressured. CAR blitzes 37.1% (8th most).
• CAR allows 208.2 pass yds a game (6th fewest) but 27.7 pts (6th most).
Matthew Golden (Q)
• 9.9 targets a game, 25.9% share, 40% of the air yards, 14.2-yd aDOT.
• CAR allows the 14th most yds to outside receivers (111.5 a game), where Golden runs 76% of his routes.
• Target share the last 3: 23%, 33%, 29%. 12+ targets in 4 of 7.
• 13 red-zone targets and 8 end-zone, both team highs. 8 drops.
• 2.56 yds per route vs Cover 3 (CAR's main coverage) on 67 routes.
Christian Watson
• 8.0 targets a game, 85 yds, 2.64 yds per route, 6 TDs.
• CAR allows the 14th most yds to outside receivers (111.5 a game), where Watson runs 73% of his routes.
• First read on 86% of his targets. 8 end-zone targets. 7 of 14 contested catches.
• 3.40 yds per route vs Cover 3 on 58 routes. Longest catch 28+ in 5 of 7.
Tucker Kraft
• 6.1 targets, 4.1 catches, 42.4 yds a game. 59% of his yards come after the catch, with 5 missed tackles forced.
• 8 designed targets (screens, schemed looks). 8 red-zone targets.
• 2.29 yds per route vs Cover 3 vs 1.53 overall (52 routes).
• CAR allows TEs 46.3 yds a game (14th fewest).
Josh Jacobs
• Back last week: 52% of snaps, 11 carries for 36, 5 catches for 55 on 7 targets (35% of his routes drew a target).
• 3 red-zone carries, 1 TD. 87 on 17 carries vs CAR last season.
• CAR allows 5.4 a carry on zone runs and 5.1 on gap runs, both top 3.
MarShawn Lloyd
• 7.7 carries a game, 2.6 a carry. 6 carries with Jacobs back.
• His most-used gaps (right tackle, middle) are CAR's 1st and 2nd softest.
• 13 red-zone carries, 9 inside the 10, 3 TDs.
Savion Williams
• 2 games, 53-60% of snaps, caught all 7 targets.
• CAR allows the 2nd fewest yds to the slot (35.7 a game), where Williams runs 62% of his routes.
• Next up if Golden sits.
HOW THE DEFENSES PLAY
GB: mostly zone (man only 24% of snaps, 5th least). Cover 2 most (34.5%), then Cover 3 (21.7%). Pressure 24.8% (9th least). Allows the 2nd most WR catches (14.1 a game), 6th most to outside WRs (124.7 yds), 3rd fewest to the slot (39.0), FEWEST to TEs (32.9). Tough on gap runs (3.7 a carry, 6th fewest).
CAR: also zone-heavy (man 28.6%). Cover 3 most (31%), then Cover 1 (23.3%). Blitzes 37.1% (8th most). Allows the MOST RB rush yds (126.8 a game): 5.4 a carry on zone runs (2nd most), 5.1 on gap runs (3rd most). 2nd fewest to the slot (35.7 a game).
INJURIES
CAR: G Damien Lewis, G Torricelli Simpkins, LB Jaelan Phillips (RT Taylor Moton IR)
GB: Micah Parsons, G Sean Rhyan, LB Zaire Franklin | Q: Matthew Golden
No Expert Fantasy Sports retweeted
Replying to @NoExpertFS
Last night's calls were insane. Love the type of analysis you do. Def joining discord if ur statistics help me win tonight
TNF DATA DUMP 🏈 CAR @ GB, 8:15 PM ET
Lambeau: 53°, clear, wind 7 mph
GB -3.5, total 47.5
PANTHERS
Bryce Young
• 285 pass yds, 38 attempts, 2 TDs a game. 7.5 yds per attempt.
• Better vs zone (8.2 a pass) than man (6.9), and GB plays zone 76% of the time.
• Pressured on 33% of dropbacks, 6.0 a pass when pressured. GB pressures 24.8%.
• 280+ in 5 of 6, the miss was 163 in a 43-13 loss. 10 rush yds or fewer in all 6.
Tetairoa McMillan
• 9.0 targets a game, 25.7% target share, 29% of the air yards.
• GB allows the 6th most yds to outside receivers (124.7 a game), where McMillan runs 72% of his routes.
• First read on 70% of his targets. 4 of 5 contested catches. 7 red-zone targets, 5 end-zone.
• 3.27 yds per route vs Cover 2 (GB's main coverage) vs 2.28 overall, on 40 routes.
• Trend: target share 41%, 26%, 21% the last 3; routes 39, 35, 29.
Jalen Coker
• 7.8 targets a game, 23% share. Gets a target on 26.7% of routes.
• GB allows the 3rd fewest yds to the slot (39.0 a game), where Coker runs 45% of his routes.
• Only 1.24 yds per route vs Cover 2 (25 routes).
• 138, 66, 18, 97, 9.
Chuba Hubbard
• 16 carries, 76.5 rush yds a game. 5.0 a carry on zone runs, 4.5 on gap runs.
• His most-used gaps (middle 28%, left guard 18%) are 2 of GB's toughest (27th and 29th).
• Goal line: 13 red-zone carries, 4 inside the 5, 6 TDs.
• 15 catches on 18 targets. GB allows the 8th most yds to backfield receivers (37.0 a game).
Darren Waller
• 35-53% of snaps, 3.8 targets a game. 3 TDs, 3 end-zone targets.
• GB allows the FEWEST TE yds in the NFL (32.9 a game) and the 3rd fewest to the slot (39.0), where Waller runs 56% of his routes.
• 0.30 yds per route vs Cover 2 (24 routes).
Tommy Tremble
• 3.5 targets a game, 76% catchable.
• GB allows the FEWEST TE yds, and the 3rd fewest to the slot, where Tremble runs 38% of his routes.
• 0.19 yds per route vs Cover 2 (16 routes).
John Metchie III
• 3-5 targets in each of his last 4, 19-37 yds.
• GB allows the 3rd fewest yds to the slot, where Metchie runs 53% of his routes.
PACKERS
Jordan Love
• 280 pass yds, 38.7 attempts a game. 2 TDs in 6 of 7, an INT in 5 of 7.
• Much better vs zone (8.1 a pass) than man (5.6), and CAR plays zone 71%.
• Gets it out in 2.60 seconds. 7.0 a pass when pressured. CAR blitzes 37.1% (8th most).
• CAR allows 208.2 pass yds a game (6th fewest) but 27.7 pts (6th most).
Matthew Golden (Q)
• 9.9 targets a game, 25.9% share, 40% of the air yards, 14.2-yd aDOT.
• CAR allows the 14th most yds to outside receivers (111.5 a game), where Golden runs 76% of his routes.
• Target share the last 3: 23%, 33%, 29%. 12+ targets in 4 of 7.
• 13 red-zone targets and 8 end-zone, both team highs. 8 drops.
• 2.56 yds per route vs Cover 3 (CAR's main coverage) on 67 routes.
Christian Watson
• 8.0 targets a game, 85 yds, 2.64 yds per route, 6 TDs.
• CAR allows the 14th most yds to outside receivers (111.5 a game), where Watson runs 73% of his routes.
• First read on 86% of his targets. 8 end-zone targets. 7 of 14 contested catches.
• 3.40 yds per route vs Cover 3 on 58 routes. Longest catch 28+ in 5 of 7.
Tucker Kraft
• 6.1 targets, 4.1 catches, 42.4 yds a game. 59% of his yards come after the catch, with 5 missed tackles forced.
• 8 designed targets (screens, schemed looks). 8 red-zone targets.
• 2.29 yds per route vs Cover 3 vs 1.53 overall (52 routes).
• CAR allows TEs 46.3 yds a game (14th fewest).
Josh Jacobs
• Back last week: 52% of snaps, 11 carries for 36, 5 catches for 55 on 7 targets (35% of his routes drew a target).
• 3 red-zone carries, 1 TD. 87 on 17 carries vs CAR last season.
• CAR allows 5.4 a carry on zone runs and 5.1 on gap runs, both top 3.
MarShawn Lloyd
• 7.7 carries a game, 2.6 a carry. 6 carries with Jacobs back.
• His most-used gaps (right tackle, middle) are CAR's 1st and 2nd softest.
• 13 red-zone carries, 9 inside the 10, 3 TDs.
Savion Williams
• 2 games, 53-60% of snaps, caught all 7 targets.
• CAR allows the 2nd fewest yds to the slot (35.7 a game), where Williams runs 62% of his routes.
• Next up if Golden sits.
HOW THE DEFENSES PLAY
GB: mostly zone (man only 24% of snaps, 5th least). Cover 2 most (34.5%), then Cover 3 (21.7%). Pressure 24.8% (9th least). Allows the 2nd most WR catches (14.1 a game), 6th most to outside WRs (124.7 yds), 3rd fewest to the slot (39.0), FEWEST to TEs (32.9). Tough on gap runs (3.7 a carry, 6th fewest).
CAR: also zone-heavy (man 28.6%). Cover 3 most (31%), then Cover 1 (23.3%). Blitzes 37.1% (8th most). Allows the MOST RB rush yds (126.8 a game): 5.4 a carry on zone runs (2nd most), 5.1 on gap runs (3rd most). 2nd fewest to the slot (35.7 a game).
INJURIES
CAR: G Damien Lewis, G Torricelli Simpkins, LB Jaelan Phillips (RT Taylor Moton IR)
GB: Micah Parsons, G Sean Rhyan, LB Zaire Franklin | Q: Matthew Golden
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL COULD BE A PLAYER PROP GOLDMINE...
Packers vs. Panthers has FIVE player props worth targeting for a potential $2,800 PAYDAY.
Turn $200 into $2,800 with this TNF parlay:
Bryce Young MORE 252.5 Passing Yards...
Replying to @NoExpertFS
Betr is giving new users $200 when they sign up with code NOEXPERT!
Claim your $200 to tail these EXACT picks here: bit.ly/TailWithFree200
No Expert Fantasy Sports retweeted
Week 8 SMASH Starts for Fantasy Football…
Get these guys in your lineup ASAP:
No Expert Fantasy Sports retweeted
My Week 8 MUST START Players:
(#4 is going to takeover the RB1 role)










