N/A

California, USA
Joined November 2016
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First Squawk
@FirstSquawkJul 29
MICROSOFT CEO SAYS THE NUMBER OF ENTERPRISE CUSTOMERS DEPLOYING COPILOT TO THE MAJORITY OF INFORMATION WORKERS GREW NEARLY 75% QOQ, WITH COPILOT REVENUE ACCELERATING OVER 60% QOQ - CONF CALL
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First Squawk
@FirstSquawkJun 27
JAPAN’S $76 BILLION U.S. TREASURY SALE HIGHLIGHTS FOREIGN EXIT FROM U.S. DEBT MARKET Japan sold $76 billion of U.S. Treasuries in a single month, while Turkey’s foreign exchange reserves have fallen nearly 83% year over year, highlighting continued pressure on overseas holders of U.S. assets.
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First Squawk
@FirstSquawkJun 16
BOJ Raises Short-Term Interest Rate Target To 1.00% From 0.75%
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DeepSeek
@deepseek_aiApr 24
🚀 DeepSeek-V4 Preview is officially live & open-sourced! Welcome to the era of cost-effective 1M context length. 🔹 DeepSeek-V4-Pro: 1.6T total / 49B active params. Performance rivaling the world's top closed-source models. 🔹 DeepSeek-V4-Flash: 284B total / 13B active params. Your fast, efficient, and economical choice. Try it now at chat.deepseek.com via Expert Mode / Instant Mode. API is updated & available today! 📄 Tech Report: huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/D… 🤗 Open Weights: huggingface.co/collections/d… 1/n
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OSINTdefender
@sentdefenderMar 26
According to U.S. President Donald J. Trump, the 5 day pause on U.S. strikes on Iranian energy and power infrastructure, at the request of the Iranians, has been extended to 10 days, ending April 6, 2026 at 8 P.M. est.
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可以看这个网站查霍尔木兹海峡的当前船流量, 不是实时的, 因为不同的船的数据 last updated timestamp 不同, 我看了下正在过海峡的船基本都是至少一小时前的位置报告, 而我圈的这两坨明显的船舶聚集区域很多都是几分钟之前报告的位置, 也就是说目前海峡确实被封锁了, 这些船在海峡外面等待局势缓和的消息, 这就是伊朗如何封锁海峡, 它不需要实质性的打击, 只需要告诉全世界的船你只要过这里就准备好可能被袭击. 这个口子只有40 KM 宽, 即使是火箭弹都能覆盖的距离, 没有地面部队进入阻止伊朗, 伊朗想封锁海峡只是一句话的事情.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/hom…
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First Squawk
@FirstSquawkFeb 6
Americans in Iran Told to Depart “Now,” Warns U.S. Embassy
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Elizabeth Warren has written a letter to Sam Altman to ensure that OpenAI will not seek a government bailout if it does not turn a profit.
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中国房地产报:房企“三道红线” 终结!房地产行业负债水平趋向健康 1月28日,有消息称,多家房地产企业已不再被监管部门要求每月上报“三道红线”相关数据,仅部分出险房企需向总部所在城市的风险处置专班组定期汇报资产负债率等核心财务指标。一家大型央企相关负责人表示:“其他企业不清楚,但我们没有被要求按月报送相关指标。”一家混合制房企内部人士也表示,并未收到相关报送要求。受访的两家出险房企也表达了类似意思。 总体来看,“三道红线”政策已经基本退出房地产行业发展舞台。“随着行业变化,银行对民营房企的贷款近几年已经降到底,该出清的也都出清了。原有的‘三道红线’政策在当前背景下失去了意义和对象。”上述出险房企总裁表示。
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In his search for a new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, @POTUS has been very deliberate. He has asked exactly the questions that markets would want asked: Who can bring the board along with them? Who has the gravitas? Who can bring some order to this sprawling institution? And who is going to have an open, Greenspan-like mind? Our nation can see productivity boom like we did in the ’90s when we are not encumbered by a Federal Reserve which throws the brakes on things because they’re alarmed by a high GDP number. GDP is likely to surprise on the upside, and it’s feasible to believe that we could have a 7–8% nominal GDP number. And if so, the important thing is that it’s going to drive noninflationary, disinflationary growth.
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.@SecScottBessent: "It's going to be through growth... In the first two quarters, we are going to see the inflation curve bend down and the real income curve substantially accelerate — and when those two lines cross, Americans are going to feel it."
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BREAKING: Pentagon orders USS Abraham Lincoln & its Carrier Strike Group of destroyers to head from the South China Sea toward Iran.
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I spoke with someone close to the tariff decision that suggested the most likely outcome in his opinion: "SCOTUS will determine that Trump exceeded his powers through IEPPA tariffs, but they will let the tariffs stand to avoid potential chaos and economic problems that unraveling them could cause. They will, however, forbid Trump from using IEPPA to levy tariffs in the future." There is a precedent from SCOTUS on an immigration issue earlier in the term
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Replying to @TJ_Research @grok
Full answer
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BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇻🇪 President Trump says Nicolas Maduro and his wife have been captured and flown out of Venezuela.
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk27 Dec 2025
Replying to @JessePeltan
This is not good. Silver is needed in many industrial processes.
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First Squawk
@FirstSquawk2 Dec 2025
TRUMP: WE WILL START DRUG STRIKES ON LAND SOON AND WILL HIT TRAFFICKERS IF NEEDED
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Sam Altman
@sama6 Nov 2025
I would like to clarify a few things. First, the obvious one: we do not have or want government guarantees for OpenAI datacenters. We believe that governments should not pick winners or losers, and that taxpayers should not bail out companies that make bad business decisions or otherwise lose in the market. If one company fails, other companies will do good work. What we do think might make sense is governments building (and owning) their own AI infrastructure, but then the upside of that should flow to the government as well. We can imagine a world where governments decide to offtake a lot of computing power and get to decide how to use it, and it may make sense to provide lower cost of capital to do so. Building a strategic national reserve of computing power makes a lot of sense. But this should be for the government’s benefit, not the benefit of private companies. The one area where we have discussed loan guarantees is as part of supporting the buildout of semiconductor fabs in the US, where we and other companies have responded to the government’s call and where we would be happy to help (though we did not formally apply). The basic idea there has been ensuring that the sourcing of the chip supply chain is as American as possible in order to bring jobs and industrialization back to the US, and to enhance the strategic position of the US with an independent supply chain, for the benefit of all American companies. This is of course different from governments guaranteeing private-benefit datacenter buildouts. There are at least 3 “questions behind the question” here that are understandably causing concern. First, “How is OpenAI going to pay for all this infrastructure it is signing up for?” We expect to end this year above $20 billion in annualized revenue run rate and grow to hundreds of billion by 2030. We are looking at commitments of about $1.4 trillion over the next 8 years. Obviously this requires continued revenue growth, and each doubling is a lot of work! But we are feeling good about our prospects there; we are quite excited about our upcoming enterprise offering for example, and there are categories like new consumer devices and robotics that we also expect to be very significant. But there are also new categories we have a hard time putting specifics on like AI that can do scientific discovery, which we will touch on later. We are also looking at ways to more directly sell compute capacity to other companies (and people); we are pretty sure the world is going to need a lot of “AI cloud”, and we are excited to offer this. We may also raise more equity or debt capital in the future. But everything we currently see suggests that the world is going to need a great deal more computing power than what we are already planning for. Second, “Is OpenAI trying to become too big to fail, and should the government pick winners and losers?” Our answer on this is an unequivocal no. If we screw up and can’t fix it, we should fail, and other companies will continue on doing good work and servicing customers. That’s how capitalism works and the ecosystem and economy would be fine. We plan to be a wildly successful company, but if we get it wrong, that’s on us. Our CFO talked about government financing yesterday, and then later clarified her point underscoring that she could have phrased things more clearly. As mentioned above, we think that the US government should have a national strategy for its own AI infrastructure. Tyler Cowen asked me a few weeks ago about the federal government becoming the insurer of last resort for AI, in the sense of risks (like nuclear power) not about overbuild. I said “I do think the government ends up as the insurer of last resort, but I think I mean that in a different way than you mean that, and I don’t expect them to actually be writing the policies in the way that maybe they do for nuclear”. Again, this was in a totally different context than datacenter buildout, and not about bailing out a company. What we were talking about is something going catastrophically wrong—say, a rogue actor using an AI to coordinate a large-scale cyberattack that disrupts critical infrastructure—and how intentional misuse of AI could cause harm at a scale that only the government could deal with. I do not think the government should be writing insurance policies for AI companies. Third, “Why do you need to spend so much now, instead of growing more slowly?”. We are trying to build the infrastructure for a future economy powered by AI, and given everything we see on the horizon in our research program, this is the time to invest to be really scaling up our technology. Massive infrastructure projects take quite awhile to build, so we have to start now. Based on the trends we are seeing of how people are using AI and how much of it they would like to use, we believe the risk to OpenAI of not having enough computing power is more significant and more likely than the risk of having too much. Even today, we and others have to rate limit our products and not offer new features and models because we face such a severe compute constraint. In a world where AI can make important scientific breakthroughs but at the cost of tremendous amounts of computing power, we want to be ready to meet that moment. And we no longer think it’s in the distant future. Our mission requires us to do what we can to not wait many more years to apply AI to hard problems, like contributing to curing deadly diseases, and to bring the benefits of AGI to people as soon as possible. Also, we want a world of abundant and cheap AI. We expect massive demand for this technology, and for it to improve people’s lives in many ways. It is a great privilege to get to be in the arena, and to have the conviction to take a run at building infrastructure at such scale for something so important. This is the bet we are making, and given our vantage point, we feel good about it. But we of course could be wrong, and the market—not the government—will deal with it if we are.
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SRF/贴现窗≥50–100B连续多日 SOFR/GC-IOER 上跳 ≥10–15bp 且两三天不下降 国债拍卖长尾频繁,期现/基差扭曲 HY OAS ≥400–500bp、IG OAS显著抬升 DXY上台阶 + 5y TIPS上行同时发生 出现两条以上则出现流动性危机,现在算是几条加起来占据了0.5条。
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*Walter Bloomberg
@DeItaone30 Oct 2025
US BANK RESERVES FALL TO $2.8 TLN, LOWEST SINCE 2020
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