Alex Wu (@OnchainU) profile picture

Independent market analyst focused on crypto, DeFi, perps & FX. Driven by data. Sharing market insights, strategies, and my journey.

Joined August 2024
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Just added @variational_io to CostDepth 🔥 Now you can track Variational live: • real cost of any trade, $1k to $1M • funding rates • side by side with Hyperliquid, Lighter, Binance and more costdepth.io/variational-fee…
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Alex Wu retweeted
Replying to @JustinCBram
Only VAR can save us TGE TODAY I BEG YOU
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Thisbis actually huge for Variational. gVAR
Open interest limits on all TradFi perps are now 3 times higher. This increase comes from OLP improvements in today's mainnet release. Limits will continue to climb as OLP and the platform mature.
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Open interest limits on all TradFi perps are now 3 times higher. This increase comes from OLP improvements in today's mainnet release. Limits will continue to climb as OLP and the platform mature.
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Alex Wu retweeted
robinhood. interactive brokers. that's who @variational_io says it's competing with long term not other perp dex’s. brokers zero fees, one account for stocks + crypto + etfs +pre-ipo etc….. legacy finance is dying teapawt.net/variational_io/status/…
"We see ourselves competing longer term against Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, and other broker-like platforms ... which I do think is the best model for retail trading." - @variational_lvs
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"We see ourselves competing longer term against Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, and other broker-like platforms ... which I do think is the best model for retail trading." - @variational_lvs
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I'm seeing a lot on my timeline around @variational_io . It seems they are creating momentum and that means the token and points airdrop is probably coming sooner than we think. They did say Q4.
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Alex Wu retweeted
Arbitrum is the #2 chain for perps trading. @arbitrum has generated $79.6 BILLION in perps DEX volume in the past 30-days per DefiLlama data. With over $1 billion in open interest, that makes $ARB the #2 chain for perps, after @HyperliquidX itself. The vast majority of this activity is driven by the @variational_io platform.
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why I'm still bullish on @variational_io, in 4 numbers: ~$1.8B open interest (more than Lighter) ~$75B volume in 30 days $12M+ USDC in treasury $487 all-in cost on a $3.96M trade and TradFi routes straight to the big dealers, not a retail broker. quietly cooking 🍳
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it's Sunday. NYSE and Nasdaq are closed. on Hyperliquid, last 24h: $47M traded on a Nasdaq-style index $40M on WTI oil $29M on the S&P 500 $318M across all @tradexyz stock & commodity perps the next perp DEX war isn't about crypto pairs. it's about who owns the weekend.
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top 15 markets on Hyperliquid by open interest right now: 8 of them aren't crypto. S&P 500 $373M Gold $313M Google $286M SK Hynix $272M Brent $212M Silver $212M all bigger than $XRP ($196M). all via @tradexyz. Hyperliquid is quietly becoming a stock exchange
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the day Binance got hacked (Oct 29 daily candle): $BTC -4.1% $HYPE +10.4% since Oct 26: HYPE +15.7%, BTC -2.7%. people didn't run from crypto. they ran from custodians.
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perp DEX points farming, my take: most farms make you bleed fees for points. on Variational a trader opened $3.96M last week for $487 all-in. cheap execution + weekly points + TGE set for Q4. that's my farm. omni.variational.io/?ref=OMN… code OMNIKINGNAT 15% boost
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HIP-3 was supposed to be "anyone can launch a perp exchange on Hyperliquid." 10 did. 6 have delisted every single market. @tradexyz holds 97% of all HIP-3 OI ($4.07B). EntropyIO and Paragon are the only others with real money. permissionless ≠ liquidity
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there's $74M of open interest on an Anthropic perp right now. not a token. pre-IPO Anthropic, traded 24/7 on Hyperliquid through @entropyIO (HIP-3). $17M volume today. the OpenAI perp next to it? $6.6M OI. degens already picked their AI lab 👀
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Binance lost $6.3B in a hack this week and withdrawals were paused until this morning. Same week, Hyperliquid passed 3M traders. Self-custody perps stopped being a niche. Which perp DEX are you farming into the next TGE? 👇
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Hyperliquid longs paid ~$22.7M in funding this week (top 23 markets, est. on current OI). $HYPE $7.9M (22%/yr avg) $BTC $6.2M (10%) $ETH $2.0M (5%) $XMR $1.3M (50%) $ZEC $1.2M (11%) HYPE longs paid more than BTC longs on ~60% of the OI.
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$AAVE shorts are paying to stay in, and price is running against them. Hyperliquid funding negative 6 hours straight (-10% to -18%/yr). Binance negative in 5 of its last 6 prints. Price: $119.2 close on hack day (Oct 29) → $136.4 now, +14%. Crowded short into a bounce.
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The funding froth on Hyperliquid just got wiped. Peak (last 24h) → 10:00 UTC settle: $XMR 120% → 11% $ZRO 110% → 45% $HYPE 77% → 11% $UNI 77% → 19% Same morning Binance withdrawals came back. Coincidence or not, longs stopped overpaying.
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