
The Order Book by @tradermayne đź”´LIVE: Tue & Thur - 6pm EST
Joined February 2026
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HUGE! Check out the 1st video of many in the Trader Mayne Bootcamp
Super excited to post the 1st video of a MASSIVE series I have been working on.
There will be over 30 videos in this playlist once it is complete.
I'm calling it the whiteboard series but really it's a price action trading bootcamp.
Enjoy!
youtube.com/watch?v=OB5kMepC…
The battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives is just 6 days away.
polymarket.com/event/which-p…
On November 3, Americans will vote in the 2026 midterm elections, with all 435 House seats up for grabs.
Current market odds:
🔵 Democratic Party: 92%
đź”´ Republican Party: 9%
The party controlling the House has significant influence over government spending, taxes, financial regulations, and which parts of the president's agenda can move forward. A change in control could reshape Washington's approach to economic policy for the next two years.
Tradermayne outlines some ways to respond to burnout.
"Cut your risk, step away from the charts, log off social media, play sports, start running, spend time with friends and family, go hiking or traveling, take lots of hot baths. As much as it feels like this is the best time to make generational wealth, right now the market will always be here."
Feat. @Tradermayne
Tradermayne reveals that hidden fees could be eating into your returns.
"If you’re in some sort of boilerplate mutual fund through your bank, you don’t realize that these people are eating off of you. They’re eating off of you in management fees. Whether they tell you about the fees or they’re built into the product, you’re getting eaten alive. I highly suggest you take whatever your portfolio is and your banker has you in, pop it in AI and be like, " How can I remake this myself?"
Feat. @Tradermayne
FOMC decision today.
Expected hold at 3.75–4.00% after September’s 25 bp hike. CME FedWatch shows ~90% odds of no change, with December hike probability still elevated (~75%+).
BTC has been chopping around $80–81k into the announcement (brief dip under $80k yesterday). The decision itself is largely priced—the real signal will be in Warsh’s presser and any dissent on the path from here.
Hyperliquid whales flipped net short Bitcoin for the first time since March, per Glassnode.
They had been long near the recent bottom and reversed last week.
BTC is holding the $80k area (briefly dipped under yesterday, now back near $81k) heading into today’s FOMC decision—expected hold after the September hike, with December hike odds still elevated.
Early to a deeper pullback, or fuel for a short squeeze if price holds/turns higher? Positioning is concentrated; liquidations remain relatively light so far.
Tradermayne says $NKE could be due for a bounce.
"So I do believe we’re due for some sort of mean reversion on something like this. And it’s just a matter of where, and I really like this kind of setup where we’re into high-time-frame demand. We’ve tagged that yearly OB or that yearly fair value gap. And now it’s trying to put in some kind of a reversal here. So if we’re able to get, you know, some structure out of this, I think this could be a decent long."
Feat. @Tradermayne
Tradermayne acknowledges that longing $TTWO as GTA releases could be a great opportunity.
"I just think that you want to be long this thing, because this is going to be arguably the biggest video game release of all time. So took out the high. Significant pullback here, 25% off. I think you could be looking to be a buyer on this thing if not already, pretty soon."
Feat. @Tradermayne
Stellar is preparing to introduce quantum-resistant security features to its blockchain.
The network's upcoming Bell (Protocol 30) upgrade is scheduled for November, introducing new capabilities designed to protect smart contracts against future quantum-computing threats.
• Quantum-resistant signatures: Smart contracts will be able to verify ML-DSA signatures, a post-quantum cryptographic standard developed to withstand attacks from sufficiently powerful quantum computers.
• Improved smart accounts: New address functionality will allow businesses, exchanges, and custodians to manage multiple customers through a single smart contract without deploying separate contracts for each user.
• Faster transactions in the future: The upgrade introduces millisecond-level ledger timing, laying the groundwork for faster transaction processing in subsequent upgrades.
Most blockchains rely on cryptographic algorithms that could eventually become vulnerable to sufficiently advanced quantum computers. Quantum computers aren't currently capable of breaking these systems at scale, transitioning to new cryptographic standards could take years.
Stellar is taking an early step toward addressing that risk.
Importantly, this won't make the entire Stellar network quantum-resistant overnight. The initial protections apply to smart-contract authorization, while standard network transactions will continue using existing cryptography.
The timeline:
• November 3 - Testnet upgrade vote
• November 23 - Mainnet upgrade vote
Both upgrades require validator approval.
Tradermayne reveals that you will soon be able to trade perps and predictions simultaneously on @Polymarket.
"You’re going to be able to have a perp position comboed in with a prediction. So perhaps you have a view on the Fed announcement. You think that they’re going to hike rates, and in anticipation of a rate hike, you want to short the S&P 500, or you wanna short Bitcoin, you’re going to be able to do that in one place."
Feat. @Tradermayne
Solana’s tokenized stock holders just hit 1.5 million addresses. An all-time high and roughly 5x since August.
Worth noting the count is addresses, not unique people, and incentives played a role. Still, the growth in onchain equity exposure is hard to ignore while SOL itself has been chopping near $100.
Tradermayne notes that he thinks the market crash will happen after the AI IPOs.
"Wouldn’t it be poetic if the average retail participant finally gets exposure or an opportunity to get exposure to these hyper-growth AI companies. And at that exact moment that, hey, you and your family can now buy is when it’s the absolute pico schmico top, and they just dump it relentlessly. And people who were able to get in early just nuke it on your head."
Feat. @Tradermayne
The Conference Board will release its October Consumer Confidence Index at 10:00 AM ET, offering a fresh look at how Americans feel about the economy, jobs, and their financial situation.
Here's where things stand:
• August: 88.6
• September: 81.9
• October forecast: 80.5
September's reading marked a significant deterioration in sentiment, with consumers becoming increasingly concerned about job availability, rising prices, and their future income.
The report today will show whether that pessimism has continued into October.
Why does it matter?
Consumer spending accounts for roughly two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, making household confidence an important indicator of potential changes in spending behavior.
With the FOMC interest rate decision coming tomorrow, another disappointing reading could add to concerns about the strength of the U.S. economy.
Ripple just got final OCC approval for Ripple National Trust Bank.
Federally supervised now to manage the segregated reserves behind RLUSD, act as collateral trustee for holders, and offer institutional digital-asset custody.
Issuance stays with the existing NYDFS-regulated entity, so RLUSD sits under both state and federal oversight.
“Crypto and banks work better together” in practice. Another piece of the regulated infrastructure stack moving from pitch deck to real charter. 🍿
Tradermayne shares his thoughts on solana:pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn.
"This is literally just a weekly order block retest. Market structure break, order block. If we’re bullish, this thing should put in a low around here. The market’s gonna bounce. This is a great place for it to bounce."
Feat. @Tradermayne
The Order Book retweeted
Most days I don't trade.
That's not a bad day. That IS the job.
Episode 29 of the of the Whiteboard series is live: my exact daily routine, start to finish. Check it out below
Tradermayne questions whether local AI on your phone could affect OpenAI and Anthropic.
"He effectively was telling me that we’re not far from a place where the models that we have today, like 95% of them, are gonna be able to be run locally from your phone. So does that change the required expenditures or the profitability of some of these, and these would be open-source models, not closed-source. Would that change the viability of some of these companies, Anthropic, OpenAI, et cetera?"
Feat. @Tradermayne
Tradermayne illustrates his plan to long near:native.
"Near’s got stuff going on, right. Near’s also absorbed a ton of selling. NEAR is a coin that I like. If we get a pullback on Bitcoin, you can fill some NEAR down here."
Feat. @Tradermayne
Tradermayne says the institutional bid for bitcoin:native has changed the bear/bull market.
"We have the biggest banks, the richest people on the planet, telling you that they think Bitcoin is going to be not just the best asset in the last decade, it’s going to be the best-performing asset in the next decade. And they all want and have exposure to this. And stuff like this is part of why I think we could have had a very truncated and shallow bear market, there is just an institutional bid for Bitcoin. There is institutional interest in Bitcoin."
Feat. @Tradermayne
One of the biggest market weeks of the quarter
and it kicks off with a full moon. 🌕
Major earnings, the FOMC, inflation data, consumer confidence, and GDP, there's no shortage of potential market-moving catalysts.
Here's what's on the calendar:
Monday, October 26
• Verizon earnings
• Cadence Design Systems
• Celestica (CLS)
Tuesday, October 27
• U.S. Consumer Confidence
• Durable Goods Orders
• Boeing, Coca-Cola, Visa, and PayPal earnings
Wednesday, October 28
• FOMC interest rate decision
• Fed Chair press conference
• Microsoft, Alphabet, and Ford earnings
Thursday, October 29
• U.S. Q3 GDP
• PCE Inflation
• Initial Jobless Claims
• Amazon, Intel, Caterpillar, Eli Lilly, and Mastercard earnings
Friday, October 30
• Employment Cost Index
• Chevron, ExxonMobil, and AbbVie earnings
• Bitcoin monthly options expiration
For the moon-cycle traders out there,
here's something interesting.
A historical study covering major U.S. stock indexes and 24 other countries found that stock returns around new moons were roughly twice as high as returns around full moons. That doesn't mean a full moon guarantees a selloff, and the pattern hasn't been consistently established as a reliable trading edge.
Whatever happens, this is one of those weeks where risk management matters more than trying to predict every move. 🍿





