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Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo) profile picture

Peter J Higginbotham

@PeterHiggo

AFL statistics, analysis & forecasts

Joined September 2011
  • Tweets4.2K
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  • Followers4.4K
296Media
Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)Photo by Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
A big shoutout to all Team Punk TDF competitors. May the best team win! #sbstdf
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Updated tables for Round 5. Average Game Score predictions spot on again. Predicting a slight elevation in scoring this week - ave. game score forecast = 163 pts.
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Updated Total Game Scores and Margin tables. Round 4 ave. score was 156.4pts. Expecting a similar outcome for Round 5.
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Updated Total Game Scores & Winning Margin charts. Feel media may be going slightly early on scoring shift. Traditional drop in scores expected for Round 4.
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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A very close friend of mine is offering online maths tuition - significant. Worth a look for those with school aged mathematicians. dojolearn.com/
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Peter J Higginbotham retweeted
The Old Fitzroy (@TheOldFitzroy) profile picture
The Old Fitzroy@TheOldFitzroy23 Jan 2020
Replying to @PeterHiggo
Marks inside 50 and goals both in decline over 20 years. Strong correlation.
Image from The Old Fitzroy (@TheOldFitzroy)
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Time to return to some AFL analysis. Attached is a look at Total Game Scoring and Game Margin trends over the past decade. #AFL #AFLdata #SuperCoach
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Round 10 is an historically low scoring round. 2019 has followed this trend producing the lowest scoring round for the year - Average Total Game Score of 150.3 - the 3rd lowest scoring round in over 10 years. @BFtigercast @Jonesracing82
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Updated Total Game Score infographic; Ade v Freo's Total Game Score of 83 lowest since Rd.14 1997 - Freo v Syd, 81 pts. @BFtigercast
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Peter J Higginbotham retweeted
Tigercast (@Tigercastpod) profile picture
Tigercast@Tigercastpod5 May 2019
Replying to @PeterHiggo
Hey mate, would love to see an updated table on the scores!
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Can anyone confirm if this is the lowest Total Game Score Over/Under market ever framed?
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Thanks for the mention @davidking34 re: Low Scoring stats. This is an interesting issues worthy of a poll! Low Total Game Scores could be explained by...
28%the new AFL rules
6%increased player fatigue
11%fatigue due to new rules
56%... more data required
808 votes • Final results
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Average margin of 15.1 pts this round - very low! I think the closeness of the games might distract people for another week from the low scoring.
Tigercast (@Tigercastpod) profile pictureTigercast@Tigercastpod14 Apr 2019
Replying to @PeterHiggo @Jonesracing82 @MatterOfStats
Gees this round was a shocker for scores. How many more weeks of trending down until questions start being asked do you think?
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The Total Game Score data for Round 4 is in - another significantly low round of scoring. @Jonesracing82 @BFtigercast @MatterOfStats
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Another low round in terms of Total Game Scores and Scoring Shot Accuracy. Still more data required. @MatterOfStats @BFtigercast
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Peter J Higginbotham retweeted
Tony Corke (@MatterOfStats) profile picture
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats30 Mar 2019
.@llenten Here's the animation for the history of V/AFL victory margins.
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Updated Total Game Score Round Averages. Will Rd.1 2019 prove an outlier or a shift towards a lower scoring game?
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Graphical look at Total Game Score Round Averages, 2010-2019. #afl @championdata
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Significant Round 1 Total Game Scores - Shaping up to be lowest in a very long time. Are new rules having inverse effects? Fascinating. Media will surely get busy on this. #AFL
Image from Peter J Higginbotham (@PeterHiggo)
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Peter J Higginbotham retweeted
Tony Corke (@MatterOfStats) profile picture
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats23 Mar 2019
Replying to @PeterHiggo
Instinct says ‘probably’, but the small sample size makes me nervous. Confidence Intervals are often *huge* when n is small ...
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