Entrepreneur | I show bettors how to profit off of sportsbooks using market inefficiencies, Built software to find +EV bets automatically

5-Day Free Trial馃憠
Joined March 2013
The final tally is in.... I made $14,718 as a part time sports bettor in the month of November. The best part is, I spend 1-2 hours a day placing bets. Want to know my process? Here's a thread on exactly how I do it.... A 馃У [馃敄bookmark for later]
83
53
3
666
1,398,310
I wanted to find out why so many bettors beat the closing line and still lose money over a large sample size. So I went back through 252,000+ graded player props, 100,000+ bets that beat a sportsbook's closing number, every Novig and ProphetX trade since the summer, and 1,790 of my own prop bets. Here is what your CLV isn't telling you 馃У馃憞
1
Adding this Parlay. $100 -> $618馃挘 Wild ML at +122, crossed with both Polymarket and Kalshi on the Utah side.... If you don't have Courtside yet, be sure to download using my refer a friend code "UPSIDE" for a $100 in free play when spending $10. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
Courtside +290馃幆 $100 -> $390馃挘 Whales took Grizzlies/Jazz over 238.5 at -102 to +102, and Courtside pays +103.... If you don't have Courtside yet, be sure to download using my refer a friend code "UPSIDE" for a $100 in free play when spending $10. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
1
1
12
5,021
Link to tail: upside.tools/go/30lgva Play #1 - Minnesota Wild Moneyline (+122): taken from the @UpsideTools Game Line Optimizer: upside.tools: Here's a video on crossed markets: youtu.be/1zy_FVYnii4 Polymarket has Utah at -119 with $857 behind it, and Kalshi is at -121. Put either against Courtside's +122 on the Wild and the two sides add up to 99.4% and 99.8%, a crossed market on both exchanges. Devig Polymarket and Minnesota wins 47.5% of the time, while +122 only needs 45.0%. Whale money is here too, with $5.3k on Minnesota at +111.
1
762
Luck will not make you rich betting on sports. Math will.
2
4
35
5,175
Courtside +290馃幆 $100 -> $390馃挘 Whales took Grizzlies/Jazz over 238.5 at -102 to +102, and Courtside pays +103.... If you don't have Courtside yet, be sure to download using my refer a friend code "UPSIDE" for a $100 in free play when spending $10. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
1
2
1
17
7,599
Link to tail: upside.tools/go/gffbrq Play #1 - Grizzlies vs Jazz OVER 238.5 Total Points (+103): taken from the @UpsideTools Whale Watch: upside.tools/whale-watch: Here's a video on tailing whale money: youtu.be/KrXCHw_7Aew Every whale bet on this over paid a worse price than Courtside's +103. The bars run from -102 to +102, about $52.7k in total, with $34.7k of it at +102 on one exchange. ProphetX took $3.5k at -100 and Polymarket $2.2k at +100. Whale Watch puts the edge at +2.5%.
2
1
1,076
Panthers were frauds all along huh?
7
1
27
12,049
PrizePicks 6X馃幆 Cale Makar under 1.5 blocked shots, while DraftKings has the same under at -205. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
1
3
27
12,126
Link to tail: upside.tools/go/mfxfwo Play #1 - Cale Makar UNDER 1.5 Blocked Shots: taken from the @UpsideTools +EV Sniper: upside.tools/ev-sniper: Here's a video on building a +EV betting strategy: youtu.be/6k4lkJYaTWk A 3 pick on PrizePicks pays 6X, which is -122 a leg and a 54.95% hurdle. Every book on the board clears it on Makar under 1.5 blocks. DraftKings is the high read at -205, which devigs to 62.2%, and the other four books all land between 55.5% and 55.8%. Even the lowest number on the board is past the bar.
2
1
2,385
Courtside LONGSHOT +3018馃幆 $10 -> $311馃挘 33% profit boost on next Saturday's college slate. Illinois/Maryland under 52.5 at -108, while Novig sits at -130.... If you don't have Courtside yet, be sure to download using my refer a friend code "UPSIDE" for a $100 in free play when spending $10. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
3
2
8
8,955
Link to tail: upside.tools/go/eb7qdf Play #1 - Illinois vs Maryland UNDER 52.5 Total Points (-108): taken from the @UpsideTools Game Line Optimizer: upside.tools: Here's a video on college football betting strategy: youtu.be/FrlGLcsEsgg Kickoff is six days away, and early college lines are where books are softest. Novig already has $4.0k on the under at -130 and Kalshi has it at -126, which devig to 54.0% and 53.3%. Courtside is still dealing -108, a coin flip price that only needs 51.9%. A whale also took the under for $1.5k at -115.
1
1
1,555
Going to be firing off some live bets here for NFL so stay tuned.... Make sure those notifications are on.
2
1
18
8,832
Matt Downs retweeted
My month so far near the end of October using @UpsideTools. I had the most profitable day I鈥檝e ever had yesterday with a lot of volume in the NBA and CFB. All using math and data.
5
4
20
4,486
Just dropped this Sleeper discount slip in the FREE section of the @UpsideTools discord server... Will drop a link to it below if you haven't already joined馃
1
1
3
8,947
Courtside LONGSHOT +2139馃幆 $10 -> $223馃挘 used my mystery 75% profit boost on this. Kirk Cousins under 1.5 rushing yards at -117, while ProphetX has the same under at -151.... If you don't have Courtside yet, be sure to download using my refer a friend code "UPSIDE" for a $100 in free play when spending $10. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
3
1
1
9
11,174
Link to tail: upside.tools/go/4f6uta Play #1 - Kirk Cousins UNDER 1.5 Rushing Yards (-117): taken from the @UpsideTools +EV Optimizer: upside.tools: Here's a video on NFL player props: youtu.be/dNbo-cai0-c A pocket passer's rushing yards is about as niche as NFL props get. Novig and ProphetX both land on 55.9% for Cousins under 1.5 once you devig them, and so does FanDuel. Courtside's -117 only needs 53.9%, and the 75% boost stacks on top. Pinnacle is the low read at 54.1%, still above the bar.
1
2
1,999
Courtside +460馃幆 $100 -> $560馃挘 Kalshi took $4.5M on the Seahawks ML at -141, and Courtside is dealing -139.... If you don't have Courtside yet, be sure to download using my refer a friend code "UPSIDE" for a $100 in free play when spending $10. Link to tail in Replies 馃憞
2
1
16
9,482
Link to tail: upside.tools/go/ul0zs5 Play #1 - Seattle Seahawks Moneyline (-139): taken from the @UpsideTools Whale Watch: upside.tools/whale-watch: Here's a video on tracking sharp money: youtu.be/vCvGjzyRFc4 Kalshi has taken $4.5M on the Seahawks moneyline at -141, and ProphetX another $117k at the same number. Both paid two cents more than Courtside's -139. That's the deepest market on the board leaning one way, about $4.9M in total. Whale Watch puts the edge at +1.1%, thin on paper but backed by real size.
1
2
1,723
People are really just throwing money away.... If you took the over on this blindly, you can't be helped.
6
1
24
17,267
Taken from the @UpsideTools Odds Screen: upside.tools Every sharp book prices Bryce Young's 255.5 like a coin flip. ProphetX is -113 on both sides, and Novig has -111 on the over with only $6 behind it while $500 sits on the under at +100. Devig Novig and the over hits 51.3%. A 6 pick Flex on PrizePicks needs 54.2% a leg, so you'd be paying -119 for a bet the market prices near -105.
1
2,127