Support for Trump has collapsed most among low-information voters.

Can a pop song cause mental illness? If you're old enough to remember the Crazy Frog, there's a strong chance you'll reply in the affirmative. But I mean that question seriously. Can a pop song cause mental illness? In recent weeks, I've become convinced that one song in particular, a song called "Labour" by Paris Paloma, is having a detrimental effect on the sanity of young women across the Western world, especially in America. In August, the song was the soundtrack to a hundred-thousand TikTok and Instagram reels about the Lindsay Clancy case, each one vying with all the others to make the most lurid and sensational claims about the victimization of women, the unfairness of modern society and the "obvious" guilt of a man whose wife freely admitted she killed her three children with a set of exercise bands while he was out running errands. ✍️ Charles Cornish-Dale Article | spectator.com/article/the-ri…

You will have seen the images of masked hordes throwing missiles at the police – including chimney pots chucked from roofs with vicious intent – and raiding shops from Louis Vuitton to whatever is the French equivalent of JD Sports. Le Figaro carries JD Vance's argument blaming immigration by those who hate western liberalism, and hate France. The paper talks of guerrilla war and left-wing demagogues. Le Parisien sounds apocalyptic; Le Monde writes of hundreds of thousands of ordinary demonstrators, but of others wreaking violence on a scale to threaten the republic. In 1972, during Nixon's visit to China, the Chinese premier Zhou Enlai was asked about the impact of the French Revolution. 'Too early to say,' he famously replied. Lovely, to think this wisdom about the slow fuse of consequence. In reality Zhou was thinking of the riots of 1968. During those riots a young Roger Scruton watched cobblestones being ripped from the streets of the Latin Quarter for use as missiles against the police. 'I suddenly realised that I was on the other side,' he later said. 'I was disgusted by it, and thought there must be a way back to the defence of western civilisation against these things. That's when I became a conservative. I knew I wanted to conserve things rather than pull them down.' ✍️ Druin Burch Article | spectator.com/article/barbar…

We're waiting.

In the history of shocking things this is the least shocking thing ever to be labelled “shock”.

At the 2021 census 74% of Bayswater used only English at home, far higher than Kalkallo and Greenvale which are projected here to go to ON.

Why would ON win Mill Park but not Eltham?

The sample size here is larger than usual and the sample period longer (Sep 14-27). It may include the previous sample (not sure yet). I wonder if they are going back to fortnightly. Also unusually for Morgan primaries do not sum to 100.

According to "polling from a Liberal-aligned firm" reported by @News24Aust, One Nation would win the NSW election with the following seat count 🟧 ONP: 48 (+48) 🟥 ALP: 29 (-16) 🟦 LIB: 8 (-17) 🟩 GRN: 3 (-) 🟩 NAT: 0 (-11) ⬜️ IND: 5 (-4) (No idea who the pollster is)

Is it explained partly by the fact that the more RW Liberal voters have already moved to ON, leaving a more centrist Liberal vote?

Hey @PollBludger does this seem like a high level of LIB preferences going to Labor considering ON are a Conservative Party?