Tracking the companies, deals, and infrastructure shaping US prediction markets. FCMs | IBs | DCMs | DCOs | Partnerships
Philadelphia, PA
Joined March 2026
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A new DCM application (Nasdaq MRX Futures, LLC) has been posted this morning, the first the CFTC has posted since ForumEx submitted on 8/21/2026.
Rulebook indicates the following:
- Plans to utilize The Options Clearing Corporation as DCO.
- Plans to offer swaps, including combination orders (combos) up to 10 legs.
- First products: Two binary (cash-or-nothing) event contracts, each paying $100:
CPIY: headline CPI year-over-year
CPXY: core CPI year-over-year
Rulebook: cftc.gov/filings/documents/2…
Filing information: cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…
Based on CFTC filings posted this morning, @ProphetX has self-certified to begin offering markets on the Circa Survivor contest (and weekly Scorigami NFL outcomes).
Based on recent CFTC filings, it appears @DKPredictions (DKeX/Railbird) may soon be adding for both NFL and NBA.
NFL: cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc1006…
NBA:
cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc1014…
Dated yesterday, but posted on the CFTC's site today, volume data markets were also added for Novig and Underdog exchanges.
cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…
Earlier today, @ProphetX self-certified various contracts related to competitor DCM volume figures (DKeX, Polymarket, and Rothera). Prophet previously certified similar contracts on Kalshi's volume data.
cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…
'@ProphetX (via Milbank) met CFTC staff on 9/29 to discuss its comments on the prediction markets NPRM, two months after comments closed.
Its letter backed the proposal and asked for 4(c) class exemptions, bans on six contract types and a retail PM office.
regulations.gov/comment/CFTC…
Another incentive program update: @Polymarket filed changes with the CFTC to amend its market maker program (FKA 2026 Market Maker Program), eff. ~10/15. Rebates are a % of the taker fees charged on a maker's qualifying fills, under an aggregate monthly cap. Eligible markets are limited to sports, crypto prices and politics; any new categories will require a new submission to the CFTC. A multiplier based on when a fill occurs is dropped.
cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…
